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Polymarket · Politics
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 7% | — | — | 6¢ · 7¢ (1¢) | $5.03 | in 79d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4d | thoodr7 fills | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | BuyNo93¢ → 94¢ | $22,061 | +$99 +0.4% | 25 |
| 12d |  peterfromfamilyguy | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | SellNo92¢ → 94¢ | $2,723 | −$40 −1.5% | — |
| 12d |  ponczyk | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | SellNo94¢ | $1,034 | +$5 +0.5% | — |
| 12d |  eightpenguins | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | SellNo94¢ | $1,256 | +$7 +0.5% | — |
| 13d | ponczyk | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | BuyNo95¢ → 94¢ | $1,045 | −$16 −1.6% | 23 |
| 23d | WarriorH | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | BuyNo91¢ → 94¢ | $1,824 | +$50 +2.7% | 26 |
| 23d |  elmcap22 fills | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | BuyNo90¢ → 94¢ | $13,530 | +$526 +3.9% | 27 |
| 25d | buoys3 fills | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | SellNo89¢ → 94¢ | $7,507 | −$348 −4.6% | — |
| 31d | PotatoKotato | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | SellNo86¢ → 94¢ | $2,079 | −$181 −8.7% | — |
| 32d | HornyBibi3 fills | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | SellNo85¢ → 94¢ | $8,945 | −$841 −9.4% | — |
| 32d |  Mantronix | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | SellYes5¢ → 7¢ | $2,162 | −$763 −35% | — |
| 36d |  paddaa | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | SellNo83¢ → 94¢ | $1,810 | −$229 −13% | — |
| 40d | 0x84d4…77a9 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | SellNo85¢ → 94¢ | $1,039 | −$104 −10% | — |
| 41d |  DirkDiggler67 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | BuyNo82¢ → 94¢ | $1,497 | +$213 +14% | 32 |
| 42d | Odd-Deformation | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | SellNo85¢ → 94¢ | $1,691 | −$179 −11% | — |
| 43d |  cambridgeisaac2 fills | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | SellNo86¢ → 94¢ | $3,550 | −$296 −8.4% | — |
| 50d |  i400 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | SellNo86¢ → 94¢ | $7,111 | −$635 −8.9% | — |
| 52d | Themsnw6 fills | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | SellYes14¢ → 7¢ | $35,189 | +$18,849 +54% | — |
| 56d | Hims867 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | SellYes16¢ → 7¢ | $1,141 | +$678 +59% | — |
| 58d |  LinaBell2 fills | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | SellNo69¢ → 94¢ | $10,468 | −$3,787 −36% | — |
| 61d |  GollumGekko | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | SellNo80¢ → 94¢ | $2,345 | −$391 −17% | — |
| 61d |  SUPERNOVA- | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | SellNo80¢ → 94¢ | $1,713 | −$289 −17% | — |
| 62d | 131071 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | SellYes20¢ → 7¢ | $1,684 | +$1,144 +68% | — |
| 62d |  zthunderfury4 fills | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | BuyNo75¢ → 94¢ | $7,194 | +$1,818 +25% | 37 |
| 66d | paddaa | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | BuyNo75¢ → 94¢ | $1,580 | +$390 +25% | 37 |
| 68d | PotatoKotato | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | BuyNo74¢ → 94¢ | $5,122 | +$1,350 +26% | 37 |
| 70d |  clazzy1 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | SellNo73¢ → 94¢ | $1,089 | −$314 −29% | — |
| 70d | cambridgeisaac | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | BuyNo74¢ → 94¢ | $1,465 | +$386 +26% | 37 |
| 70d | cmarx | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | SellNo72¢ → 94¢ | $3,938 | −$1,176 −30% | — |
| 71d |  Dragontree | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | BuyNo74¢ → 94¢ | $2,469 | +$641 +26% | 37 |
| 71d | cmarx2 fills | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | BuyNo67¢ → 94¢ | $2,318 | +$910 +39% | 40 |
| 71d | AmericanIsraelPublicAffairsCommittee | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | BuyNo73¢ → 94¢ | $1,095 | +$308 +28% | 38 |
| 71d | Evwo-Jaza | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | BuyNo72¢ → 94¢ | $5,285 | +$1,596 +30% | 39 |
| 72d | jjaysunn1 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | BuyYes29¢ → 7¢ | $2,528 | −$1,969 −78% | 44 |
| 73d |  0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e053 fills | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | BuyNo62¢ → 94¢ | $8,680 | +$4,410 +51% | 40 |
| 74d |  WongKimArk4 fills | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | BuyNo62¢ → 94¢ | $18,654 | +$9,295 +50% | 40 |
| 74d | Mantronix5 fills | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | BuyYes33¢ → 7¢ | $8,814 | −$7,082 −80% | 47 |
| 75d | i400 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | BuyNo67¢ → 94¢ | $5,550 | +$2,195 +40% | 40 |
| 76d |  bernardbulletin | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | SellNo64¢ → 94¢ | $1,502 | −$692 −46% | — |
| 77d | bernardbulletin | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | BuyNo64¢ → 94¢ | $1,615 | +$756 +47% | 40 |
| 77d | gigakool | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | BuyYes32¢ → 7¢ | $2,000 | −$1,596 −80% | 42 |
| 78d | yuhyuhyuhy3523524 fills | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | BuyNo67¢ → 94¢ | $6,809 | +$2,691 +40% | 40 |
| 81d | lug3 fills | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | BuyNo69¢ → 94¢ | $6,507 | +$2,336 +36% | 40 |
| 81d |  xzywowo22 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | SellNo68¢ → 94¢ | $1,020 | −$383 −37% | — |
| 81d | Hatatavnwmf | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | SellYes20¢ → 7¢ | $2,185 | +$1,471 +67% | — |
| 81d |  willsom | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | SellNo69¢ → 94¢ | $1,580 | −$549 −35% | — |
| 81d | Frozen-Spine-Boysenberry | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | SellYes30¢ → 7¢ | $6,052 | +$4,759 +79% | — |
| 82d |  ShyGuy1 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | SellNo62¢ → 94¢ | $1,234 | −$636 −51% | — |
| 82d | SaylorMoon | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | SellNo63¢ → 94¢ | $1,278 | −$619 −48% | — |
| 82d |  Humble-Monk | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | SellNo62¢ → 94¢ | $1,884 | −$957 −51% | — |
| 83d |  Car | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | BuyNo60¢ → 94¢ | $1,331 | +$743 +56% | 40 |
| 83d | rollingpandapapa | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | SellYes44¢ → 7¢ | $1,605 | +$1,370 +85% | — |
| 84d | Themsnw12 fills | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | BuyYes51¢ → 7¢ | $127,447 | −$111K −87% | 40 |
| 84d | Frozen-Spine-Boysenberry | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | BuyYes49¢ → 7¢ | $9,807 | −$8,515 −87% | 43 |
| 85d | Hatatavnwmf | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | BuyYes45¢ → 7¢ | $3,000 | −$2,571 −86% | 41 |
| 85d | Hims867 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | BuyYes46¢ → 7¢ | $2,499 | −$2,146 −86% | 41 |
| 85d |  StarMaster | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | SellNo56¢ → 94¢ | $1,120 | −$750 −67% | — |
| 85d | quackerandqj | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | BuyYes39¢ → 7¢ | $5,426 | −$4,520 −83% | 44 |
| 87d |  seal7 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | SellNo64¢ → 94¢ | $7,451 | −$3,390 −45% | — |
| 88d | peterfromfamilyguy | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | BuyNo61¢ → 94¢ | $1,449 | +$772 +53% | 40 |
elmcap234,678 sharesWongKimArk30,042 shares
PEYZ-BIGGEST-FAN10,400 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Mitch McConnell formally announces an intention to step down or otherwise vacates his U.S. Senate seat before his current term is scheduled to end (January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” An announcement will qualify only if it indicates that McConnell will leave office prior to the scheduled end of his term. Statements reaffirming an existing plan to retire at the end of his term will not qualify. The primary resolution sources will be official statements from Mitch McConnell, his office or representatives, and/or official communications from the U.S. Senate or government.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 7¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 7%.