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Polymarket wallet 0x7addce8a2853d5b9b067b7465a8dbfc4a87ff9f4 · on Polymarket since Sep 25, 2025 · also shown as Noteworthy-Thinking
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2,385 | 27¢ → 4¢ | $85 | −$567 −87% |
| Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 134 | 75¢ → 37¢ | $50 | −$50 −50% |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 320 | 84¢ → 9¢ | $29 | −$240 −89% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 647 | 19¢ → 4¢ | $28 | −$95 −77% |
| Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?Ends in 75d | Yes | 100 | 47¢ → 19¢ | $19 | −$29 −61% |
| Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 220 | 49¢ → 7¢ | $14 | −$92 −87% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 100 | 17¢ → 13¢ | $13 | −$4 −23% |
| Freddie Mac IPO before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 119 | 25¢ → 4¢ | $5 | −$25 −83% |
| Brex IPO before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 341 | 9¢ → 1¢ | $3 | −$27 −90% |
| OKX IPO in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 49 | 41¢ → 5¢ | $2 | −$18 −89% |
| Databricks IPO before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 47 | 63¢ → 3¢ | $1 | −$29 −96% |
| Glean IPO before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 119 | 25¢ → 1¢ | $1 | −$29 −96% |
| Deel IPO before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 53 | 52¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$27 −99% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.