| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | No | 91,000 | 50¢ → 79¢ | $71,845 | +$26,345 +58% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 66,375 | 80¢ → 85¢ | $56,087 | +$3,008 +5.7% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 40,205 | 80¢ → 95¢ | $37,994 | +$6,025 +19% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 29,155 | 79¢ → 88¢ | $25,511 | +$2,598 +11% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 26,200 | 88¢ → 97¢ | $25,440 | +$2,439 +11% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 26,000 | 76¢ → 89¢ | $23,010 | +$3,150 +16% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 91,000 | 50¢ → 21¢ | $19,156 | −$26,345 −58% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 19,646 | 78¢ → 89¢ | $17,485 | +$2,111 +14% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Ends in 82d | Yes | 13,935 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $13,308 | +$340 +2.6% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?Ends in 4d | Yes | 11,645 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $11,121 | +$298 +2.8% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 10,722 | 87¢ → 97¢ | $10,448 | +$1,102 +12% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | No | 10,000 | 64¢ → 73¢ | $7,250 | +$850 +13% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 43d | Yes | 11,743 | 63¢ → 61¢ | $7,163 | −$222 −3.0% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 7,280 | 77¢ → 97¢ | $7,076 | +$1,501 +27% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 6,000 | 93¢ → 95¢ | $5,670 | +$110 +2.0% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Ends in 17d | Yes | 5,345 | 91¢ → 91¢ | $4,845 | −$8 −0.2% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 7,104 | 52¢ → 68¢ | $4,831 | +$1,161 +32% |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 9,000 | 53¢ → 51¢ | $4,545 | −$232 −4.9% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 43d | No | 6,924 | 52¢ → 61¢ | $4,189 | +$557 +15% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?Ends in 1d | Yes | 4,000 | 94¢ → 98¢ | $3,904 | +$159 +4.2% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 4,455 | 82¢ → 86¢ | $3,809 | +$156 +4.3% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Ends in 29d | Yes | 4,690 | 71¢ → 71¢ | $3,306 | −$38 −1.1% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 3,000 | 87¢ → 95¢ | $2,835 | +$225 +8.6% |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 4,059 | 63¢ → 68¢ | $2,760 | +$189 +7.3% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 74d | Yes | 6,000 | 59¢ → 46¢ | $2,730 | −$820 −23% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?Ends in 11h | No | 2,607 | 47¢ → 100¢ | $2,594 | +$1,377 +113% |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | No | 2,831 | 83¢ → 84¢ | $2,363 | +$23 +1.0% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?Ends in 1d | Yes | 2,391 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $2,308 | +$26 +1.1% |
| Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 2,486 | 51¢ → 91¢ | $2,250 | +$982 +77% |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 6,912 | 39¢ → 30¢ | $2,039 | −$687 −25% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 106d | No | 2,800 | 57¢ → 46¢ | $1,274 | −$318 −20% |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)Ends in 13d | No | 1,250 | 90¢ → 96¢ | $1,194 | +$69 +6.1% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 5,728 | 37¢ → 19¢ | $1,074 | −$1,027 −49% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Ends in 44d | No | 1,000 | 85¢ → 96¢ | $955 | +$105 +12% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 1,000 | 92¢ → 93¢ | $925 | +$5 +0.5% |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?Ends in 43d | No | 1,960 | 36¢ → 44¢ | $853 | +$153 +22% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,753 | 54¢ → 47¢ | $824 | −$115 −12% |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 9,488 | 18¢ → 9¢ | $806 | −$943 −54% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 1,038 | 71¢ → 75¢ | $779 | +$45 +6.1% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?Ends in 11h | Yes | 782 | 93¢ → 98¢ | $768 | +$40 +5.5% |
| Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 2,000 | 77¢ → 31¢ | $620 | −$920 −60% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 106d | Yes | 1,108 | 50¢ → 46¢ | $509 | −$44 −8.0% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?Ends in 14d | No | 478 | 91¢ → 91¢ | $435 | −$0 −0.1% |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 43d | No | 2,104 | 29¢ → 21¢ | $431 | −$177 −29% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2,336 | 30¢ → 17¢ | $385 | −$311 −45% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,000 | 68¢ → 36¢ | $360 | −$321 −47% |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 3,735 | 24¢ → 9¢ | $349 | −$533 −60% |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30?Ends in 44d | Yes | 1,188 | 43¢ → 26¢ | $303 | −$209 −41% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 1,000 | 13¢ → 27¢ | $265 | +$135 +104% |
| Will US annex any territory in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 237 | 86¢ → 96¢ | $229 | +$25 +12% |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 223 | 42¢ → 95¢ | $211 | +$117 +125% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?Ends in 440d | No | 269 | 74¢ → 78¢ | $208 | +$9 +4.7% |
| Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 442 | 35¢ → 38¢ | $168 | +$13 +8.6% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 340 | 57¢ → 47¢ | $160 | −$34 −18% |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 150 | 30¢ → 72¢ | $107 | +$62 +138% |
| Clavicular convicted of rape?Ends in 622d | No | 36 | 73¢ → 86¢ | $31 | +$5 +17% |
| Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 172 | 17¢ → 12¢ | $21 | −$9 −30% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 900 | 16¢ → 2¢ | $14 | −$131 −90% |
| Will the Bitcoin halving occur by June 30, 2028?Ends in 622d | Yes | 8 | 85¢ → 91¢ | $7 | +$0 +7.1% |
| Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 2 | 82¢ → 96¢ | $1 | +$0 +16% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$64 −100% |
| Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 39,421 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13,742 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,135 | 70¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,498 −100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 500 | 69¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$345 −100% |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,310 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$96 −100% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 9,951 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,348 −100% |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 7th Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 11m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,829 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$19 −100% |
| Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 23-29?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,000 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$200 −100% |
| Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,000 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$135 −100% |
| Will Bilibili Gaming make a roster change before July?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,000 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,500 −100% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,998 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$619 −100% |
| Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,966 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$359 −100% |
| Will Jungleman win at Hustler Casino on Friday?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Warsh say "Trump" during swearing-in?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8 | 85¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 7th Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,314 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$541 −100% |
| Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,067 | 89¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$952 −100% |
| Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,000 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$670 −100% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 8?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 11,700 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,876 −100% |
| Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 13,726 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4,994 −100% |