| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Ends in 224d | No | 14,823 | 78¢ → 81¢ | $11,932 | +$332 +2.9% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | No | 14,443 | 67¢ → 73¢ | $10,471 | +$772 +8.0% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 11,499 | 61¢ → 76¢ | $8,681 | +$1,696 +24% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 9,743 | 89¢ → 79¢ | $7,648 | −$1,067 −12% |
| Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?Ends in 106d | No | 6,626 | 64¢ → 73¢ | $4,804 | +$537 +13% |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | No | 5,220 | 90¢ → 83¢ | $4,348 | −$334 −7.1% |
| Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Ends in 9d | No | 5,555 | 77¢ → 76¢ | $4,194 | −$83 −1.9% |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | No | 4,444 | 85¢ → 88¢ | $3,931 | +$149 +3.9% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 3,894 | 69¢ → 95¢ | $3,680 | +$996 +37% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Ends in 78d | No | 3,192 | 59¢ → 94¢ | $2,985 | +$1,105 +59% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 2,776 | 81¢ → 87¢ | $2,411 | +$152 +6.7% |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 2,222 | 95¢ → 98¢ | $2,179 | +$61 +2.9% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 2,444 | 52¢ → 89¢ | $2,163 | +$897 +71% |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2,215 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $2,140 | +$48 +2.3% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?Ends in 75d | No | 2,267 | 84¢ → 94¢ | $2,119 | +$215 +11% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 2,222 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $2,101 | +$12 +0.6% |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 1,451 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $1,393 | +$79 +6.0% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 2,222 | 51¢ → 63¢ | $1,389 | +$256 +23% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | Yes | 2,222 | 36¢ → 60¢ | $1,333 | +$533 +67% |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 2,222 | 62¢ → 60¢ | $1,322 | −$56 −4.0% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,718 | 43¢ → 76¢ | $1,297 | +$552 +74% |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 3,362 | 29¢ → 28¢ | $924 | −$50 −5.2% |
| Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Ends in 9d | Yes | 1,111 | 78¢ → 76¢ | $839 | −$28 −3.2% |
| Will Clavicular visit Germany in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 856 | 79¢ → 96¢ | $825 | +$146 +21% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2,222 | 48¢ → 37¢ | $811 | −$256 −24% |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 777 | 77¢ → 90¢ | $701 | +$101 +17% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,111 | 39¢ → 63¢ | $694 | +$261 +60% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 725 | 74¢ → 93¢ | $671 | +$134 +25% |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 736 | 64¢ → 88¢ | $644 | +$177 +38% |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | No | 1,111 | 40¢ → 54¢ | $594 | +$150 +34% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | Yes | 1,153 | 26¢ → 46¢ | $536 | +$240 +81% |
| Will Clavicular visit Brazil in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 652 | 78¢ → 71¢ | $465 | −$45 −8.8% |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 1,111 | 41¢ → 42¢ | $461 | +$6 +1.2% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 473 | 80¢ → 96¢ | $453 | +$72 +19% |
| Will AI solve the Collatz conjecture in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 471 | 91¢ → 93¢ | $436 | +$8 +1.9% |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 444 | 72¢ → 96¢ | $428 | +$111 +35% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 555 | 70¢ → 77¢ | $428 | +$39 +10% |
| Will AI solve the Hodge Conjecture in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 506 | 60¢ → 75¢ | $379 | +$74 +24% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 398 | 80¢ → 95¢ | $379 | +$61 +19% |
| Will Clavicular visit South Korea in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 456 | 77¢ → 83¢ | $378 | +$26 +7.5% |
| Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 382 | 90¢ → 97¢ | $371 | +$27 +7.9% |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Ends in 135d | Yes | 1,898 | 42¢ → 20¢ | $370 | −$427 −54% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 666 | 20¢ → 53¢ | $356 | +$225 +172% |
| Will Clavicular visit the United Kingdom in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 379 | 68¢ → 85¢ | $322 | +$65 +25% |
| Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 335 | 78¢ → 96¢ | $321 | +$60 +23% |
| Anduril IPO before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 298 | 90¢ → 98¢ | $291 | +$23 +8.4% |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 388 | 51¢ → 75¢ | $289 | +$92 +46% |
| Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?Ends in 106d | Yes | 1,014 | 28¢ → 28¢ | $279 | −$5 −1.8% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 444 | 61¢ → 60¢ | $264 | −$7 −2.5% |
| Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 444 | 36¢ → 56¢ | $251 | +$91 +57% |
| Will Clavicular visit Thailand in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 303 | 70¢ → 82¢ | $249 | +$36 +17% |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 333 | 58¢ → 75¢ | $248 | +$55 +28% |
| Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 257 | 70¢ → 95¢ | $244 | +$65 +36% |
| Will AI solve the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 251 | 87¢ → 93¢ | $232 | +$14 +6.3% |
| Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 241 | 74¢ → 92¢ | $221 | +$41 +23% |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 222 | 88¢ → 99¢ | $219 | +$24 +12% |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 222 | 86¢ → 94¢ | $208 | +$17 +8.7% |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 222 | 87¢ → 88¢ | $195 | +$1 +0.6% |
| Kash Patel out by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 222 | 48¢ → 82¢ | $181 | +$74 +70% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,111 | 39¢ → 12¢ | $128 | −$306 −71% |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 555 | 31¢ → 23¢ | $125 | −$47 −27% |
| Will Clavicular visit Japan in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 153 | 74¢ → 82¢ | $125 | +$11 +10% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 132 | 80¢ → 95¢ | $125 | +$19 +18% |
| Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 444 | 34¢ → 25¢ | $109 | −$42 −28% |
| Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,111 | 16¢ → 8¢ | $89 | −$89 −50% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 1,111 | 57¢ → 7¢ | $78 | −$555 −88% |
| Will AI solve the Hadwiger-Nelson problem in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 91 | 81¢ → 86¢ | $78 | +$4 +5.6% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 832 | 54¢ → 9¢ | $75 | −$374 −83% |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 333 | 28¢ → 20¢ | $65 | −$28 −30% |
| Will AI solve the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 65 | 79¢ → 85¢ | $55 | +$4 +7.0% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 222 | 19¢ → 24¢ | $53 | +$11 +26% |
| Will no listed leader be out before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 111 | 53¢ → 44¢ | $49 | −$10 −17% |
| Will Clavicular visit the Philippines in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 50 | 85¢ → 86¢ | $43 | +$1 +1.2% |
| Leopold Aschenbrenner charged in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 45 | 87¢ → 95¢ | $43 | +$4 +9.5% |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 280 | 85¢ → 14¢ | $41 | −$198 −83% |
| SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 50 | 51¢ → 69¢ | $34 | +$9 +34% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,111 | 16¢ → 3¢ | $33 | −$145 −82% |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 222 | 18¢ → 9¢ | $20 | −$20 −50% |
| Will Clavicular visit China in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 20 | 32¢ → 96¢ | $19 | +$13 +201% |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-09 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 22 | 78¢ → 84¢ | $18 | +$1 +7.1% |
| Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Ends in 74d | Yes | 111 | 39¢ → 16¢ | $17 | −$25 −59% |
| Ben Pasternak jailed?Ends in 75d | Yes | 438 | 63¢ → 3¢ | $13 | −$264 −95% |
| Will AI solve 5 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 556 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $8 | +$3 +45% |
| Will South Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 222 | 67¢ → 2¢ | $5 | −$144 −97% |
| Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 55 | 27¢ → 8¢ | $4 | −$10 −70% |
| Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 55 | 28¢ → 5¢ | $2 | −$13 −84% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?Ends in 7h | Yes | 60 | 62¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$37 −99% |
| Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 111 | 5¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$6 −99% |
| Will voter turnout be between 50% and 53% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 222 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$38 −100% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 222 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$38 −100% |
| Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 144 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 384 | 72¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$276 −100% |
| Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,110 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$289 −100% |
| Colts vs. ChiefsSettled - ready to redeem | Colts | 2,222 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$667 −100% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 22,222 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,111 −100% |
| Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,585 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$195 −100% |
| Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 999 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$496 −100% |
| Will Jay Clayton be Trump's AI czar?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 222 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$33 −100% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 555 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$117 −100% |
| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by September 25, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 997 | 83¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$828 −100% |
