Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 31 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| June 30 | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 230d | June 30 | BuyNo>99¢ | $23,312 | +$24 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 230d | March 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $31,674 | +$46 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 230d | yeeTradez | June 30 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,881 | +$19 +1.0% | 20 |
| 230d | March 31 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,006 | +$8 +0.8% | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ali Khamenei visits Russia by the listed date, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "visit" is defined as Ali Khamenei physically entering the terrestrial territory of Russia in a voluntary capacity. Whether or not Ali Khamenei enters Russian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. Entering Russia requires physically entering sovereign Russian territory, including all Russian federal subjects and territories. Areas under Russian control but not under Russian sovereignty (e.g., Crimea) do not count. Russian airspace, Russian embassies/consulates abroad, and international zones do not constitute Russian sovereign territory. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for March 31 means the market gives it about 0%.