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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 5% | — | −1 pts | 3¢ · 6¢ (3¢) | — | in 76d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 59d |  archaic | December 31 | BuyNo87¢ → 96¢ | $2,400 | +$236 +9.8% | 20 |
| 211d | Scoofy-Bubik2 fills | Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,088 | +$95 +4.6% | 20 |
| 237d |  FTX2.0 | December 31 | SellNo65¢ → 96¢ | $2,236 | −$1,048 −47% | — |
| 255d | Egozic86 | Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$282 +7.1% | 20 |
| 259d |  Anyawinsitall | Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,262 | +$125 +9.9% | 20 |
| 270d |  Snow-White2 fills | Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $2,183 | +$310 +14% | 20 |
darkus857 shares
Investnow618 shares
gopfan23,503 sharesarchaic3,256 shares
mountaindewd2,844 shares
LLDLIMITED2,712 sharesRamzan Kadyrov is currently serving as the Head of the Chechen Republic, the highest political office of the Chechen Republic, a Republic of Russia. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ramzan Kadyrov ceases to be Head of the Chechen Republic for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Ramzan Kadyrov will be considered to cease being the Head of the Chechen Republic if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Head of the Chechen Republic within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chechen Republic and the Russian Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 5¢ for December 31 means the market gives it about 5%.