| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Ends in 78d | No | 30,042 | 62¢ → 94¢ | $28,089 | +$9,341 +50% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 20,000 | 77¢ → 85¢ | $16,900 | +$1,500 +9.7% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 16,398 | 87¢ → 99¢ | $16,275 | +$2,007 +14% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 17,569 | 21¢ → 89¢ | $15,549 | +$11,800 +315% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 20,000 | 51¢ → 64¢ | $12,700 | +$2,400 +23% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 11,244 | 75¢ → 97¢ | $10,890 | +$2,426 +29% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 10,710 | 64¢ → 94¢ | $10,116 | +$3,219 +47% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 9,319 | 70¢ → 97¢ | $9,059 | +$2,517 +38% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | No | 9,440 | 72¢ → 87¢ | $8,180 | +$1,421 +21% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | No | 10,000 | 71¢ → 73¢ | $7,250 | +$150 +2.1% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 50,000 | 48¢ → 14¢ | $6,750 | −$17,050 −72% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 10,000 | 60¢ → 63¢ | $6,250 | +$250 +4.2% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 22,477 | 18¢ → 24¢ | $5,282 | +$1,171 +28% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | Yes | 10,000 | 50¢ → 51¢ | $5,115 | +$75 +1.5% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 10,590 | 37¢ → 47¢ | $4,993 | +$1,043 +26% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 5,000 | 65¢ → 95¢ | $4,725 | +$1,475 +45% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 160,609 | 2¢ → 3¢ | $4,417 | +$1,030 +30% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 69,995 | 4¢ → 5¢ | $3,465 | +$684 +25% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 5,000 | 55¢ → 65¢ | $3,225 | +$475 +17% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 3,000 | 80¢ → 98¢ | $2,930 | +$530 +22% |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 3,000 | 31¢ → 91¢ | $2,715 | +$1,785 +192% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 2,248 | 77¢ → 96¢ | $2,153 | +$420 +24% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 2,321 | 60¢ → 63¢ | $1,451 | +$58 +4.2% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 3,760 | 20¢ → 23¢ | $846 | +$94 +12% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Ends in 74d | Yes | 1,000 | 72¢ → 82¢ | $820 | +$100 +14% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,000 | 53¢ → 71¢ | $715 | +$183 +34% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 3,000 | 14¢ → 23¢ | $704 | +$296 +72% |
| No one announced as next James Bond?Ends in 75d | No | 1,000 | 74¢ → 66¢ | $663 | −$78 −11% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 138,036 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $483 | −$643 −57% |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 500 | 85¢ → 88¢ | $440 | +$16 +3.8% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 10,000 | 8¢ → 4¢ | $410 | −$390 −49% |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 10,000 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $325 | +$75 +30% |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Ends in 135d | Yes | 1,120 | 54¢ → 20¢ | $218 | −$386 −64% |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 9,613 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $163 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 6,635 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $123 | +$43 +54% |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 40 | 53¢ → 50¢ | $20 | −$1 −5.8% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,000 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$450 −100% |
| Will Trump talk to Jerome Powell in August?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$130 −100% |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,281 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$41 −100% |
| US recession in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 23,741 | 59¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13,943 −100% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 15,000 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3,924 −100% |
| Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,000 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$800 −100% |
| Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10,188 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,874 −100% |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5,659 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3,140 −100% |
| Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 11,024 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4,440 −100% |
| Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10,000 | 87¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8,700 −100% |
| Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by August 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,000 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$590 −100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20,000 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$900 −100% |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in US?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,723 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$308 −100% |
| Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,889 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,200 −100% |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 11,447 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3,936 −100% |
| Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,550 | 64¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$998 −100% |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 15,300 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$452 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10,440 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$574 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 30,000 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,500 −100% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 22,000 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4,081 −100% |
| Will 'Zootopia 2' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,317 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$184 −100% |
| Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$130 −100% |
| Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in August?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,093 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$486 −100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10,000 | 63¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6,300 −100% |
| Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 9 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Another dildo thrown at WNBA game by Friday?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 16,789 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6,156 −100% |
| Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 40m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,663 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,813 −100% |
| Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 7,447 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,003 −100% |
| Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 73¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$730 −100% |
| Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3,000 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,520 −100% |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10,000 | 72¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7,200 −100% |
| Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 44,040 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$21,493 −100% |
| Will Trump and Robert Fico not shake hands?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,000 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$115 −100% |
| Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 17,000 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,742 −100% |
| Maduro out by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,500 | 61¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$915 −100% |
| Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,282 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$764 −100% |
| Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 9,314 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4,375 −100% |
| Will Trump meet with Lula da Silva in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,100 | 65¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$718 −100% |
| Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4,000 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$920 −100% |
| ICE shooter charged by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 13,000 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3,380 −100% |
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 13,384 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,566 −100% |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10,000 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$900 −100% |
| Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Thursday?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3,020 | 62¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,870 −100% |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5,000 | 70¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3,500 −100% |
| Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,000 | 64¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$637 −100% |
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,552 | 65¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,016 −100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,000 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,710 −100% |
| Will Nirav Shah be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,000 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$625 −100% |
| Will Trump meet with Putin in Alaska on August 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 6,957 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,113 −100% |
| Government shutdown on Saturday?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 9,826 | 63¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6,157 −100% |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 25,217 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11,350 −100% |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in August?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 29 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be less than 1.0%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 30,000 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6,050 −100% |
| Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 200 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$80 −100% |
| Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 15,000 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5,900 −100% |
| Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,000 | 68¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$680 −100% |
| Will Kathy Hochul endorse Mamdani?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 300 | 68¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$204 −100% |
| Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 125,088 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$57,893 −100% |
| Will Rhea Seehorn win Best Actress in a Drama Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 72¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$720 −100% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 60,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$750 −100% |
| Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 22,328 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6,808 −100% |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 50 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$27 −100% |
| Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 8,769 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,945 −100% |
