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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremiah Smith | 45% | −9 pts | −5 pts | 39¢ · 51¢ (12¢) | $401 | — |
| Darian Mensah | 22% | +11 pts | +10 pts | 18¢ · 25¢ (7¢) | $280 | in 70d |
| CJ Carr | 8% | +3 pts | −1 pts | 6¢ · 9¢ (3¢) | — | in 70d |
| Gunner Stockton | 6% | +1 pts | +4 pts | <1¢ · 13¢ (12¢) | — | in 70d |
| Trinidad Chambliss | 6% | +1 pts | 0 pts | 5¢ · 8¢ (3¢) | — | in 70d |
| Drew Mestemaker | 5% | +5 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 10¢ (10¢) | — | — |
| Kamario Taylor | 5% | — | — | <1¢ · 9¢ (9¢) | — | — |
| Jadan Baugh | 5% | — | — | — · 9¢ | — | — |
| Jesse Legree | 4% | — | — | <1¢ · 8¢ (8¢) | — | — |
| LaNorris Sellers | 4% | 0 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 7¢ (7¢) | — | — |
| Keelon Russell | 3% | +1 pts | −9 pts | 1¢ · 6¢ (6¢) | — | — |
| Malachi Toney | 2% | −1 pts | −1 pts | 1¢ · 4¢ (4¢) | — | — |
| Josh Hoover | 2% | +1 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 3¢ (3¢) | $227 | in 70d |
| Arch Manning | 1% | 0 pts | −2 pts | <1¢ · 2¢ (2¢) | — | — |
| Dante Moore | 1% | 0 pts | −1 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | in 70d |
| Julian Sayin | 1% | — | −1 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | in 70d |
| Marcel Reed | 1% | — | −3 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | in 70d |
| Kevin Jennings | 1% | 0 pts | −1 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | — |
| Ahmad Hardy | 1% | 0 pts | −3 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | — |
| Austin Mack | 1% | 0 pts | −2 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | $197 | — |
| Bo Jackson | 1% | — | −4 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | — |
| Kewan Lacy | 1% | 0 pts | −4 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | — |
| Rocco Becht | <1% | 0 pts | −1 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | — |
| Will Hammond | <1% | 0 pts | −4 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | — |
| Sam Leavitt | <1% | — | −2 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | — |
| Brendan Sorsby | <1% | 0 pts | −3 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | — | — |
| John Mateer | <1% | — | −1 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 70d |
| Jayden Maiava | <1% | — | −1 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | — |
| Byrum Brown | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Bryce Underwood | <1% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Demond Williams Jr. | <1% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5d | Substantial-Service | Jeremiah Smith | BuyNo40¢ → 55¢ | $59,660 | +$22,376 +38% | 48 |
| 5d | cosmicxbt | Jeremiah Smith | BuyYes59¢ → 45¢ | $1,163 | −$283 −24% | 40 |
| 6d | Keelon Russell | BuyNo94¢ → 97¢ | $3,829 | +$97 +2.5% | 20 | |
| 6d | Jeremiah Smith | BuyNo49¢ → 55¢ | $24,500 | +$3,000 +12% | 41 | |
| 24d | Dante Moore | BuyNo97¢ → 99¢ | $17,338 | +$494 +2.8% | 20 | |
| 34d | Gaditima | Bryce Underwood | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,307 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Heisman Trophy, awarded to the most outstanding player in college football, with the winner announced at the Heisman ceremony currently scheduled for December 12, 2026. If the ceremony is postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been announced within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared co-winners, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Heisman Trophy Trust (https://www.heisman.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 45¢ for Jeremiah Smith means the market gives it about 45%.