| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | No | 24,196 | 79¢ → 83¢ | $20,155 | +$928 +4.8% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | No | 17,338 | 64¢ → 87¢ | $14,997 | +$3,821 +34% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | No | 9,583 | 76¢ → 77¢ | $7,331 | +$39 +0.5% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | No | 24,842 | 21¢ → 22¢ | $5,341 | +$37 +0.7% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?Ends in 8d | No | 5,775 | 88¢ → 90¢ | $5,218 | +$124 +2.4% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Ends in 8d | No | 5,946 | 87¢ → 80¢ | $4,727 | −$436 −8.4% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Ends in 17d | Yes | 4,840 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $4,666 | +$221 +5.0% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?Ends in 8d | No | 5,680 | 59¢ → 72¢ | $4,061 | +$732 +22% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Ends in 8d | No | 6,049 | 67¢ → 60¢ | $3,599 | −$472 −12% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | No | 24,571 | 39¢ → 14¢ | $3,317 | −$6,339 −66% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2,988 | 36¢ → 97¢ | $2,894 | +$1,829 +172% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 2,969 | 73¢ → 96¢ | $2,843 | +$667 +31% |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 3,251 | 80¢ → 82¢ | $2,666 | +$79 +3.1% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 4,004 | 63¢ → 64¢ | $2,542 | +$25 +1.0% |
| Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?Ends in 17d | No | 2,431 | 91¢ → 98¢ | $2,378 | +$156 +7.0% |
| Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?Ends in 1171d | No | 2,970 | 82¢ → 79¢ | $2,331 | −$93 −3.8% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 52d | No | 2,903 | 56¢ → 79¢ | $2,279 | +$642 +39% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 2,456 | 83¢ → 91¢ | $2,223 | +$179 +8.8% |
| Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 2,745 | 80¢ → 79¢ | $2,155 | −$46 −2.1% |
| Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Ends in 531d | No | 2,375 | 79¢ → 84¢ | $1,999 | +$114 +6.0% |
| Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 1,996 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $1,948 | +$8 +0.4% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 3,101 | 65¢ → 63¢ | $1,938 | −$77 −3.8% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,990 | 91¢ → 91¢ | $1,806 | −$1 −0.1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 2,020 | 88¢ → 89¢ | $1,787 | +$10 +0.6% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | No | 7,403 | 30¢ → 23¢ | $1,721 | −$515 −23% |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | No | 1,613 | 99¢ → 98¢ | $1,583 | −$12 −0.7% |
| Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?Ends in 806d | No | 1,848 | 85¢ → 84¢ | $1,543 | −$28 −1.8% |
| Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?Ends in 7d | No | 1,930 | 83¢ → 79¢ | $1,515 | −$87 −5.4% |
| Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?Ends in 806d | No | 1,941 | 85¢ → 78¢ | $1,504 | −$146 −8.8% |
| Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?Ends in 806d | No | 1,794 | 85¢ → 81¢ | $1,444 | −$87 −5.7% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | No | 2,673 | 53¢ → 54¢ | $1,432 | +$18 +1.3% |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?Ends in 17d | No | 1,458 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $1,406 | +$64 +4.8% |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | No | 1,912 | 74¢ → 73¢ | $1,389 | −$22 −1.5% |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 1,426 | 42¢ → 97¢ | $1,388 | +$789 +132% |
| No one announced as next James Bond?Ends in 75d | No | 2,086 | 78¢ → 66¢ | $1,384 | −$239 −15% |
| Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?Ends in 17d | No | 1,444 | 86¢ → 94¢ | $1,364 | +$126 +10% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 43d | No | 2,239 | 60¢ → 61¢ | $1,355 | +$5 +0.3% |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?Ends in 17d | No | 1,379 | 90¢ → 95¢ | $1,309 | +$68 +5.4% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 5,991 | 21¢ → 21¢ | $1,258 | +$14 +1.1% |
| Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Ends in 7d | No | 1,991 | 61¢ → 62¢ | $1,224 | +$12 +1.0% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 1,996 | 61¢ → 61¢ | $1,207 | −$8 −0.6% |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 5,762 | 19¢ → 20¢ | $1,124 | +$22 +2.0% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 440d | No | 1,170 | 84¢ → 90¢ | $1,047 | +$62 +6.3% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 1,978 | 48¢ → 53¢ | $1,039 | +$85 +8.9% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?Ends in 8h | Yes | 1,043 | 96¢ → 99¢ | $1,033 | +$35 +3.6% |
| US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,283 | 76¢ → 78¢ | $995 | +$21 +2.2% |
| Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 1,096 | 92¢ → 90¢ | $981 | −$27 −2.7% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 902 | 80¢ → 98¢ | $880 | +$162 +23% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 904 | 59¢ → 96¢ | $865 | +$334 +63% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 4,431 | 23¢ → 20¢ | $864 | −$160 −16% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 2,281 | 36¢ → 38¢ | $855 | +$32 +3.9% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 52d | No | 3,366 | 25¢ → 25¢ | $825 | −$33 −3.9% |
| House favorite on November 2 wins the election?Ends in 17d | Yes | 892 | 93¢ → 91¢ | $807 | −$22 −2.7% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?Ends in 17d | Yes | 2,465 | 35¢ → 32¢ | $798 | −$58 −6.8% |
| Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?Ends in 1171d | No | 1,072 | 80¢ → 74¢ | $788 | −$68 −7.9% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 2,115 | 35¢ → 36¢ | $751 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 440d | No | 757 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $730 | +$24 +3.4% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 730 | 91¢ → 97¢ | $709 | +$45 +6.8% |
| Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?Ends in 531d | No | 762 | 93¢ → 91¢ | $693 | −$18 −2.5% |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 1,390 | 45¢ → 50¢ | $688 | +$61 +9.6% |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 780 | 90¢ → 88¢ | $683 | −$17 −2.5% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 440d | No | 890 | 76¢ → 77¢ | $681 | +$5 +0.8% |
| Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?Ends in 17d | No | 693 | 92¢ → 97¢ | $669 | +$33 +5.1% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | Yes | 2,405 | 28¢ → 28¢ | $661 | −$24 −3.5% |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 256d | No | 1,356 | 49¢ → 48¢ | $644 | −$21 −3.1% |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Ends in 7d | No | 1,625 | 41¢ → 40¢ | $642 | −$24 −3.6% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?Ends in 102d | No | 923 | 68¢ → 66¢ | $604 | −$22 −3.5% |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?Ends in 806d | No | 716 | 86¢ → 82¢ | $583 | −$31 −5.1% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 440d | No | 694 | 86¢ → 83¢ | $579 | −$16 −2.8% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseEnds in 17d | No | 601 | 87¢ → 92¢ | $550 | +$29 +5.6% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 9,899 | 19¢ → 6¢ | $544 | −$1,360 −71% |
| Will Euphoria be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?Ends in 165d | No | 721 | 84¢ → 74¢ | $532 | −$70 −12% |
| Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 55 million or more views in week 1?Ends in 8h | No | 528 | 52¢ → >99¢ | $528 | +$252 +92% |
| Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?Ends in 1171d | No | 728 | 79¢ → 72¢ | $520 | −$53 −9.2% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 9,297 | 22¢ → 6¢ | $516 | −$1,542 −75% |
| Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Ends in 372d | No | 974 | 52¢ → 53¢ | $511 | +$10 +1.9% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 500 | 65¢ → 96¢ | $482 | +$157 +48% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | No | 1,365 | 58¢ → 35¢ | $476 | −$322 −40% |
| Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Ends in 531d | No | 2,471 | 23¢ → 19¢ | $457 | −$113 −20% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?Ends in 102d | No | 1,208 | 36¢ → 38¢ | $453 | +$18 +4.2% |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 460 | 82¢ → 97¢ | $446 | +$69 +18% |
| Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 463 | 76¢ → 96¢ | $442 | +$90 +26% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 440d | No | 559 | 77¢ → 78¢ | $437 | +$5 +1.1% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Ends in 79d | Yes | 757 | 60¢ → 57¢ | $435 | −$19 −4.2% |
| Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 256d | No | 525 | 72¢ → 83¢ | $433 | +$54 +14% |
| Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 452 | 78¢ → 96¢ | $433 | +$78 +22% |
| Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for China by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 463 | 90¢ → 92¢ | $424 | +$6 +1.4% |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 523 | 87¢ → 80¢ | $416 | −$41 −8.9% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 447 | 47¢ → 91¢ | $405 | +$194 +92% |
| Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 648 | 65¢ → 63¢ | $405 | −$16 −3.7% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?Ends in 1d | Yes | 419 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $402 | +$1 +0.2% |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 2,222 | 18¢ → 18¢ | $400 | +$6 +1.4% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 43d | Yes | 998 | 39¢ → 40¢ | $394 | +$3 +0.7% |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 550 | 67¢ → 72¢ | $393 | +$27 +7.5% |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 403 | 72¢ → 97¢ | $390 | +$99 +34% |
| US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?Ends in 17d | No | 1,700 | 23¢ → 23¢ | $383 | −$17 −4.2% |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 389 | 63¢ → 98¢ | $382 | +$137 +56% |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 1,137 | 42¢ → 34¢ | $381 | −$102 −21% |
| Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?Ends in 135d | No | 380 | 70¢ → >99¢ | $380 | +$113 +42% |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?Ends in 5d | No | 2,422 | 34¢ → 16¢ | $375 | −$436 −54% |
