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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 4% | — | 0 pts | 3¢ · 4¢ (1¢) | — | in 76d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 97d | yan666 | Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? | SellNo83¢ → 97¢ | $1,311 | −$212 −16% | — |
| 115d |  aenews2 | Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? | BuyYes22¢ → 4¢ | $1,331 | −$1,122 −84% | 6 |
| 150d | dshoen | Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? | BuyYes20¢ → 4¢ | $1,435 | −$1,184 −83% | 6 |
aenews25,963 shares
Whylik2,385 shares
Nadmi2,000 shares
eightpenguins6,925 shares
MEPP6,500 shares
PantheraUncia5,000 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Lebanon officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Lebanon, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 4¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 4%.