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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spider-Man: Brand New Day | 96% | — | — | 95¢ · 96¢ (1¢) | $108 | in 83d |
| Avengers: Doomsday | 4% | — | 0 pts | 4¢ · 4¢ (<1¢) | $561 | in 83d |
| Dune: Messiah | <1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $6.83 | in 83d |
| Wicked: For Good | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 83d |
| Wuthering Heights | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 83d |
| Scream 7 | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | $13 | in 83d |
| Michael | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 83d |
| Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 83d |
| Toy Story 5 | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 83d |
| The Odyssey | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 83d |
| The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | $1K | in 83d |
| Project Hail Mary | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 83d |
| The Super Mario Galaxy Movie | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 83d |
| Jumanji 3 | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 83d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | Gamble.and.bankurpt5 fills | Spider-Man: Brand New Day | SellYes95¢ → 96¢ | $7,257 | −$71 −1.0% | — |
| 6d |  Mei-ji | Avengers: Doomsday | BuyNo95¢ → 96¢ | $1,442 | +$14 +1.0% | 7 |
| 11d | Worse-Scenario | Avengers: Doomsday | SellNo95¢ → 96¢ | $2,670 | −$31 −1.2% | — |
| 11d |  stormshadow5 fills | Spider-Man: Brand New Day | BuyYes94¢ → 96¢ | $6,419 | +$99 +1.5% | 8 |
| 14d | Another-Allowance | Spider-Man: Brand New Day | BuyYes96¢ | $2,607 | −$14 −0.5% | 7 |
| 20d | ajaaja | Spider-Man: Brand New Day | BuyYes94¢ → 96¢ | $5,354 | +$85 +1.6% | 8 |
| 22d | RabbitRunning | Spider-Man: Brand New Day | SellYes93¢ → 96¢ | $1,717 | −$46 −2.7% | — |
| 25d |  ScottyNooo2 fills | Avengers: Doomsday | BuyNo96¢ | $5,035 | −$5 −0.1% | 7 |
| 34d | Legacy.crypto | Spider-Man: Brand New Day | SellYes93¢ → 96¢ | $1,429 | −$38 −2.7% | — |
| 35d | tunemahpeak | Spider-Man: Brand New Day | SellYes93¢ → 96¢ | $1,575 | −$42 −2.7% | — |
| 35d | RabbitRunning | Spider-Man: Brand New Day | BuyYes94¢ → 96¢ | $2,000 | +$32 +1.6% | 8 |
| 39d | Marevant | Dune: Messiah | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,600 | $0 0.0% | 4 |
| 40d | P8P8P8P | Dune: Messiah | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,111 | $0 0.0% | 4 |
| 41d | TitanYa | The Odyssey | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,030 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 42d |  polmar001 | Spider-Man: Brand New Day | SellYes93¢ → 96¢ | $3,522 | −$95 −2.7% | — |
| 44d |  eCash | Spider-Man: Brand New Day | BuyYes93¢ → 96¢ | $3,866 | +$104 +2.7% | 9 |
| 45d | Testy-Racer | Avengers: Doomsday | BuyNo94¢ → 96¢ | $1,138 | +$26 +2.3% | 8 |
| 51d | ScottyNooo | Avengers: Doomsday | BuyYes7¢ → 4¢ | $2,062 | −$928 −45% | 30 |
| 52d | jimmer-fredette | Spider-Man: Brand New Day | SellYes92¢ → 96¢ | $1,380 | −$52 −3.8% | — |
| 57d | polmar001 | Avengers: Doomsday | BuyNo95¢ → 96¢ | $1,000 | +$12 +1.2% | 7 |
| 57d | polmar001 | Spider-Man: Brand New Day | BuyYes93¢ → 96¢ | $1,001 | +$27 +2.7% | 9 |
| 57d | AlmostNoAwareness | Toy Story 5 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,077 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 61d | y6tfd | Spider-Man: Brand New Day | SellYes92¢ → 96¢ | $1,918 | −$73 −3.8% | — |
| 62d |  LiquidatedDegen | Spider-Man: Brand New Day | SellYes91¢ → 96¢ | $11,662 | −$535 −4.6% | — |
| 65d | Gamble.and.bankurpt2 fills | Spider-Man: Brand New Day | BuyYes93¢ → 96¢ | $5,787 | +$171 +3.0% | 9 |
| 65d | ialms.sk | Dune: Messiah | SellNo>99¢ | $1,998 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 65d | ialms.sk | Dune: Messiah | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,000 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 66d |  Ryxon21 | Spider-Man: Brand New Day | BuyYes92¢ → 96¢ | $7,570 | +$288 +3.8% | 9 |
| 67d | bibomaru | Spider-Man: Brand New Day | SellYes91¢ → 96¢ | $1,128 | −$56 −4.9% | — |
| 69d |  Car | Spider-Man: Brand New Day | BuyYes92¢ → 96¢ | $2,052 | +$78 +3.8% | 9 |
| 70d | Haelios | Spider-Man: Brand New Day | SellYes91¢ → 96¢ | $1,319 | −$65 −4.9% | — |
| 72d | xiaogaoxing | The Odyssey | SellNo99¢ → >99¢ | $1,566 | −$9 −0.6% | — |
| 74d | by1andby2 | Wicked: For Good | SellNo>99¢ | $2,650 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 74d | by1andby2 | Wicked: For Good | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,652 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 75d | TomlinsonFG | Michael | SellNo>99¢ | $1,018 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 75d | Shocking-Teen | Spider-Man: Brand New Day | SellYes91¢ → 96¢ | $3,771 | −$187 −4.9% | — |
| 75d | VvVvV | Avengers: Doomsday | SellNo92¢ → 96¢ | $1,978 | −$89 −4.5% | — |
| 75d |  Snow-White | Spider-Man: Brand New Day | BuyYes91¢ → 96¢ | $5,898 | +$304 +5.2% | 10 |
| 75d | Echelonprt | Spider-Man: Brand New Day | SellYes89¢ → 96¢ | $1,851 | −$135 −7.3% | — |
| 76d | MirAsifAhr | Spider-Man: Brand New Day | BuyYes88¢ → 96¢ | $1,690 | +$144 +8.5% | 12 |
| 76d | VvVvV | Avengers: Doomsday | BuyNo93¢ → 96¢ | $2,000 | +$68 +3.4% | 9 |
| 77d |  ImJustKen | Avengers: Doomsday | BuyNo90¢ → 96¢ | $49,880 | +$3,319 +6.7% | 11 |
| 78d | jimmer-fredette | Spider-Man: Brand New Day | BuyYes86¢ → 96¢ | $1,095 | +$121 +11% | 13 |
| 80d |  Chims | Spider-Man: Brand New Day | BuyYes82¢ → 96¢ | $1,640 | +$270 +16% | 16 |
| 80d |  Awestin.eth | Spider-Man: Brand New Day | BuyYes82¢ → 96¢ | $2,102 | +$346 +16% | 16 |
| 80d | MightyMuse6 | Wuthering Heights | SellNo>99¢ | $3,033 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 80d | MightyMuse6 | Wuthering Heights | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,036 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 81d | 1waysacha | Scream 7 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,055 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 81d | 1waysacha | Scream 7 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,058 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 81d |  dreivierteljaeger | Avengers: Doomsday | SellNo87¢ → 96¢ | $2,137 | −$216 −10% | — |
| 81d | dreivierteljaeger | Spider-Man: Brand New Day | SellYes81¢ → 96¢ | $1,389 | −$249 −18% | — |
| 81d | hr-agensy | Scream 7 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,634 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 81d | hr-agensy | Scream 7 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,636 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 81d | Far-Jet | Jumanji 3 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,021 | −$4 −0.4% | — |
| 81d | tiffanyspencer | Scream 7 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,907 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 81d | tiffanyspencer | Scream 7 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,910 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 82d | msnyder | Wicked: For Good | SellNo>99¢ | $2,536 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 82d | msnyder | Wicked: For Good | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,539 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 82d | prigeb233 | Wuthering Heights | SellNo>99¢ | $2,759 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 82d | prigeb233 | Wuthering Heights | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,762 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
WordleAddict14,540 sharesstormshadow14,402 shareseCash13,935 sharesRyxon2112,507 shares
solwizzo-onX500 sharesThis market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 96¢ for Spider-Man: Brand New Day means the market gives it about 96%.