MrMelonHead

Polymarket wallet 0x9f66aa958734d9d5af35f5f19a276d23e84f3a50 · on Polymarket since Jun 21, 2025 · also shown as Obvious-Eyebrow

Open on Polymarket ↗

Positions now worth: $21.7K
All-time profit: +$6.81K
Volume traded: $2.79M
All-time rank: #20,145
Markets traded: 2,390
Recent hit rate: 74%37 of last 50 closed

Open positions

62 markets · $21.7K

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?Ends in 14d	Yes	1,700	59¢ → 88¢	$1,487	+$484 +48%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?Ends in 14d	No	1,500	31¢ → 88¢	$1,320	+$851 +181%
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Ends in 75d	Yes	1,500	69¢ → 76¢	$1,140	+$112 +11%
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Ends in 13d	No	1,100	56¢ → 93¢	$1,018	+$406 +66%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d	Yes	1,200	60¢ → 81¢	$966	+$251 +35%
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d	No	1,337	38¢ → 66¢	$875	+$367 +72%
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)Ends in 13d	No	791	76¢ → 96¢	$756	+$156 +26%
Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Ends in 17d	Yes	768	89¢ → 96¢	$741	+$55 +8.1%
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?Ends in 14d	No	881	70¢ → 84¢	$740	+$124 +20%
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 17d	Yes	1,132	62¢ → 63¢	$708	+$8 +1.1%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in October?Ends in 14d	No	900	30¢ → 71¢	$634	+$368 +138%
Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d	Yes	732	82¢ → 85¢	$618	+$18 +3.1%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?Ends in 14d	No	600	60¢ → 95¢	$570	+$208 +57%
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d	Yes	832	61¢ → 69¢	$570	+$60 +12%
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?Ends in 75d	No	804	63¢ → 70¢	$559	+$51 +10%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d	No	776	28¢ → 66¢	$511	+$294 +135%
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?Ends in 17d	Yes	694	64¢ → 64¢	$443	+$0 +0.1%
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d	No	892	34¢ → 50¢	$441	+$141 +47%
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30?Ends in 44d	No	537	73¢ → 78¢	$419	+$29 +7.3%
Pakistan military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d	No	453	66¢ → 85¢	$382	+$82 +27%
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d	No	452	66¢ → 77¢	$346	+$46 +15%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d	Yes	401	83¢ → 86¢	$343	+$10 +3.0%
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d	No	484	70¢ → 68¢	$327	−$13 −3.9%
Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d	No	404	74¢ → 80¢	$321	+$21 +7.1%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028?Ends in 439d	Yes	488	62¢ → 66¢	$319	+$19 +6.4%
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?Ends in 14d	No	336	78¢ → 92¢	$307	+$46 +17%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 74d	Yes	620	56¢ → 46¢	$282	−$66 −19%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?Ends in 14d	No	709	42¢ → 40¢	$280	−$20 −6.7%
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?Ends in 14d	No	391	54¢ → 72¢	$279	+$68 +32%
Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d	No	282	76¢ → 94¢	$265	+$49 +23%
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?Ends in 14d	No	342	81¢ → 77¢	$262	−$15 −5.5%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d	No	309	65¢ → 81¢	$249	+$49 +25%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?Ends in 14d	Yes	520	23¢ → 47¢	$244	+$124 +104%
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?Ends in 14d	No	423	65¢ → 57¢	$243	−$34 −12%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d	No	227	65¢ → 94¢	$213	+$65 +44%
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?Ends in 14d	No	225	76¢ → 90¢	$203	+$33 +19%
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Ends in 75d	No	294	68¢ → 67¢	$196	−$4 −2.2%
Will Iran target an Arab country by October 22, 2026?Ends in 5d	Yes	441	23¢ → 41¢	$179	+$79 +79%
Eritrea invades Ethiopia by December 31?Ends in 75d	No	179	61¢ → 90¢	$161	+$52 +47%
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d	No	183	52¢ → 86¢	$156	+$60 +63%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?Ends in 165d	No	367	27¢ → 43¢	$156	+$56 +56%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?Ends in 14d	Yes	614	12¢ → 21¢	$129	+$56 +76%
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?Ends in 13d	Yes	371	39¢ → 33¢	$123	−$21 −15%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Ends in 75d	Yes	688	16¢ → 18¢	$120	+$10 +9.4%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 43d	Yes	194	62¢ → 61¢	$118	−$2 −1.5%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Ends in 29d	Yes	154	72¢ → 71¢	$108	−$2 −1.6%
Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?Ends ended	Yes	103	97¢ → >99¢	$103	+$3 +2.7%
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?Ends in 14d	No	116	86¢ → 88¢	$102	+$2 +1.7%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Ends in 29d	Yes	179	56¢ → 56¢	$99	−$1 −0.9%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 43d	Yes	250	40¢ → 40¢	$99	−$1 −1.2%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in October?Ends in 14d	Yes	7,599	1¢ → 1¢	$91	−$14 −13%
Will Iran target Jordan by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d	Yes	802	7¢ → 11¢	$87	+$32 +59%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 74d	Yes	253	30¢ → 33¢	$82	+$7 +9.7%
Trump out as President before 2027?Ends in 75d	Yes	1,451	9¢ → 4¢	$57	−$73 −56%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30?Ends in 44d	Yes	609	11¢ → 9¢	$52	−$15 −23%
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Ends in 14d	Yes	600	27¢ → 6¢	$33	−$131 −80%
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d	Yes	91	33¢ → 32¢	$29	−$1 −4.5%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?Ends in 14d	Yes	411	5¢ → 6¢	$26	+$6 +30%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Ends in 14d	Yes	300	5¢ → 5¢	$15	−$0 −2.0%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?Ends in 1d	No	276	7¢ → 4¢	$10	−$10 −51%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?Ends in 1d	No	299	5¢ → 2¢	$7	−$8 −55%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?Ends in 10h	No	234	4¢ → 2¢	$4	−$6 −63%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
6m	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	BuyYes40¢	$100
35m	Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?	BuyYes64¢	$203
1h	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October?	SellNo96¢	$220
1h	Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31?	SellNo99¢	$577
2h	Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?	BuyYes64¢	$171
2h	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	SellNo86¢	$171
2h	Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?	BuyYes63¢	$75
5h	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	BuyYes68¢	$10
5h	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	BuyYes57¢	$20
5h	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	BuyNo3¢	$5
5h	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	BuyYes46¢	$30
6h	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	BuyYes80¢	$101
6h	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	BuyYes80¢	$101
10h	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	SellYes93¢	$93
10h	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	BuyNo79¢	$10
10h	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?	BuyNo69¢	$40
10h	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	SellNo92¢	$92
11h	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	BuyYes69¢	$10
11h	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	BuyYes33¢	$31
12h	Will Iran target Jordan by October 31, 2026?	BuyYes7¢	$55
12h	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	BuyNo56¢	$79
12h	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	BuyNo76¢	$78
12h	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?	BuyNo86¢	$101
12h	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	BuyNo7¢	$10
12h	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	SellYes92¢	$92
12h	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	SellYes91¢	$90
12h	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	SellYes89¢	$69
14h	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?	BuyNo42¢	$307
14h	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	BuyNo7¢	$10
14h	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	BuyNo8¢	$10
14h	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	BuyNo4¢	$10
14h	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	SellYes76¢	$152
21h	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	BuyYes89¢	$301
1d	Will Iran target an Arab country by October 22, 2026?	BuyYes23¢	$100
1d	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	BuyYes97¢	$100
1d	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	BuyNo70¢	$204
1d	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	BuyNo83¢	$202
1d	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	BuyNo68¢	$200
1d	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15?	BuyNo99¢	$300
1d	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?	SellNo82¢	$62
1d	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30?	SellNo68¢	$204
1d	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30?	SellNo72¢	$72
1d	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	BuyYes49¢	$18
1d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	BuyYes14¢	$31
1d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	BuyYes30¢	$31
1d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	BuyYes67¢	$78
1d	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	BuyNo76¢	$102
1d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	BuyYes69¢	$405
2d	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	BuyYes61¢	$508
2d	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	BuyYes83¢	$403
2d	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028?	BuyYes62¢	$203
2d	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30?	SellNo68¢	$20
2d	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15?	SellNo95¢	$31
2d	Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31?	BuyNo87¢	$300
2d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in October?	SellNo38¢	$5
2d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	SellNo73¢	$24
2d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	BuyNo75¢	$101
2d	Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 15?	BuyYes4¢	$30
2d	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30?	SellNo67¢	$102
2d	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?	SellNo82¢	$73

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.