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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Becerra | 96% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 96¢ · 96¢ (<1¢) | $16.2K | in 18d |
| Steve Hilton | 4% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 4¢ · 4¢ (<1¢) | $30.1K | in 18d |
| Tom Steyer | <1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $22.8K | in 18d |
| Rick Caruso | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 18d |
| Alex Padilla | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | $1.06K | in 18d |
| Katie Porter | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 18d |
| Antonio Villaraigosa | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 18d |
| Stephen Cloobeck | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 18d |
| Butch Ware | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 18d |
| Betty Yee | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 18d |
| Toni Atkins | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 18d |
| Kyle Langford | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 18d |
| Chad Bianco | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 18d |
| Eleni Kounalakis | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 18d |
| Daniel Mercuri | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 18d |
| Tony Thurmond | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 18d |
| Michael Younger | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 18d |
| Leo Zacky | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 18d |
| Nicole Shanahan | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 18d |
| Eric Swalwell | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 18d |
| Kamala Harris | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 18d |
| Matt Mahan | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 18d |
| Elaine Culotti | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 18d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed3 fills | Steve Hilton | BuyNo95¢ → 96¢ | $4,294 | +$34 +0.8% | 12 |
| 5h |  Albedo002 fills | Steve Hilton | BuyNo96¢ | $3,843 | −$8 −0.2% | 11 |
| 11h | BuddhaYTorrance5 fills | Tom Steyer | SellNo>99¢ | $43,213 | −$4 −0.0% | — |
| 11h | BuddhaYTorrance3 fills | Xavier Becerra | BuyYes96¢ | $16,554 | −$67 −0.4% | 13 |
| 12h | BuddhaYTorrance2 fills | Steve Hilton | BuyNo96¢ | $15,442 | −$23 −0.2% | 13 |
| 1d | 0xef97…ab2c2 fills | Xavier Becerra | BuyYes96¢ | $3,089 | −$14 −0.5% | 12 |
| 2d | momo513 | Steve Hilton | SellNo96¢ | $1,601 | +$0 +0.0% | — |
| 2d | predictgeek | Steve Hilton | BuyNo96¢ | $1,889 | −$2 −0.1% | 11 |
| 2d |  macrosteaks2 fills | Steve Hilton | SellNo97¢ → 96¢ | $3,232 | +$22 +0.7% | — |
| 2d | 0xef97…ab2c | Steve Hilton | BuyNo96¢ | $1,231 | −$4 −0.3% | 10 |
| 3d |  MrNoItAll3 fills | Steve Hilton | BuyNo96¢ | $4,974 | +$11 +0.2% | 12 |
| 3d |  HilelTheElder | Xavier Becerra | BuyYes96¢ | $2,888 | −$16 −0.5% | 12 |
| 3d | scottorhino | Xavier Becerra | BuyYes96¢ | $2,886 | −$13 −0.5% | 12 |
| 3d | danypotter | Xavier Becerra | BuyYes96¢ | $2,886 | −$13 −0.5% | 12 |
| 3d | FDTpuissance | Xavier Becerra | BuyYes96¢ | $2,886 | −$13 −0.5% | 12 |
| 3d | Flipbandit | Xavier Becerra | BuyYes96¢ | $2,886 | −$13 −0.5% | 12 |
| 3d | kittycat672 fills | Steve Hilton | SellNo96¢ | $4,413 | +$6 +0.1% | — |
| 4d | thoodr3 fills | Xavier Becerra | BuyYes96¢ | $5,474 | −$19 −0.4% | 13 |
| 5d | supahao | Steve Hilton | BuyNo96¢ | $2,000 | −$3 −0.1% | 11 |
| 5d |  Car | Steve Hilton | SellNo95¢ → 96¢ | $1,059 | −$8 −0.7% | — |
| 5d | Ferwhere7 fills | Steve Hilton | BuyYes6¢ → 4¢ | $19,124 | −$6,853 −36% | 52 |
| 5d | Treeman6662 fills | Steve Hilton | BuyNo96¢ | $2,502 | −$6 −0.3% | 11 |
| 5d | MrNoItAll2 fills | Xavier Becerra | BuyYes96¢ | $3,596 | −$17 −0.5% | 12 |
| 8d | StudentMoney4 fills | Steve Hilton | SellNo96¢ | $8,368 | +$39 +0.5% | — |
| 10d | StudentMoney3 fills | Steve Hilton | BuyNo96¢ | $6,587 | +$12 +0.2% | 12 |
| 12d |  AngryRhino3 fills | Steve Hilton | BuyNo93¢ → 96¢ | $23,483 | +$642 +2.7% | 14 |
| 15d |  archaic | Steve Hilton | BuyNo96¢ | $1,355 | +$6 +0.4% | 11 |
| 15d | thoodr3 fills | Steve Hilton | BuyNo95¢ → 96¢ | $8,279 | +$73 +0.9% | 13 |
| 15d | 0x41b4…dad23 fills | Steve Hilton | BuyYes5¢ → 4¢ | $4,523 | −$1,123 −25% | 34 |
| 18d |  Lucerys | Tom Steyer | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,373 | −$5 −0.4% | 10 |
| 19d | SAPolitcsSeer3 fills | Steve Hilton | BuyNo95¢ → 96¢ | $11,590 | +$162 +1.4% | 14 |
| 21d |  Specksalam | Steve Hilton | SellNo95¢ → 96¢ | $2,135 | −$22 −1.1% | — |
| 21d | SAPolitcsSeer4 fills | Tom Steyer | SellNo>99¢ | $74,264 | +$254 +0.3% | — |
| 21d | sweetj3 fills | Xavier Becerra | SellYes96¢ | $5,668 | −$14 −0.2% | — |
| 23d |  Robbb | Xavier Becerra | SellYes95¢ → 96¢ | $4,884 | −$25 −0.5% | — |
| 24d |  456ythgbvcadscvb2 fills | Steve Hilton | BuyNo95¢ → 96¢ | $4,450 | +$59 +1.3% | 12 |
| 27d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed2 fills | Xavier Becerra | SellYes95¢ → 96¢ | $3,261 | −$29 −0.9% | — |
| 27d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed | Xavier Becerra | BuyYes95¢ → 96¢ | $1,047 | +$6 +0.6% | 11 |
| 27d | QMG-CORE | Steve Hilton | BuyNo95¢ → 96¢ | $2,783 | +$32 +1.1% | 11 |
| 28d | 456ythgbvcadscvb | Xavier Becerra | BuyYes95¢ → 96¢ | $1,026 | +$14 +1.3% | 11 |
| 28d |  GrokEnjoyer | Steve Hilton | SellNo95¢ → 96¢ | $1,893 | −$27 −1.4% | — |
| 29d | 0x41b4…dad22 fills | Xavier Becerra | BuyNo6¢ → 4¢ | $4,637 | −$1,577 −34% | 42 |
| 29d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed | Steve Hilton | SellNo95¢ → 96¢ | $1,070 | −$12 −1.2% | — |
| 32d | AngryRhino3 fills | Xavier Becerra | BuyYes94¢ → 96¢ | $21,132 | +$372 +1.8% | 14 |
| 39d | FastTrackFund | Xavier Becerra | SellYes93¢ → 96¢ | $13,125 | −$348 −2.7% | — |
| 42d | Lolololol2 fills | Xavier Becerra | BuyYes95¢ → 96¢ | $3,549 | +$40 +1.1% | 13 |
| 46d | Kevindoto | Xavier Becerra | BuyYes95¢ → 96¢ | $3,679 | +$22 +0.6% | 13 |
| 49d |  twinna | Xavier Becerra | SellYes95¢ → 96¢ | $1,927 | −$11 −0.6% | — |
| 51d |  LlamaEnjoyer | Matt Mahan | SellNo>99¢ | $1,670 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 52d | macrosteaks | Steve Hilton | BuyNo95¢ → 96¢ | $1,420 | +$10 +0.7% | 11 |
| 55d | Robbb | Steve Hilton | SellNo95¢ → 96¢ | $1,034 | −$9 −0.8% | — |
| 59d |  studmuffin69694 fills | Xavier Becerra | BuyYes87¢ → 96¢ | $6,821 | +$648 +9.5% | 18 |
| 59d | macrosteaks | Xavier Becerra | BuyYes94¢ → 96¢ | $3,735 | +$65 +1.8% | 14 |
| 59d | QbertRules | Steve Hilton | BuyNo94¢ → 96¢ | $3,771 | +$72 +1.9% | 12 |
| 60d | 0x44vanz | Xavier Becerra | SellYes93¢ → 96¢ | $9,259 | −$316 −3.4% | — |
| 61d | Thombg | Steve Hilton | BuyNo94¢ → 96¢ | $2,500 | +$54 +2.1% | 11 |
| 62d | Thombg | Xavier Becerra | SellYes93¢ → 96¢ | $1,193 | −$37 −3.1% | — |
| 64d | lomneivan | Xavier Becerra | SellYes93¢ → 96¢ | $2,446 | −$78 −3.2% | — |
| 70d |  edgguang | Steve Hilton | BuyNo94¢ → 96¢ | $1,428 | +$32 +2.2% | 11 |
| 70d | Insignificant-Peony-Fertilizer | Xavier Becerra | BuyYes96¢ | $1,600 | +$0 +0.0% | 11 |
AngryRhino34,708 shares
Seutervoinen32,200 shares
strider-22,286 shares
Kickstand720,527 sharesThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 96¢ for Xavier Becerra means the market gives it about 96%.