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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | 0 pts | −4 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 227d |  Xeny2 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | SellYes>99¢ | $10,989 | −$11 −0.1% | — |
| 227d | cripes38 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | SellYes>99¢ | $83,759 | −$96 −0.1% | — |
| 227d | udontknowanything8 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | SellYes>99¢ | $33,266 | −$33 −0.1% | — |
| 227d |  AngryRhino | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,108 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 227d |  Rhabarberbarbarbar | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,879 | +$9 +0.1% | 20 |
| 227d |  basedd | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,178 | +$8 +0.1% | 20 |
| 227d |  Euan | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BuyYes>99¢ | $49,950 | +$50 +0.1% | 20 |
| 227d |  Lily.Phillips | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,452 | +$8 +0.1% | 20 |
| 227d | borntoolate.eth | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BuyYes>99¢ | $83,456 | +$84 +0.1% | 20 |
| 227d |  Malfunction. | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | SellYes>99¢ | $103,078 | −$103 −0.1% | — |
| 227d | Predictandbreathe | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | SellYes>99¢ | $39,960 | −$40 −0.1% | — |
| 227d |  HolyMoses74 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BuyYes>99¢ | $27,824 | +$28 +0.1% | 20 |
| 227d | lakers26cs | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,535 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 227d | Malfunction. | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BuyYes>99¢ | $49,950 | +$50 +0.1% | 20 |
| 227d | neetbot | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,639 | +$8 +0.1% | 20 |
| 227d |  llzl9d9ujfurhuer32 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BuyYes>99¢ | $35,163 | +$35 +0.1% | 20 |
| 227d | cripes35 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BuyYes>99¢ | $75,633 | +$76 +0.1% | 20 |
| 227d |  RememberAmalek | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,064 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 227d |  occasionalAwareness2 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BuyYes>99¢ | $102,664 | +$103 +0.1% | 20 |
| 227d | Xeny3 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BuyYes>99¢ | $34,965 | +$35 +0.1% | 20 |
| 227d |  neetbets3 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BuyYes>99¢ | $14,985 | +$15 +0.1% | 20 |
| 227d |  LlamaEnjoyer | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BuyYes>99¢ | $45,168 | +$45 +0.1% | 20 |
| 227d | aviato | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BuyYes>99¢ | $19,980 | +$20 +0.1% | 20 |
| 227d |  The-Joker | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,988 | +$12 +0.1% | 20 |
| 227d | 0x7131cB618fb195C70E8e629C45199096833C29 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | SellYes>99¢ | $4,990 | −$10 −0.2% | — |
| 227d |  89ito | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BuyNo<1¢ | $1,497 | −$1,497 −100% | 23 |
| 227d |  noreasapa | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BuyYes>99¢ | $19,980 | +$20 +0.1% | 20 |
| 227d |  hmmmmmhmmmmmm | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | SellYes>99¢ | $6,986 | −$14 −0.2% | — |
| 227d |  Red781RuM | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 227d | Extravagance3 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | SellYes>99¢ | $2,794 | −$6 −0.2% | — |
| 227d |  chungguskhan | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BuyYes>99¢ | $227,822 | +$228 +0.1% | 20 |
| 227d | WHOKNOWSSS | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,491 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 227d |  Snow-White | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | SellYes>99¢ | $35,995 | −$36 −0.1% | — |
| 227d |  Anjun | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BuyYes>99¢ | $18,709 | +$19 +0.1% | 20 |
| 227d |  MEPP2 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | SellYes>99¢ | $9,990 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 227d |  jesterthegoose2 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | SellYes>99¢ | $19,960 | −$40 −0.2% | — |
| 227d | Leviathan18323 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | SellYes>99¢ | $17,624 | −$20 −0.1% | — |
| 227d |  tsybka | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BuyYes>99¢ | $24,975 | +$25 +0.1% | 20 |
| 227d |  O3O.legacy.0 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,990 | +$10 +0.1% | 20 |
| 227d |  BloodyMummer | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,994 | +$6 +0.1% | 20 |
| 227d | jesterthegoose | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BuyYes>99¢ | $89,910 | +$90 +0.1% | 20 |
| 227d | Liorp | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | SellYes>99¢ | $17,374 | −$35 −0.2% | — |
| 227d |  95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,129 | +$7 +0.1% | 20 |
| 227d | MatanE | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | SellYes>99¢ | $5,018 | −$10 −0.2% | — |
| 227d | BrightStars11 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | SellYes>99¢ | $197,125 | −$268 −0.1% | — |
| 227d |  MineGuyBonds | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BuyYes>99¢ | $25,082 | +$25 +0.1% | 20 |
| 227d | TheLastOfMachine2 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BuyYes>99¢ | $306,289 | +$307 +0.1% | 20 |
| 227d |  SusanWarrenHR | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 227d | m00f | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,191 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 227d |  GroyperFinancialServices3 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | SellYes>99¢ | $99,900 | −$100 −0.1% | — |
| 227d | Moral-Jet | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | SellYes>99¢ | $7,736 | −$16 −0.2% | — |
| 227d | tinman2 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | SellYes>99¢ | $9,943 | −$20 −0.2% | — |
| 227d |  manekineko | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BuyYes>99¢ | $57,443 | +$58 +0.1% | 20 |
| 227d |  Vulture-811 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,132 | +$10 +0.1% | 20 |
| 227d | Ordon2 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BuyYes>99¢ | $46,953 | +$47 +0.1% | 20 |
| 227d | redwagon | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,790 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 227d | Willing-TacticsNew account | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | SellYes>99¢ | $20,756 | −$21 −0.1% | — |
| 227d |  Tigerofthehood | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | SellYes>99¢ | $29,940 | −$60 −0.2% | — |
| 227d | Sensei2 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | SellYes>99¢ | $67,275 | −$67 −0.1% | — |
| 227d | rdba | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BuyYes>99¢ | $664,865 | +$666 +0.1% | 20 |
89ito748,581 shares
Spirit-LT403,000 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran's Supreme Leader, Ali Khamenei, is removed from power for any length of time between this market's creation and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Khamenei will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Supreme Leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.