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Polymarket wallet 0x4c8a8959dd1ed988155c83274970e4e501513d45 · on Polymarket since Aug 19, 2025 · also shown as Sympathetic-Sound
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 4,818 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $4,714 | +$87 +1.9% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 3,200 | 91¢ → 94¢ | $2,992 | +$80 +2.7% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,300 | 82¢ → 89¢ | $1,151 | +$85 +7.9% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 800 | 57¢ → 12¢ | $92 | −$364 −80% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 800 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$296 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.