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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 518 | 38¢ → 100¢ | $518 | +$321 +163% |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 807 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$242 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 277d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BuyYes38¢ | $197 |
| 282d | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BuyYes30¢ | $242 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.