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Polymarket wallet 0x876bb030ddd424ef505ae02914024cf18c6a1703 · on Polymarket since Jun 25, 2026 · also shown as Ragged-Thongs

Open on Polymarket ↗

PredictFolio-v8niUdGiJe8RKazd

Positions now worth: $24.5K
All-time profit: +$69.7K
Volume traded: $4.09M
All-time rank: #2,656
Markets traded: 495
Recent hit rate: 66%33 of last 50 closed

Open positions

64 markets · $24.5K

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d	No	11,496	22¢ → 28¢	$3,162	+$575 +22%
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 44d	Yes	5,897	52¢ → 43¢	$2,506	−$575 −19%
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d	No	11,866	14¢ → 20¢	$2,314	+$660 +40%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d	Yes	9,570	26¢ → 24¢	$2,249	−$286 −11%
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 74d	Yes	5,184	37¢ → 40¢	$2,048	+$135 +7.0%
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d	No	2,072	70¢ → 75¢	$1,544	+$87 +6.0%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d	No	5,715	30¢ → 20¢	$1,114	−$579 −34%
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Ends in 76d	Yes	2,140	48¢ → 38¢	$823	−$204 −20%
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)?Ends in 440d	Yes	4,505	10¢ → 17¢	$782	+$335 +75%
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Ends in 76d	Yes	1,225	51¢ → 62¢	$753	+$131 +21%
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d	Yes	5,122	34¢ → 14¢	$743	−$985 −57%
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d	Yes	910	26¢ → 64¢	$579	+$338 +141%
OpenAI resumes training by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d	No	650	26¢ → 74¢	$478	+$309 +184%
Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026?Ends in 75d	Yes	2,378	18¢ → 19¢	$440	+$5 +1.1%
Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Saudi Arabia by December 31?Ends in 75d	Yes	3,000	9¢ → 14¢	$420	+$141 +50%
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT?Ends in 440d	Yes	1,103	11¢ → 33¢	$358	+$237 +195%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?Ends in 18d	Yes	1,000	33¢ → 36¢	$355	+$25 +7.6%
Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Ends in 75d	Yes	7,797	15¢ → 5¢	$351	−$850 −71%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d	Yes	5,000	22¢ → 6¢	$300	−$785 −72%
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d	Yes	721	56¢ → 42¢	$299	−$104 −26%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?Ends ended	No	416	30¢ → 69¢	$286	+$161 +129%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?Ends ended	Yes	876	34¢ → 25¢	$215	−$87 −29%
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d	Yes	1,019	22¢ → 20¢	$199	−$22 −10%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?Ends ended	Yes	1,010	32¢ → 19¢	$189	−$129 −41%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d	Yes	2,168	21¢ → 9¢	$184	−$271 −60%
Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Ends in 75d	Yes	7,250	7¢ → 2¢	$167	−$367 −69%
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?Ends in 5d	No	154	81¢ → 93¢	$144	+$19 +15%
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?Ends in 14d	No	1,446	21¢ → 10¢	$141	−$165 −54%
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 44d	Yes	424	34¢ → 33¢	$138	−$8 −5.2%
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Ends in 14d	Yes	2,375	26¢ → 6¢	$131	−$479 −79%
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d	Yes	256	53¢ → 50¢	$127	−$9 −6.4%
Will DeepSeek IPO by March 31, 2027?Ends in 165d	Yes	888	25¢ → 14¢	$124	−$93 −43%
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 75d	Yes	300	32¢ → 38¢	$113	+$15 +16%
Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Ends in 75d	Yes	711	16¢ → 16¢	$112	−$1 −0.7%
Will DeepSeek IPO by September 30, 2027?Ends in 348d	Yes	173	73¢ → 61¢	$105	−$22 −17%
Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d	Yes	273	47¢ → 38¢	$104	−$24 −19%
Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?Ends in 14d	Yes	3,136	12¢ → 2¢	$75	−$287 −79%
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d	Yes	814	7¢ → 8¢	$65	+$7 +11%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d	Yes	9,205	2¢ → 1¢	$60	−$79 −57%
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 75d	Yes	200	26¢ → 23¢	$45	−$8 −15%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Ends in 79d	Yes	976	17¢ → 5¢	$44	−$125 −74%
Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d	Yes	234	13¢ → 13¢	$29	−$0 −0.5%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?Ends in 75d	Yes	85	31¢ → 23¢	$19	−$7 −28%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d	No	17	74¢ → 98¢	$16	+$4 +33%
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d	Yes	3,500	6¢ → <1¢	$7	−$203 −97%
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d	Yes	103	20¢ → 7¢	$7	−$14 −68%
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?Ends in 440d	Yes	11	53¢ → 39¢	$4	−$2 −27%
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?Ends in 10h	Yes	204	43¢ → 1¢	$1	−$86 −99%
Will Xiaomi be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?Ends in 44d	Yes	21	6¢ → 4¢	$1	−$0 −33%
Will Xiaomi be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 14d	Yes	102	15¢ → 1¢	$1	−$15 −95%
Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?Ends ended	No	1,054	25¢ → <1¢	$1	−$263 −100%
Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	No	440	11¢ → 0¢	$0	−$51 −100%
Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	No	1,000	20¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?Settled - ready to redeem	No	2,000	10¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?Settled - ready to redeem	No	338	23¢ → 0¢	$0	−$77 −100%
Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	500	10¢ → 0¢	$0	−$51 −100%
Will Meta's Watermelon model debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027?Settled - ready to redeem	No	304	44¢ → 0¢	$0	−$134 −100%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1,000	14¢ → 0¢	$0	−$140 −100%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?Settled - ready to redeem	No	234	13¢ → 0¢	$0	−$30 −100%
Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	863	10¢ → 0¢	$0	−$85 −100%
Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	No	276	25¢ → 0¢	$0	−$70 −100%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	34,361	<1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$34 −100%
Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1,064	<1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	723	11¢ → 0¢	$0	−$81 −100%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
13h	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SellYes15¢	$1,062
13h	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	BuyYes16¢	$1,133
13h	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	BuyNo25¢	$500
16h	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	BuyNo25¢	$125
18h	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	BuyNo26¢	$433
19h	Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	BuyYes13¢	$30
19h	Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	BuyYes5¢	$38
19h	Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026?	BuyYes15¢	$285
20h	Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?	SellYes81¢	$485
20h	Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?	SellYes70¢	$212
20h	Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?	SellYes70¢	$653
20h	Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?	SellYes70¢	$70
20h	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	BuyYes45¢	$82
20h	Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?	SellYes62¢	$1,051
20h	Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?	SellYes62¢	$100
20h	Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?	SellYes62¢	$54
21h	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	SellNo37¢	$187
21h	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	SellNo39¢	$320
1d	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	BuyYes45¢	$1
1d	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	SellYes60¢	$613
1d	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?	SellYes48¢	$307
1d	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	SellNo43¢	$258
1d	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	BuyNo25¢	$162
1d	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	BuyNo25¢	$3
1d	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	BuyNo25¢	$248
1d	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	SellYes80¢	$1,060
1d	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	SellYes80¢	$658
1d	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	SellYes87¢	$4
1d	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	SellYes88¢	$3,110
1d	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	SellYes88¢	$500
1d	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	SellYes88¢	$2
1d	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	SellYes88¢	$100
1d	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	SellYes88¢	$13
1d	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	SellYes88¢	$6
1d	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	SellYes88¢	$99
1d	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	SellYes88¢	$5
1d	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	SellYes88¢	$7
1d	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	SellYes88¢	$5
1d	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	SellYes88¢	$7
1d	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	SellYes88¢	$14
1d	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	SellYes88¢	$61
1d	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	SellYes88¢	$2,702
1d	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	SellYes88¢	$826
1d	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	SellYes88¢	$38
1d	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	SellYes83¢	$219
1d	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	SellYes65¢	$65
1d	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	SellYes65¢	$4
1d	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	SellYes65¢	$74
1d	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	BuyYes10¢	$366
1d	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	BuyYes10¢	$157
1d	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	BuyYes9¢	$94
1d	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	BuyYes15¢	$78
1d	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	BuyYes16¢	$83
1d	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	BuyYes15¢	$313
1d	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	SellNo73¢	$314
1d	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	SellNo38¢	$559
1d	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	SellNo38¢	$3
1d	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	SellNo38¢	$850
1d	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?	SellYes56¢	$185
1d	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	BuyYes52¢	$527

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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