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Polymarket wallet 0xf94ec64e7c84ca3bbed575f37adbe46386efd189 · on Polymarket since Jan 10, 2026 · also shown as Staid-Bribery
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 48¢ → 100¢ | $200 | +$104 +108% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 48¢ → 100¢ | $200 | +$105 +109% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 81¢ → 100¢ | $100 | +$19 +23% |
| US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 96¢ → 100¢ | $100 | +$4 +4.3% |
| Will Khamenei visit Russia by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 82¢ → 100¢ | $20 | +$4 +22% |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 212 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$85 −100% |
| Will Khamenei visit Russia by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 25 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$45 −100% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 150 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$90 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 106 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$39 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 10 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.