| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 10,707 | 62¢ → 34¢ | $3,603 | −$3,008 −46% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 4,684 | 84¢ → 73¢ | $3,396 | −$546 −14% |
| Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 3,466 | 37¢ → 31¢ | $1,074 | −$222 −17% |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 983 | 61¢ → 97¢ | $949 | +$351 +59% |
| Weed rescheduled by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 1,020 | 76¢ → 92¢ | $941 | +$168 +22% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 1,208 | 71¢ → 76¢ | $912 | +$54 +6.3% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | No | 1,040 | 72¢ → 85¢ | $883 | +$137 +18% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 6,866 | 87¢ → 13¢ | $858 | −$5,139 −86% |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?Ends in 74d | Yes | 850 | 66¢ → 80¢ | $676 | +$118 +21% |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Ends in 75d | Yes | 750 | 42¢ → 75¢ | $562 | +$250 +80% |
| Will a 7.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 500 | 95¢ → >99¢ | $499 | +$24 +4.9% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 450 | 87¢ → 89¢ | $398 | +$7 +1.9% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.5% at the end of 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 873 | 11¢ → 39¢ | $336 | +$236 +235% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 360 | 55¢ → 87¢ | $311 | +$112 +56% |
| Will Mohamed Chaouki be the next Prime Minister of Morocco?Ends in 286d | No | 250 | 98¢ → 100¢ | $249 | +$4 +1.6% |
| Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL + UDMR?Ends in 440d | No | 250 | 87¢ → 99¢ | $247 | +$30 +14% |
| Will the National Liberal Party (PNL) be included in the next Romanian government?Ends in 440d | No | 260 | 62¢ → 94¢ | $243 | +$82 +51% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 1,000 | 15¢ → 24¢ | $235 | +$85 +57% |
| Luigi Mangione tried before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 250 | 97¢ → 89¢ | $221 | −$22 −9.1% |
| Will the cure (Olivia Rodrigo) win Song of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Ends in 256d | Yes | 500 | 20¢ → 44¢ | $218 | +$116 +114% |
| Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Ends in 1d | No | 217 | 57¢ → >99¢ | $217 | +$93 +75% |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $194 | +$5 +2.7% |
| James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 196 | 90¢ → 99¢ | $194 | +$17 +9.6% |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 250 | 79¢ → 73¢ | $181 | −$17 −8.8% |
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 215 | 50¢ → 83¢ | $177 | +$70 +65% |
| Will Missouri use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 180 | 87¢ → 95¢ | $171 | +$15 +9.5% |
| Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?Ends in 76d | Yes | 1,674 | 53¢ → 10¢ | $159 | −$736 −82% |
| Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Ends in 440d | No | 150 | 95¢ → 99¢ | $149 | +$6 +4.5% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 180 | 78¢ → 77¢ | $138 | −$3 −2.2% |
| Will FIFA Sell Equity in the World Cup in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 140 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $138 | +$0 +0.2% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 150 | 94¢ → 92¢ | $138 | −$4 −2.6% |
| Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 256d | Yes | 150 | 84¢ → 92¢ | $138 | +$12 +9.3% |
| Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 132 | 74¢ → 95¢ | $126 | +$27 +28% |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 390 | 20¢ → 28¢ | $109 | +$33 +43% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 100 | 92¢ → 99¢ | $99 | +$7 +7.9% |
| Will Japan's core CPI increase by between 2.5 and 2.9% in 2026?Ends in 96d | No | 100 | 91¢ → 99¢ | $99 | +$8 +8.9% |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in October?Ends in 106d | No | 100 | 94¢ → 99¢ | $99 | +$5 +5.2% |
| Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 100 | 27¢ → 98¢ | $98 | +$71 +264% |
| Will Japan's core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026?Ends in 96d | No | 100 | 59¢ → 97¢ | $97 | +$38 +64% |
| Will the 2026 trade deficit be less than 500B?Ends in 195d | No | 100 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $97 | +$1 +1.2% |
| Will Japan's core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026?Ends in 96d | Yes | 100 | 48¢ → 96¢ | $96 | +$48 +101% |
| Will Fatima Ezzahra El Mansouri be the next Prime Minister of Morocco?Ends in 286d | Yes | 100 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $96 | +$2 +1.9% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 100 | 74¢ → 96¢ | $96 | +$22 +29% |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 100 | 83¢ → 96¢ | $96 | +$13 +15% |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 100 | 88¢ → 88¢ | $88 | −$1 −0.6% |
| X banned in any European country by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 97 | 87¢ → 90¢ | $87 | +$3 +3.1% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 150 | 63¢ → 56¢ | $83 | −$11 −12% |
| Will Donald Trump visit Iowa before the midterms?Ends in 16d | Yes | 84 | >99¢ → 99¢ | $82 | −$1 −1.1% |
| Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?Ends ended | No | 87 | 92¢ → 90¢ | $78 | −$2 −2.6% |
| Jalen Hurts: Passing Yards O/U 249.5Ends in 8h | Under | 96 | 99¢ → 81¢ | $78 | −$17 −18% |
| Will UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0% and 0.1%?Ends in 26d | No | 78 | 77¢ → 98¢ | $77 | +$16 +27% |
| Will the Save Romania Union (USR) be included in the next Romanian government?Ends in 440d | No | 76 | 79¢ → 98¢ | $75 | +$15 +25% |
| Will Donald Trump visit Maine before the midterms?Ends in 16d | No | 164 | 51¢ → 45¢ | $74 | −$10 −12% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 200 | 64¢ → 36¢ | $72 | −$55 −43% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 88 | 71¢ → 81¢ | $71 | +$8 +13% |
| Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?Ends in 75d | Yes | 100 | 41¢ → 71¢ | $71 | +$30 +72% |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 200 | 69¢ → 35¢ | $69 | −$68 −50% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?Ends in 79d | Yes | 105 | 47¢ → 63¢ | $66 | +$16 +32% |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 100 | 55¢ → 59¢ | $59 | +$3 +5.5% |
| Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 1.3%?Ends in 12d | No | 100 | 84¢ → 59¢ | $59 | −$26 −30% |
| Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 100 | 32¢ → 57¢ | $57 | +$25 +79% |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 57 | 72¢ → 97¢ | $55 | +$14 +33% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 150 | 57¢ → 37¢ | $55 | −$31 −36% |
| Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 100 | 69¢ → 53¢ | $53 | −$16 −23% |
| Will Waymo operate in 32 or more cities on December 31 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 50 | 90¢ → >99¢ | $50 | +$5 +11% |
| Will Oura's market cap be between $17.5B and $20B at market close on IPO day?Ends in 75d | No | 50 | 84¢ → >99¢ | $50 | +$8 +19% |
| Will Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day?Ends in 75d | No | 50 | 77¢ → >99¢ | $50 | +$11 +29% |
| Will SB Energy not IPO before January 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 50 | 31¢ → 99¢ | $50 | +$34 +221% |
| Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Ends in 440d | No | 50 | 93¢ → 99¢ | $50 | +$3 +7.5% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?Ends in 440d | No | 50 | 62¢ → 99¢ | $50 | +$19 +60% |
| Will DeepSeek IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 50 | 95¢ → 99¢ | $49 | +$2 +3.8% |
| Will Oura's market cap be between $15B and $17.5B at market close on IPO day?Ends in 75d | No | 50 | 65¢ → 98¢ | $49 | +$17 +51% |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 50 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $49 | +$1 +2.6% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?Ends in 440d | No | 50 | 78¢ → 97¢ | $49 | +$10 +25% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 50 | 78¢ → 97¢ | $48 | +$9 +24% |
| Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Ends ended | No | 50 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $48 | +$2 +4.1% |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again?Ends in 33d | No | 50 | 83¢ → 97¢ | $48 | +$7 +17% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?Ends in 439d | No | 50 | 92¢ → 97¢ | $48 | +$2 +4.7% |
| Will Kenneth Walker III have 724.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Ends in 101d | Yes | 50 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $48 | +$1 +2.6% |
| Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 50 | 86¢ → 96¢ | $48 | +$5 +12% |
| Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 50 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $48 | +$2 +4.6% |
| Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium?Ends in 75d | No | 50 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $48 | +$0 +0.5% |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 50 | 87¢ → 96¢ | $48 | +$4 +9.7% |
| Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 50 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $48 | +$0 +0.2% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 50 | 91¢ → 95¢ | $47 | +$2 +4.3% |
| Will Josh Shapiro announce a Presidential run before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 50 | 91¢ → 95¢ | $47 | +$2 +3.8% |
| Will María Fernanda Espinosa be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?Ends in 256d | No | 50 | 87¢ → 94¢ | $47 | +$4 +8.1% |
| UK Recession in 2026?Ends in 195d | No | 50 | 95¢ → 94¢ | $47 | −$1 −1.6% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 50 | 90¢ → 94¢ | $47 | +$2 +3.9% |
| U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 50 | 90¢ → 94¢ | $47 | +$2 +3.9% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 50 | 71¢ → 94¢ | $47 | +$11 +32% |
| Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 50 | 93¢ → 93¢ | $46 | −$0 −0.5% |
| Will South African inflation be between 4.7% and 5.0% in 2026?Ends in 95d | No | 50 | 68¢ → 92¢ | $46 | +$12 +36% |
| Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 50 | 84¢ → 92¢ | $46 | +$4 +9.5% |
| Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 191 | 29¢ → 24¢ | $46 | −$9 −17% |
| Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 50 | 88¢ → 92¢ | $46 | +$2 +3.4% |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?Ends in 17d | Yes | 50 | 73¢ → 91¢ | $45 | +$9 +24% |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 50 | 86¢ → 90¢ | $45 | +$2 +4.1% |
| Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 50 | 84¢ → 89¢ | $44 | +$2 +5.4% |
| Will Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?Ends in 256d | No | 50 | 79¢ → 88¢ | $44 | +$4 +11% |
