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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | −1 pts | −6 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 227d | JoeSR | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $4,478 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 227d | idkwhatimdoinggg3 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $9,990 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 227d | 246456546gdfgtg | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $6,302 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 227d |  Malfunction. | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $12,518 | −$13 −0.1% | — |
| 227d | Ternary | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,238 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 227d | Extravagance3 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $3,976 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 227d |  Master-bettor | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $4,545 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 227d |  tetrase3 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $24,975 | −$25 −0.1% | — |
| 227d |  thegreengem | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $2,997 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 227d | kinkkukaarlo | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,113 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 227d | Scientist.IL | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,731 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 227d | yee123 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 227d | sofia1 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $9,990 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 227d |  US-Phenom | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,242 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 227d |  RecursiveDragon2 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $3,497 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 227d | redwagon | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,678 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 227d |  GollumGekko3 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $10,460 | −$18 −0.2% | — |
| 227d |  bosshog2 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $27,143 | −$34 −0.1% | — |
| 227d | NoOneOfConsequence | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,110 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 227d | MasonFree | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $3,670 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 227d |  pollaneitor | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,499 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 227d | Thomas58 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $161,504 | −$162 −0.1% | — |
| 227d | talkytalky | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 227d | randomlypunting3 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $21,031 | −$26 −0.1% | — |
| 227d | 100x | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $49,950 | −$50 −0.1% | — |
| 227d |  Everestpredictions | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,545 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 227d |  Turtleiny | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $2,997 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 227d |  DonationsReceiver3 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $19,464 | −$37 −0.2% | — |
| 228d | ManCangGangGanDaDanGan | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $8,584 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 228d | CaptainAhab-935 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,132 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 228d | Watery-Grasshopper3 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $24,686 | −$39 −0.2% | — |
| 228d | 0x5b69…fae8 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,207 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 228d | alliswell4 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $99,900 | −$100 −0.1% | — |
| 228d |  -Dominus-2 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $24,975 | +$25 +0.1% | 20 |
| 228d |  lranon2nd | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 228d |  BenzoateOstylezeneBicarbonate | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $103,696 | +$104 +0.1% | 20 |
| 228d | Username33 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,151 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 228d | 0330330336 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $109,880 | +$120 +0.1% | 20 |
| 228d | Meek-Linseed | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $2,291 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 228d | alliswell | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $99,900 | +$100 +0.1% | 20 |
| 228d |  kinderSman | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,990 | +$10 +0.1% | 20 |
| 228d | SILF | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $39,960 | +$40 +0.1% | 20 |
| 228d |  llzl9d9ujfurhuer39 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $61,926 | −$124 −0.2% | — |
| 228d | damensch | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,525 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 228d |  JaidenAnimations | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,946 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 228d | eth55 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,996 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 228d |  GrokEnjoyer | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $6,634 | −$13 −0.2% | — |
| 228d | final-divination | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $13,884 | −$28 −0.2% | — |
| 228d |  0xPoni | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,474 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 228d |  0xnoobo | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,299 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 228d |  bamesjond | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $5,005 | −$10 −0.2% | — |
| 228d | fabafa | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,259 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 228d |  BlackSky123 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,996 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 228d |  Alphax | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $3,992 | −$8 −0.2% | — |
| 228d | dabenco | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $2,007 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 228d |  Debosnys4 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $195,569 | +$196 +0.1% | 20 |
| 228d | 65765757 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $19,960 | −$40 −0.2% | — |
| 228d | bamesjond | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 228d | helloiamworld | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $49,950 | +$50 +0.1% | 20 |
| 228d |  dreivierteljaeger | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $3,197 | −$6 −0.2% | — |
Rogue113814,706 shares
Alexparker419,720 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran's Supreme Leader, Ali Khamenei, is removed from power for any length of time between this market's creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Khamenei will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Supreme Leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.