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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Netanyahu | 100% | — | +71 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Marjorie Taylor Greene | 100% | 0 pts | +44 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Jimmy Kimmel | 0% | −19 pts | −28 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Candace Owens | 100% | 0 pts | +80 pts | 100¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Tucker Carlson | 100% | 0 pts | +51 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Xi Jinping | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Keir Starmer | 100% | +95 pts | +88 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Elon Musk | 0% | −1 pts | −3 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Nicolás Maduro | 100% | +75 pts | +74 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Pope Leo XIV | 0% | −1 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mohammed bin Salman | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Barack Obama | 100% | +7 pts | +8 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Freidrich Merz | 0% | −2 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| J.D. Vance | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Vladimir Putin | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Emmanuel Macron | 0% | −12 pts | −6 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Zohran Mamdani | 0% | −3 pts | −4 pts | <1¢ · 9¢ (9¢) | — | ended |
| Melania Trump | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jerome Powell | 100% | +30 pts | +36 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Viktor Orbán | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pam Bondi | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Joe Biden | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Alex Jones | 0% | −2 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kaitlan Collins | 100% | +70 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Megyn Kelly | 0% | −7 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Norah O'Donnell | 0% | −3 pts | −25 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kevin Warsh | 0% | −1 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 105d | Domerthegoaaatttt2 fills | Benjamin Netanyahu | SellYes>99¢ | $4,695 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 105d | 0x3387…c3f7 | Benjamin Netanyahu | SellYes>99¢ | $1,114 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 106d | lox-frogs | Benjamin Netanyahu | SellYes>99¢ | $1,551 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 107d |  shmeba | Benjamin Netanyahu | SellYes>99¢ | $1,061 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 107d | 0x19191 | Benjamin Netanyahu | SellYes>99¢ | $4,249 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 107d |  SmallFishInWhaleStomach | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyYes>99¢ | $215,741 | +$216 +0.1% | 4 |
| 107d |  Car5 fills | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyYes>99¢ | $272,757 | +$273 +0.1% | 4 |
| 107d | perroperro | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyYes>99¢ | $19,980 | +$20 +0.1% | 4 |
| 107d |  Arbguy | Benjamin Netanyahu | SellYes>99¢ | $52,894 | −$106 −0.2% | — |
| 107d |  Warren-Buffett2 fills | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyYes>99¢ | $14,385 | +$14 +0.1% | 4 |
| 107d | Novatan | Benjamin Netanyahu | SellYes>99¢ | $2,810 | −$6 −0.2% | — |
| 107d | Test669 | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,222 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 107d |  Levi567 | Benjamin Netanyahu | SellYes>99¢ | $1,919 | −$5 −0.3% | — |
| 107d |  ViataBateFilmul | Benjamin Netanyahu | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,482 | −$25 −1.0% | — |
| 107d | Lcz | Benjamin Netanyahu | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,770 | −$18 −1.0% | — |
| 107d | Kevindoto | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyYes55¢ → 100¢ | $5,829 | +$4,800 +82% | 4 |
| 107d |  mr.ozi3 fills | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyNo56¢ → 0¢ | $13,505 | −$13,505 −100% | 4 |
| 107d | Arbguy2 fills | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyYes59¢ → 100¢ | $17,179 | +$12,109 +70% | 4 |
| 107d | SaylorMoon2 fills | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyNo47¢ → 0¢ | $15,720 | −$15,720 −100% | 6 |
| 107d | coali107 fills | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyNo50¢ → 0¢ | $48,768 | −$48,768 −100% | 4 |
| 107d | ev1710 | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyYes66¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$774 +52% | 4 |
| 107d | pbshine | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyYes57¢ → 100¢ | $1,242 | +$937 +75% | 4 |
| 107d | AnewFaith | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyNo45¢ → 0¢ | $1,455 | −$1,455 −100% | 4 |
| 107d | Akatosh2 fills | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyYes56¢ → 100¢ | $2,800 | +$2,242 +80% | 4 |
| 107d |  ZorroDeLaVega | Benjamin Netanyahu | SellNo48¢ → 0¢ | $1,095 | +$1,095 +100% | — |
| 107d | Akatosh | Benjamin Netanyahu | SellNo51¢ → 0¢ | $2,719 | +$2,719 +100% | — |
| 107d | poli.monaco2 fills | Benjamin Netanyahu | SellNo49¢ → 0¢ | $3,731 | +$3,731 +100% | — |
| 107d | ZorroDeLaVega | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyNo58¢ → 0¢ | $1,311 | −$1,311 −100% | 4 |
| 107d |  SheepToken | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyNo57¢ → 0¢ | $2,291 | −$2,291 −100% | 4 |
| 107d |  paddaa | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyYes39¢ → 100¢ | $2,200 | +$3,514 +160% | 6 |
| 107d | jklsjdwoqejasdf2 fills | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyNo68¢ → 0¢ | $3,941 | −$3,941 −100% | 4 |
| 107d |  moonlight2020 | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyNo69¢ → 0¢ | $2,069 | −$2,069 −100% | 4 |
| 108d | anon.1980.123 | Benjamin Netanyahu | SellNo61¢ → 0¢ | $4,013 | +$4,013 +100% | — |
| 108d | JustHereWaiting | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyNo64¢ → 0¢ | $1,091 | −$1,091 −100% | 4 |
| 108d | Levi567 | Benjamin Netanyahu | SellNo64¢ → 0¢ | $1,059 | +$1,059 +100% | — |
| 108d | looppau | Elon Musk | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,987 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 108d | NeoOracle | Elon Musk | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,997 | +$6 +0.2% | 4 |
| 108d | Strict-Rib | Benjamin Netanyahu | SellNo63¢ → 0¢ | $1,006 | +$1,006 +100% | — |
| 108d | 0xE17D | Elon Musk | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,223 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 108d |  betwick | Benjamin Netanyahu | SellNo70¢ → 0¢ | $4,246 | +$4,246 +100% | — |
| 108d | poli.monaco2 fills | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyNo71¢ → 0¢ | $3,424 | −$3,424 −100% | 4 |
| 108d | enjoyevery | Jimmy Kimmel | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,078 | +$22 +2.1% | 4 |
| 108d | betwick | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyNo70¢ → 0¢ | $4,651 | −$4,651 −100% | 4 |
| 108d |  Wickier | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyNo68¢ → 0¢ | $1,506 | −$1,506 −100% | 4 |
| 108d |  PLMTK1 | Benjamin Netanyahu | SellNo53¢ → 0¢ | $1,135 | +$1,135 +100% | — |
| 108d | Doggieson | Benjamin Netanyahu | SellNo53¢ → 0¢ | $2,476 | +$2,476 +100% | — |
| 108d | MoonLambo1205 | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyNo68¢ → 0¢ | $3,408 | −$3,408 −100% | 4 |
| 108d | Doggieson | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyNo64¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 4 |
| 108d |  Dropper | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyYes35¢ → 100¢ | $1,540 | +$2,827 +184% | 5 |
| 108d |  disputequant | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyYes33¢ → 100¢ | $1,865 | +$3,729 +200% | 6 |
| 108d |  tourists | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyNo60¢ → 0¢ | $1,199 | −$1,199 −100% | 4 |
| 108d |  aenews2 | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyNo53¢ → 0¢ | $3,106 | −$3,106 −100% | 4 |
| 108d |  TarekSingh | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyNo54¢ → 0¢ | $1,204 | −$1,204 −100% | 4 |
| 108d |  ScottyNooo3 fills | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyYes52¢ → 100¢ | $26,127 | +$23,876 +91% | 4 |
| 108d |  WordleAddict3 fills | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyNo53¢ → 0¢ | $9,219 | −$9,219 −100% | 4 |
| 108d | mr.ozi | Jimmy Kimmel | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,520 | +$194 +13% | 4 |
| 108d |  Xeny | Benjamin Netanyahu | SellYes38¢ → 100¢ | $1,656 | −$2,754 −166% | — |
| 108d | aenews2 | Jimmy Kimmel | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $2,095 | +$432 +21% | 4 |
| 108d |  MrMelonHead | Benjamin Netanyahu | SellNo59¢ → 0¢ | $1,172 | +$1,172 +100% | — |
| 108d | Akatosh2 fills | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyNo76¢ → 0¢ | $3,085 | −$3,085 −100% | 4 |
cookiejar34,050 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Benjamin Netanyahu means the market gives it about 100%.