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Polymarket wallet 0x25c0120e2d7481a7e8a03b853d3afbf9bbc7dd22 · on Polymarket since Jul 18, 2024 · also shown as Thorny-Legislature
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 3,550 | 17¢ → 4¢ | $151 | −$449 −75% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 141 | 71¢ → 100¢ | $141 | +$41 +41% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11 | 88¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 150 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Microphones muted during ABC debate?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 27,130 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$189 −100% |
| Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 662 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Will Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 932 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Tulsi Gabbard out by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,078 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$200 −100% |
| Israel military response against Iran today?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 207 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 12 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.