Polymarket · Tech & Science
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2027 | 51% | −1 pts | −3 pts | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | $43.2K | in 441d |
| December 31, 2026 | 14% | −1 pts | −1 pts | 14¢ · 15¢ (1¢) | $8.49K | in 76d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6h | prediction-trader | December 31, 2027 | BuyYes50¢ → 51¢ | $3,005 | +$13 +0.4% | 26 |
| 7h | Boz134 fills | December 31, 2027 | BuyNo42¢ → 50¢ | $7,871 | +$1,371 +17% | 38 |
| 10h | AiBird3 fills | December 31, 2027 | SellNo54¢ → 50¢ | $4,580 | +$349 +7.6% | — |
| 11h | AiBird4 fills | December 31, 2027 | BuyNo45¢ → 50¢ | $8,185 | +$766 +9.4% | 37 |
| 15h | December 31, 2027 | BuyYes61¢ → 51¢ | $21,960 | −$3,667 −17% | 40 | |
| 17h | Boz13 | December 31, 2027 | SellNo48¢ → 50¢ | $3,753 | −$156 −4.1% | — |
| 2d | WarriorH | December 31, 2027 | BuyYes56¢ → 51¢ | $1,009 | −$99 −9.8% | 22 |
| 2d | AiBird | December 31, 2027 | BuyYes55¢ → 51¢ | $3,865 | −$316 −8.2% | 27 |
| 8d | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo83¢ → 86¢ | $4,623 | +$129 +2.8% | 31 | |
| 8d | December 31, 2027 | SellYes63¢ → 51¢ | $1,247 | +$249 +20% | — | |
| 9d | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo75¢ → 86¢ | $12,796 | +$1,749 +14% | 37 | |
| 9d | Boz132 fills | December 31, 2026 | SellNo76¢ → 86¢ | $6,764 | −$834 −12% | — |
| 9d | December 31, 2026 | SellYes19¢ → 14¢ | $2,662 | +$623 +23% | — | |
| 10d | AiBird | December 31, 2026 | SellYes26¢ → 14¢ | $1,202 | +$534 +44% | — |
| 10d | dromedaryy | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes28¢ → 14¢ | $1,473 | −$717 −49% | 35 |
| 10d | 0x4dF63E746b71d3a8e2 fills | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes27¢ → 14¢ | $6,757 | −$3,128 −46% | 48 |
| 11d | h4xor | December 31, 2026 | SellNo80¢ → 86¢ | $2,000 | −$137 −6.9% | — |
| 12d | December 31, 2027 | SellNo47¢ → 50¢ | $15,442 | −$692 −4.5% | — | |
| 13d | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo80¢ → 86¢ | $1,100 | +$76 +6.9% | 27 | |
| 13d | December 31, 2027 | BuyNo38¢ → 50¢ | $20,359 | +$6,433 +32% | 47 | |
| 14d | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo78¢ → 86¢ | $2,340 | +$225 +9.6% | 35 | |
| 14d | December 31, 2027 | SellYes58¢ → 51¢ | $1,039 | +$134 +13% | — | |
| 15d | happy666 | December 31, 2027 | SellYes60¢ → 51¢ | $5,140 | +$792 +15% | — |
| 15d | December 31, 2027 | SellYes63¢ → 51¢ | $2,275 | +$464 +20% | — | |
| 16d | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes26¢ → 14¢ | $4,527 | −$1,959 −43% | 47 | |
| 16d | AiBird | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,201 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 16d | December 31, 2026 | SellYes29¢ → 14¢ | $1,395 | +$686 +49% | — | |
| 17d | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $22,849 | +$3,173 +14% | 20 | |
| 17d | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo69¢ → 86¢ | $10,070 | +$2,408 +24% | 40 | |
| 17d | WarriorH | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo70¢ → 86¢ | $2,032 | +$450 +22% | 39 |
| 19d | December 31, 2027 | BuyYes70¢ → 51¢ | $1,500 | −$418 −28% | 23 | |
| 19d | WorkingIsBad | December 31, 2027 | BuyNo31¢ → 50¢ | $1,061 | +$633 +60% | 22 |
| 19d | WorkingIsBad | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo65¢ → 86¢ | $5,063 | +$1,597 +32% | 40 |
| 19d | Kind-Substitution2 fills | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $4,231 | +$226 +5.3% | 20 |
| 21d | Boz13 | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo63¢ → 86¢ | $3,798 | +$1,332 +35% | 40 |
| 21d | h4xor | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,011 | −$29 −2.9% | — |
| 21d | Gdub | December 31, 2027 | SellYes69¢ → 51¢ | $3,345 | +$897 +27% | — |
| 23d | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,425 | +$75 +5.3% | 20 | |
| 25d | December 31, 2027 | BuyYes76¢ → 51¢ | $4,937 | −$1,648 −33% | 27 | |
| 26d | Boz13 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | SellNo83¢ → 100¢ | $2,169 | −$443 −20% | — |
| 29d | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $4,776 | +$1,085 +23% | 20 | |
| 31d | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes45¢ → 14¢ | $1,329 | −$899 −68% | 33 | |
| 31d | anoin123 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | BuyYes18¢ → 0¢ | $1,431 | −$1,431 −100% | 22 |
| 32d | Gdub2 fills | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $3,950 | +$1,050 +27% | 20 |
| 35d | Boz13 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | BuyNo68¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$467 +47% | 20 |
| 36d | 0x834191a479261b32e522b738520b8d53a315de8 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | SellNo65¢ → 100¢ | $1,748 | −$941 −54% | — |
| 36d | h4xor | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | BuyNo63¢ → 100¢ | $1,103 | +$650 +59% | 20 |
| 36d | M2sx92kljs422 fills | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo73¢ → 86¢ | $3,048 | +$522 +17% | 38 |
| 37d | 0x834191a479261b32e522b738520b8d53a315de8 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $2,795 | +$357 +13% | 20 |
| 37d | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,268 | +$125 +9.9% | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI, or an official representative of OpenAI, announces that OpenAI has solved any of the qualifying Millennium Prize Problems between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The qualifying problems are the Riemann Hypothesis, P versus NP, the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem, the Hodge Conjecture, and the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture (https://www.claymath.org/millennium-problems/). Announcements concerning the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem will not qualify. A qualifying announcement must express that the problem has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of OpenAI, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used OpenAI's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from Clay Math Institute or any other organization is required. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 51¢ for December 31, 2027 means the market gives it about 51%.