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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ammunition | 0% | — | −57 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Dictionary | 100% | +6 pts | — | 97¢ · 100¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Witch | 0% | +1 pts | −20 pts | — · 12¢ | — | ended |
| Kim Jong Un | 0% | +32 pts | −15 pts | — · 70¢ | — | ended |
| Plumber | 0% | +7 pts | −14 pts | — · 23¢ | — | ended |
| Gay | 0% | +46 pts | +22 pts | — · 97¢ | — | ended |
| Too Late | 0% | −2 pts | −72 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pig / Piggy | 0% | +35 pts | −5 pts | <1¢ · 77¢ (77¢) | — | ended |
| Blowing it away | 100% | +1 pts | +25 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| NFL | 0% | — | −60 pts | — · 49¢ | — | ended |
| Psychological / Psychologically | 0% | +45 pts | +14 pts | — · 95¢ | — | ended |
| Complex | 100% | +50 pts | +42 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Eight Wars | 100% | +27 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Secret Service | 100% | +26 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d |  Arbguy2 fills | Ammunition | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $11,886 | −$62 −0.5% | — |
| 2d |  peterfromfamilyguy2 fills | Ammunition | SellNo87¢ → 100¢ | $3,993 | −$607 −15% | — |
| 2d |  yen4u3 fills | Ammunition | SellNo>99¢ | $6,696 | −$20 −0.3% | — |
| 2d |  qizhan | Ammunition | SellNo>99¢ | $2,198 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 2d |  mr.ozi | Ammunition | SellNo>99¢ | $7,992 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 3d |  OraculumNobius2 fills | Ammunition | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,970 | −$30 −0.6% | — |
| 3d | 033033033 | Ammunition | BuyNo>99¢ | $50,110 | +$50 +0.1% | 20 |
| 3d |  tbyck | Ammunition | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,499 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 3d | polybettor | Ammunition | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,339 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 3d | 0xff1e352d5310eab17d1e9fd7e00ec33f16c05e24 fills | Ammunition | BuyNo>99¢ | $26,314 | +$98 +0.4% | 20 |
| 3d | yen4u3 fills | Ammunition | BuyNo69¢ → 100¢ | $4,520 | +$2,075 +46% | 20 |
| 4d | 0xef97…ab2c | Ammunition | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,992 | +$8 +0.4% | 20 |
| 4d | AmericanIsraelPublicAffairsCommittee2 fills | Ammunition | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,360 | −$77 −1.8% | — |
| 4d |  Bertapotamous4 fills | Ammunition | BuyNo73¢ → 100¢ | $20,407 | +$7,648 +37% | 20 |
| 4d |  memetal | Ammunition | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,001 | +$9 +0.9% | 20 |
| 4d | pieped | Ammunition | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,386 | −$14 −1.0% | — |
| 4d | OraculumNobius | Ammunition | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,994 | +$6 +0.3% | 20 |
| 4d | ClickKlackClick | Ammunition | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,613 | +$30 +1.9% | 20 |
| 4d |  turtle911 | Ammunition | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $4,797 | +$1,235 +26% | 20 |
| 4d | HornyBibi | Ammunition | SellNo68¢ → 100¢ | $1,239 | −$590 −48% | — |
| 4d | Intentional-Cane-Flow | Ammunition | BuyYes34¢ → 0¢ | $1,246 | −$1,246 −100% | 24 |
| 4d | 0xd37d…c735 | Ammunition | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $1,033 | +$249 +24% | 20 |
| 4d |  tetrase | Ammunition | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,664 | +$419 +25% | 20 |
| 4d |  SmallFishInWhaleStomach2 fills | Ammunition | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $2,803 | +$761 +27% | 20 |
| 4d | mr.ozi | Ammunition | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $1,563 | +$433 +28% | 20 |
| 4d |  Mr-Krabs | Ammunition | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $2,513 | +$486 +19% | 20 |
| 4d |  rigatohni | Ammunition | BuyYes25¢ → 0¢ | $1,250 | −$1,250 −100% | 21 |
| 4d | HornyBibi | Ammunition | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $2,475 | +$747 +30% | 20 |
| 4d | Hans323 | Ammunition | BuyYes24¢ → 0¢ | $1,030 | −$1,030 −100% | 20 |
| 4d | 0x26b1…cc81 | Ammunition | BuyYes24¢ → 0¢ | $1,017 | −$1,017 −100% | 20 |
| 4d |  paddaa | Ammunition | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$847 +28% | 20 |
| 4d | 0x9e29…b884 | Ammunition | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $1,012 | +$288 +28% | 20 |
| 4d |  Car | Ammunition | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,767 | +$455 +26% | 20 |
| 5d |  0x8fbd7cf5f806f563080864694415829f7229a95 | Ammunition | BuyYes51¢ → 0¢ | $1,290 | −$1,290 −100% | 20 |
| 5d | roundtripped | Ammunition | BuyYes44¢ → 0¢ | $2,441 | −$2,441 −100% | 21 |
| 5d |  C6H6 | Too Late | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,075 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 5d | thoodr | Kim Jong Un | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,303 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 5d | thoodr | Plumber | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,901 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 5d | thoodr | Witch | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,048 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 5d | thoodr | Gay | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,048 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 5d | thoodr | Ammunition | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,389 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 5d | tbyck | Blowing it away | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,069 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 8d |  CoinTrick | Dictionary | BuyYes>99¢ | $14,978 | +$22 +0.1% | 20 |
| 8d | NeoOracle | Dictionary | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,000 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 8d | yen4u | Dictionary | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,214 | +$19 +1.5% | 20 |
| 9d |  bernardbulletin | Dictionary | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $1,055 | +$175 +17% | 21 |
aenews216,813 shares0x8fbd7cf5f806f563080864694415829f7229a9516,356 sharesrigatohni10,864 shares
BBX1GbDS0122,240 shares
0x7b9364a44EE759325036417740 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between October 5, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Ammunition means the market gives it about 0%.