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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −1 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 258d | sharoline2 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | SellNo>99¢ | $5,540 | −$22 −0.4% | — |
| 258d |  bosshog | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | SellNo>99¢ | $9,990 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 258d | LoyalToGrind | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,233 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 258d |  llzl9d9ujfurhuer32 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $38,048 | +$38 +0.1% | 20 |
| 258d | Gamble86 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | SellNo82¢ → 100¢ | $325,404 | −$69,620 −21% | — |
| 258d | uehevxjauqyb | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | SellNo60¢ → 100¢ | $6,718 | −$4,470 −67% | — |
| 258d | aviato2 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | SellNo>99¢ | $9,990 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 258d | esac | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | SellNo>99¢ | $3,996 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 258d |  kamoshirenai2 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $11,091 | −$263 −2.4% | — |
| 258d | Karasius52 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,969 | −$127 −4.3% | — |
| 258d | alliswell | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $35,445 | +$35 +0.1% | 20 |
| 258d |  SwissMiss3 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $99,310 | +$2,532 +2.5% | 20 |
| 258d | Flancho | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,797 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 258d | rocks | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | SellNo>99¢ | $18,155 | −$18 −0.1% | — |
| 258d | onekey094 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $85,079 | +$1,019 +1.2% | 20 |
| 258d | RottenBets | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $25,000 | +$26 +0.1% | 20 |
| 258d | okcoolstorybro5 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $23,368 | +$640 +2.7% | 20 |
| 258d | playersclub | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $20,650 | −$150 −0.7% | — |
| 258d | Doriath2 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | SellNo>99¢ | $7,409 | −$15 −0.2% | — |
| 258d |  Flipadelphia | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | SellNo>99¢ | $9,891 | −$20 −0.2% | — |
| 258d |  Mr.Predictions | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,418 | −$6 −0.4% | — |
| 258d | Farmer.2 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $7,534 | −$253 −3.4% | — |
| 258d | Informal-Archives | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $14,569 | +$29 +0.2% | 20 |
| 258d |  arjennnnn2 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,626 | +$65 +1.2% | 20 |
| 258d | StryK4r | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,007 | +$3 +0.3% | 20 |
| 258d | bismuth | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | SellNo100¢ | $1,255 | −$6 −0.5% | — |
| 258d |  NIRVANA87 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,042 | +$4 +0.4% | 20 |
| 258d |  Unpicked8974 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,770 | −$15 −0.5% | — |
| 258d |  Mr-Krabs2 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,929 | +$84 +1.7% | 20 |
| 258d | Unpicked8974 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,773 | +$11 +0.4% | 20 |
| 258d | b3tm0re | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,004 | +$8 +0.4% | 20 |
| 258d |  debased6 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $21,494 | +$878 +4.1% | 20 |
| 258d | 0xf254…53c8 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,372 | −$14 −1.0% | — |
| 258d |  scottilicious | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $13,903 | −$114 −0.8% | — |
| 258d | il12 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | SellNo>99¢ | $7,963 | −$37 −0.5% | — |
| 258d |  Nomia4 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $15,827 | +$82 +0.5% | 20 |
| 258d | tianjiyuyunzhilu | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,000 | +$47 +0.5% | 20 |
| 258d | cookiemonster28 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,530 | +$6 +0.4% | 20 |
| 258d | tsekinming012 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $63,439 | −$3,294 −5.2% | — |
| 258d | Politikss | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $31,524 | +$105 +0.3% | 20 |
| 258d | danimoreno.rl | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,060 | +$5 +0.5% | 20 |
| 258d |  youngsoros | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,124 | +$3 +0.3% | 20 |
| 258d | Chief-Leverage | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,034 | +$4 +0.4% | 20 |
| 258d |  Stairs. | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,782 | +$11 +0.6% | 20 |
| 259d | Hiworld. | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,482 | +$18 +0.4% | 20 |
| 259d | Bet1nthedark6 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $22,048 | +$110 +0.5% | 20 |
| 259d | valeoo3 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $4,128 | −$158 −3.8% | — |
| 259d |  Istaroth3 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $16,378 | +$101 +0.6% | 20 |
| 259d | PikaCHU448 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,980 | +$20 +0.4% | 20 |
| 259d | yinyi123 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | SellNo100¢ | $2,209 | −$11 −0.5% | — |
| 259d | name5 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | SellNo>99¢ | $6,074 | −$24 −0.4% | — |
| 259d | Matelleti | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | SellNo>99¢ | $3,486 | −$14 −0.4% | — |
| 259d |  mioki3 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $15,748 | +$164 +1.0% | 20 |
| 259d |  frosique1 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | SellNo100¢ | $1,505 | −$8 −0.5% | — |
| 259d | Kind-Substitution | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,491 | +$9 +0.6% | 20 |
| 259d |  HowToBasic2 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $33,000 | +$314 +1.0% | 20 |
| 259d |  Debosnys | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $8,035 | +$65 +0.8% | 20 |
| 259d |  ilovepepefrog4 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $15,344 | +$156 +1.0% | 20 |
| 259d |  tetrase | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,920 | +$80 +0.8% | 20 |
| 259d |  zthunderfury4 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $20,212 | +$188 +0.9% | 20 |
humanbeans267,521 shares
mishka7ip6,419 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran's Supreme Leader, Ali Khamenei, is removed from power for any length of time between this market's creation and January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Khamenei will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Supreme Leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.