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| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 228d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,207 |
| 229d | Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | SellNo83¢ | $178 |
| 229d | Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | BuyNo78¢ | $128 |
| 229d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | SellYes>99¢ | $128 |
| 229d | Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | BuyNo65¢ | $31 |
| 231d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BuyYes70¢ | $171 |
| 231d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BuyYes39¢ | $50 |
| 231d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BuyYes75¢ | $500 |
| 231d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BuyYes73¢ | $216 |
| 249d | Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo59¢ | $20 |
| 249d | Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026? | BuyYes63¢ | $20 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 5 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.