| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by March 31?Ends in 165d | No | 136 | 88¢ → 78¢ | $106 | −$14 −11% |
| Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 120 | 83¢ → 81¢ | $97 | −$2 −2.4% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 19?Ends in 1d | No | 120 | 67¢ → 70¢ | $84 | +$4 +4.5% |
| Will Rishi Sharma win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election?Ends in 9h | No | 98 | 84¢ → 85¢ | $83 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 300 | 28¢ → 28¢ | $83 | −$2 −1.8% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election by 6%-9%?Ends in 17d | No | 100 | 81¢ → 81¢ | $81 | +$0 +0.4% |
| Ilhan Omar denaturalization case filed by March 31, 2027?Ends in 165d | No | 101 | 86¢ → 78¢ | $78 | −$9 −9.9% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?Ends in 18d | No | 90 | 84¢ → 80¢ | $72 | −$4 −5.4% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 101 | 72¢ → 71¢ | $71 | −$2 −2.1% |
| Will Confluent (CFLT) beat quarterly earnings?Ends in 8d | No | 80 | 93¢ → 87¢ | $70 | −$5 −6.1% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election by 3%-6%?Ends in 17d | No | 80 | 84¢ → 83¢ | $67 | −$0 −0.7% |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 100 | 67¢ → 67¢ | $67 | −$1 −0.7% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IA-02 House election by 0%-3%?Ends in 17d | No | 80 | 86¢ → 83¢ | $66 | −$2 −3.5% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-20 House election by 35%-40%?Ends in 17d | No | 80 | 83¢ → 83¢ | $66 | $0 0.0% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-07 House election by 3%-6%?Ends in 17d | No | 81 | 79¢ → 82¢ | $66 | +$2 +3.3% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-07 House election by 6%-9%?Ends in 17d | No | 81 | 82¢ → 81¢ | $66 | −$1 −1.0% |
| Will the median home value in NYC be between $484,000 and $497,000 on December 31?Ends in 85d | Yes | 480 | 16¢ → 14¢ | $65 | −$12 −16% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 19?Ends in 1d | No | 80 | 83¢ → 79¢ | $63 | −$4 −5.4% |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on October 18?Ends in 9h | No | 81 | 75¢ → 78¢ | $63 | +$2 +3.3% |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 15°C on October 18?Ends in 9h | No | 78 | 80¢ → 80¢ | $63 | $0 0.0% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-10 House election by 15%-20%?Ends in 17d | No | 80 | 76¢ → 74¢ | $59 | −$2 −2.6% |
| Will the Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR) be included in the next Romanian government?Ends ended | No | 59 | 87¢ → 97¢ | $58 | +$6 +11% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Ends in 79d | Yes | 398 | 19¢ → 14¢ | $58 | −$18 −24% |
| Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.10T and $1.20T at the end of November 2026?Ends in 43d | No | 80 | 89¢ → 72¢ | $57 | −$13 −19% |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 79 | 75¢ → 72¢ | $56 | −$3 −4.7% |
| Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?Ends in 440d | No | 68 | 83¢ → 83¢ | $56 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 76 | 73¢ → 72¢ | $54 | −$1 −2.1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on October 18?Ends in 9h | No | 73 | 75¢ → 73¢ | $53 | −$1 −2.7% |
| Will a team from EMEA win VALORANT Champions 2026?Ends in 2d | No | 90 | 77¢ → 57¢ | $51 | −$18 −26% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-07 House election by 70%-75%?Ends in 17d | No | 67 | 79¢ → 76¢ | $51 | −$2 −4.1% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 55 | 92¢ → 90¢ | $50 | −$1 −2.7% |
| Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be less than $1,115,000 on December 31?Ends in 85d | No | 80 | 71¢ → 61¢ | $48 | −$8 −15% |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on October 17?Ends ended | No | 89 | 54¢ → 54¢ | $48 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Professora Dorinha win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial election?Ends ended | No | 55 | 36¢ → 87¢ | $48 | +$28 +140% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 18?Ends in 9h | No | 81 | 65¢ → 58¢ | $47 | −$6 −11% |
| Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in October?Ends in 14d | No | 70 | 80¢ → 65¢ | $46 | −$11 −19% |
| Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on October 18?Ends in 9h | No | 60 | 84¢ → 76¢ | $45 | −$5 −10% |
| Will Vicentinho Júnior win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial election?Ends ended | Yes | 55 | 37¢ → 82¢ | $45 | +$24 +120% |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?Ends in 43d | Yes | 75 | 56¢ → 56¢ | $42 | +$0 +0.9% |
| Will Nick Stewart attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 54 | 75¢ → 76¢ | $41 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will Trump say "Nuclear" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Kentucky?Ends ended | No | 101 | 39¢ → 41¢ | $41 | +$2 +3.8% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028?Ends in 439d | Yes | 60 | 70¢ → 66¢ | $39 | −$3 −6.4% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-13 House election by 25%-30%?Ends in 17d | No | 47 | 86¢ → 83¢ | $39 | −$2 −4.1% |
| Will RISE launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 45 | 85¢ → 79¢ | $35 | −$3 −7.6% |
| Allstate (ALL) Q3 property-liability combined ratio 86% to 88%?Ends in 17d | No | 60 | 73¢ → 59¢ | $35 | −$9 −20% |
| Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | Yes | 331 | 14¢ → 11¢ | $35 | −$12 −25% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028?Ends in 439d | No | 50 | 75¢ → 68¢ | $34 | −$4 −10% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-09 House election by 35%-40%?Ends in 17d | No | 40 | 83¢ → 84¢ | $34 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Will Jeremiah Smith win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?Ends ended | Yes | 60 | 58¢ → 56¢ | $33 | −$1 −4.3% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NE-01 House election by 6%-9%?Ends in 17d | No | 40 | 82¢ → 80¢ | $32 | −$1 −3.0% |
| Will Xavi Hernandez attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?Ends in 44d | No | 40 | 82¢ → 78¢ | $31 | −$2 −5.5% |
| Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 6.00 ft or more by November 30?Ends in 45d | No | 76 | 48¢ → 41¢ | $31 | −$5 −15% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-02 House election by 5%-10%?Ends in 17d | No | 40 | 77¢ → 76¢ | $31 | −$0 −1.0% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-02 House election by 0%-5%?Ends in 17d | No | 35 | 85¢ → 87¢ | $30 | +$1 +1.8% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-04 House election by 5%-10%?Ends in 17d | No | 36 | 84¢ → 83¢ | $30 | −$0 −0.8% |
| Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $20M?Ends in 16d | Yes | 40 | 80¢ → 74¢ | $29 | −$3 −8.1% |
| Will Garmin (GRMN) beat quarterly earnings?Ends in 10d | Yes | 40 | 78¢ → 73¢ | $29 | −$2 −7.1% |
| Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the #2 song for 2026?Ends in 106d | No | 34 | 90¢ → 86¢ | $29 | −$2 −5.0% |
| Will Sunita Dhir win the next Vancouver-Langara British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Ends in 7d | No | 41 | 74¢ → 70¢ | $29 | −$2 −5.4% |
| Will Frances Tiafoe Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?Ends ended | Yes | 34 | 88¢ → 83¢ | $28 | −$2 −5.7% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 32 | 79¢ → 82¢ | $26 | +$1 +2.9% |
| Will "Magan's Fare" be nominated for Best Live Action Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 148d | No | 31 | 86¢ → 85¢ | $26 | −$0 −1.7% |
| Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M?Ends in 16d | No | 60 | 50¢ → 44¢ | $26 | −$4 −12% |
| Will Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) beat quarterly earnings?Ends in 11d | Yes | 40 | 80¢ → 65¢ | $26 | −$6 −19% |
| Will AI solve the Hadwiger-Nelson problem in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 30 | 85¢ → 86¢ | $26 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will the New Jersey Devils make the 2026-27 NHL Playoffs?Ends in 180d | No | 60 | 46¢ → 42¢ | $25 | −$3 −9.8% |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on October 18?Ends in 9h | No | 42 | 70¢ → 59¢ | $25 | −$5 −16% |
| Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 148d | No | 30 | 82¢ → 83¢ | $25 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on October 18?Ends in 9h | No | 43 | 62¢ → 57¢ | $25 | −$2 −8.1% |
| Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between -0.8% and 0.0%?Ends in 29d | No | 29 | 86¢ → 81¢ | $23 | −$2 −6.4% |
| Will Team Falcons Make a Roster Change by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 30 | 86¢ → 76¢ | $23 | −$3 −11% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-08 House election by 60%-65%?Ends in 17d | No | 30 | 76¢ → 76¢ | $23 | $0 0.0% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-04 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 100 | 16¢ → 23¢ | $23 | +$6 +37% |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?Ends in 12d | Yes | 40 | 53¢ → 56¢ | $22 | +$1 +5.7% |
| Will "The Man That I Wave At" be nominated for Best Live Action Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 148d | No | 30 | 82¢ → 75¢ | $22 | −$2 −9.1% |
| Will Google (GOOGL) Q3 Cloud Revenue be above $30B?Ends in 10d | No | 76 | 75¢ → 29¢ | $22 | −$35 −61% |
| Will zekken play for Sentinels in 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 25 | 88¢ → 87¢ | $22 | −$0 −1.3% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CT-02 House election by 20%-25%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 80 | 28¢ → 27¢ | $21 | −$1 −5.4% |
| Will Colgate-Palmolive (CL) beat quarterly earnings?Ends in 12d | Yes | 80 | 71¢ → 27¢ | $21 | −$36 −63% |
| Will Marseille reach the 2027 UEFA Europa League Round of 16?Ends in 133d | Yes | 60 | 36¢ → 35¢ | $21 | −$1 −4.2% |
| Will Equifax (EFX) beat quarterly earnings?Ends in 2d | Yes | 31 | 75¢ → 67¢ | $21 | −$3 −11% |
| Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Quintana Roo Congress election?Ends in 232d | Yes | 30 | 82¢ → 69¢ | $21 | −$4 −16% |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?Ends in 44d | Yes | 100 | 26¢ → 21¢ | $21 | −$6 −21% |
| Will Jeremiyah Love have 499.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Ends in 101d | Yes | 23 | 93¢ → 88¢ | $20 | −$1 −5.3% |
| Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?Ends in 12d | Yes | 60 | 36¢ → 34¢ | $20 | −$2 −6.9% |
| Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.9%?Ends in 10d | No | 30 | 72¢ → 66¢ | $20 | −$2 −9.0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on October 18?Ends in 9h | No | 24 | 79¢ → 83¢ | $19 | +$1 +4.6% |
| Will PUBG Mobile Win the 2026 Esports Mobile Game of the Year Award?Ends ended | No | 30 | 68¢ → 65¢ | $19 | −$1 −5.5% |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 30 | 73¢ → 65¢ | $19 | −$3 −12% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 84 | 26¢ → 23¢ | $19 | −$3 −13% |
| Will Peyz win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?Ends in 42d | No | 21 | 92¢ → 89¢ | $19 | −$1 −3.3% |
| Will Tina Kotek underperform Kamala in Oregon?Ends in 16d | Yes | 20 | 94¢ → 93¢ | $19 | −$0 −1.1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on October 18?Ends in 9h | No | 32 | 73¢ → 58¢ | $19 | −$5 −21% |
| Will the Minnesota Wild record 110+ points?Ends in 194d | No | 30 | 73¢ → 61¢ | $18 | −$4 −17% |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.50% before 2027?Ends in 74d | Yes | 75 | 30¢ → 24¢ | $18 | −$5 −20% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-28 House election by 5%-10%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 120 | 21¢ → 15¢ | $18 | −$7 −29% |
| Will ExxonMobil (XOM) beat quarterly earnings?Ends in 5d | Yes | 21 | 90¢ → 86¢ | $18 | −$1 −5.0% |
| Will Texas be a top 4 seed in the 2027 College Football Playoffs?Ends ended | No | 20 | 56¢ → 84¢ | $17 | +$6 +50% |
| Will League of Legends Win the 2026 Esports Game of the Year Award?Ends ended | No | 40 | 45¢ → 42¢ | $17 | −$1 −7.8% |
| Will Slavia Prague finish last in UCL league phase?Ends in 133d | No | 20 | 88¢ → 82¢ | $16 | −$1 −6.3% |
