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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 31 | 96% | +4 pts | +29 pts | 96¢ · 97¢ (<1¢) | $2.73K | in 15d |
| December 31 | 96% | +1 pts | +13 pts | 96¢ · 96¢ (<1¢) | $84.5 | in 76d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39m | gesst | October 31 | BuyYes90¢ → 96¢ | $1,803 | +$124 +6.9% | 11 |
| 3d | gesst | December 31 | BuyYes91¢ → 96¢ | $1,083 | +$55 +5.1% | 10 |
| 88d | thoodr | Romanian PM Bolojan out by July 31? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $9,592 | +$505 +5.3% | 4 |
| 92d | yupiiiiiiiii | December 31 | SellYes95¢ → 96¢ | $1,246 | −$15 −1.2% | — |
| 108d | Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,208 | −$7 −0.3% | — | |
| 109d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed | December 31 | BuyYes99¢ → 96¢ | $1,035 | −$30 −2.9% | 5 |
| 109d | Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? | SellNo81¢ → 100¢ | $5,580 | −$1,279 −23% | — | |
| 109d | Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,885 | −$19 −1.0% | — | |
| 113d | Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? | SellNo80¢ → 100¢ | $2,194 | −$560 −26% | — | |
| 115d | Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? | BuyNo69¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$1,150 +46% | 6 | |
| 115d | spacegliderr | Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? | BuyNo68¢ → 100¢ | $7,934 | +$3,756 +47% | 4 |
| 116d | Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,996 | +$329 +16% | 4 | |
| 116d | boloJEAN | Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? | BuyNo54¢ → 100¢ | $1,096 | +$936 +85% | 4 |
| 117d | Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? | SellNo61¢ → 100¢ | $1,338 | −$871 −65% | — | |
| 121d | Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $1,302 | +$449 +34% | 4 | |
| 122d | Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$317 +29% | 4 | |
| 123d | randomuseris123 | Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? | BuyYes71¢ → 0¢ | $1,371 | −$1,371 −100% | 4 |
| 125d | Whyleo | Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? | SellNo67¢ → 100¢ | $2,181 | −$1,098 −50% | — |
| 125d | randomuseris123 | Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? | BuyNo71¢ → 100¢ | $1,083 | +$433 +40% | 4 |
| 126d | Odd-Deformation | Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? | BuyNo71¢ → 100¢ | $1,425 | +$575 +40% | 4 |
| 139d | Romanian PM Bolojan out by May 31? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,871 | −$9 −0.3% | — | |
| 140d | yupiiiiiiiii | Romanian PM Bolojan out by May 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,994 | +$6 +0.2% | 4 |
| 150d | Romanian PM Bolojan out by May 31? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $6,972 | +$625 +9.0% | 4 | |
| 157d | December 31 | SellYes98¢ → 96¢ | $1,193 | +$27 +2.3% | — | |
| 158d | Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? | SellYes82¢ → 0¢ | $4,152 | +$4,152 +100% | — | |
| 159d | Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? | BuyYes90¢ → 0¢ | $1,292 | −$1,292 −100% | 4 | |
| 163d | Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? | SellYes93¢ → 0¢ | $2,231 | +$2,231 +100% | — | |
| 164d | Xaci | December 31 | SellYes98¢ → 96¢ | $4,539 | +$91 +2.0% | — |
| 164d | Dontmatterdog | December 31 | SellYes99¢ → 96¢ | $3,326 | +$115 +3.5% | — |
| 165d | Licasamadaul | December 31 | SellYes99¢ → 96¢ | $11,574 | +$390 +3.4% | — |
| 165d | Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? | SellYes99¢ → 0¢ | $1,029 | +$1,029 +100% | — | |
| 165d | Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? | BuyYes99¢ → 0¢ | $1,030 | −$1,030 −100% | 4 | |
| 165d | December 31 | SellYes99¢ → 96¢ | $2,119 | +$70 +3.3% | — | |
| 165d | Xaci | December 31 | BuyYes>99¢ → 96¢ | $4,634 | −$187 −4.0% | 4 |
| 165d | JohnReacher | December 31 | SellYes98¢ → 96¢ | $2,688 | +$59 +2.2% | — |
| 165d | yupiiiiiiiii2 fills | December 31 | BuyYes97¢ → 96¢ | $4,774 | −$55 −1.1% | 6 |
| 165d | fortuna1001 | December 31 | BuyYes90¢ → 96¢ | $1,000 | +$69 +6.9% | 11 |
| 165d | NeaGogo | December 31 | SellYes85¢ → 96¢ | $1,346 | −$163 −12% | — |
| 165d | Dontmatterdog | December 31 | BuyYes88¢ → 96¢ | $2,300 | +$191 +8.3% | 12 |
| 165d | Licasamadaul2 fills | December 31 | BuyYes81¢ → 96¢ | $7,850 | +$1,417 +18% | 17 |
| 167d | boloJEAN3 fills | December 31 | BuyYes85¢ → 96¢ | $11,273 | +$1,433 +13% | 14 |
| 171d | Dirty-Market | December 31 | BuyYes94¢ → 96¢ | $1,600 | +$21 +1.3% | 8 |
| 173d | NeaGogo | December 31 | BuyYes86¢ → 96¢ | $1,253 | +$142 +11% | 13 |
| 230d | Hermit47 | December 31 | BuyYes67¢ → 96¢ | $2,000 | +$862 +43% | 24 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 96¢ for October 31 means the market gives it about 96%.