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Polymarket wallet 0xca679ad6fea5e20586c8fca60fa48f999278ca96 · on Polymarket since Apr 9, 2025 · also shown as Probable-Fifth
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 435 | 46¢ → 100¢ | $435 | +$235 +117% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,352 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$500 −100% |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 717 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 275d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BuyYes25¢ | $100 |
| 276d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BuyYes46¢ | $200 |
| 277d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BuyYes21¢ | $200 |
| 277d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BuyYes20¢ | $200 |
| 301d | US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026? | BuyYes29¢ | $200 |
| 301d | US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31? | BuyYes14¢ | $100 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.