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Polymarket · Tech & ScienceClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | 0 pts | +77 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 401d | NeoWick2 fills | Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $30,452 | +$55 +0.2% | 20 |
| 401d | 854A7843 | Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $4,995 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 402d |  debased | Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $3,996 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 402d | rwo5 fills | Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $34,965 | −$35 −0.1% | — |
| 402d |  tourists | Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $9,990 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 402d |  TealV4 fills | Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31? | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $18,107 | −$1,530 −8.5% | — |
| 402d |  adonpoli4 fills | Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $25,166 | −$122 −0.5% | — |
| 402d |  FrancisSP8 | Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,246 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 402d | rwo3 fills | Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $17,213 | +$27 +0.2% | 20 |
| 402d |  lranon | Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,497 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 402d |  Flipadelphia | Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,194 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 402d |  Car4 fills | Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31? | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $28,144 | −$874 −3.1% | — |
| 402d |  WhiteLivesMatter | Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $34,283 | +$34 +0.1% | 20 |
| 402d |  Debosnys5 fills | Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $27,392 | +$57 +0.2% | 20 |
| 402d |  Slowroasted | Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $21,613 | +$22 +0.1% | 20 |
| 402d |  Bertapotamous | Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $14,186 | −$28 −0.2% | — |
| 402d |  CoinMaster123 | Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,549 | −$5 −0.3% | — |
| 402d |  ScottyNooo7 fills | Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $103,091 | +$3,824 +3.7% | 20 |
| 402d |  BFBB2 fills | Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $5,281 | −$19 −0.4% | — |
| 403d |  bigting | Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $4,185 | −$14 −0.3% | — |
| 403d | Snoorrason | Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,999 | +$15 +0.3% | 20 |
| 403d | adonpoli | Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,991 | +$15 +0.3% | 20 |
| 403d |  duderr4 fills | Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $17,503 | −$161 −0.9% | — |
| 403d | saltinbank | Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31? | BuyNo1¢ → 0¢ | $2,499 | −$2,499 −100% | 27 |
| 403d |  meower1337 | Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $18,315 | +$37 +0.2% | 20 |
| 403d | 0B06 | Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $2,741 | −$8 −0.3% | — |
| 403d | MAGA.ONE | Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $2,094 | −$6 −0.3% | — |
| 403d | lasso | Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,728 | +$9 +0.2% | 20 |
| 403d | bigting | Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,668 | +$6 +0.2% | 20 |
| 403d | Bertapotamous | Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,888 | +$27 +0.3% | 20 |
| 403d |  Ahpo | Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $2,508 | −$10 −0.4% | — |
| 403d |  LlamaEnjoyer | Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $24,900 | −$100 −0.4% | — |
| 403d | CoinMaster123 | Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,550 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 403d | klnr114 fills | Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,222 | +$18 +0.2% | 20 |
| 403d |  Gr33d | Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,223 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 403d | pokgaikid | Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,458 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 404d |  O3O.legacy.0 | Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,496 | +$5 +0.3% | 20 |
| 404d | WTETH | Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,817 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 404d |  FATMAN | Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $20,061 | −$60 −0.3% | — |
| 404d | BetZilla | Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $6,921 | −$21 −0.3% | — |
| 404d | sorarespam | Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $4,757 | −$14 −0.3% | — |
| 404d | sanqo | Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $7,246 | −$22 −0.3% | — |
| 404d |  MEPP | Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $2,490 | −$10 −0.4% | — |
| 404d | Patricknovak | Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $5,281 | −$21 −0.4% | — |
| 404d |  iForgor2 fills | Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $4,949 | −$20 −0.4% | — |
| 404d |  ciro24 fills | Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31? | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $31,544 | −$2,030 −6.4% | — |
| 404d | Car4 fills | Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $44,670 | +$467 +1.0% | 20 |
| 404d |  CoffeeLover3 fills | Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $10,917 | +$335 +3.1% | 20 |
| 404d | 729292923 fills | Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31? | SellYes71¢ → 100¢ | $16,436 | −$6,604 −40% | — |
| 404d | duderr2 fills | Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31? | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $2,476 | +$287 +12% | 20 |
| 404d |  CoffeeDespiser | Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31? | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $1,581 | +$217 +14% | 20 |
| 404d |  MisTKy3 | Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31? | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $1,023 | +$140 +14% | 20 |
| 404d | ciro24 fills | Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31? | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $10,114 | +$2,570 +25% | 20 |
| 404d | 854A78432 fills | Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31? | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $6,794 | +$950 +14% | 20 |
| 405d | mx5 | Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31? | SellNo11¢ → 0¢ | $1,068 | +$1,068 +100% | — |
| 405d | sorarespam | Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31? | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $3,999 | +$717 +18% | 20 |
| 405d | 0x955c…990f4 fills | Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31? | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $29,406 | +$6,010 +20% | 20 |
| 405d |  classified | Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31? | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $1,808 | +$510 +28% | 20 |
| 405d |  aenews2 | Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31? | SellYes85¢ → 100¢ | $3,589 | −$633 −18% | — |
| 405d | MariaLo2 fills | Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31? | SellYes84¢ → 100¢ | $5,140 | −$971 −19% | — |
fu88993 shares
SuperDog23114,877 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Tesla publicly launches a fully driverless taxi service by October 31, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” Any service that allows a member of the general public to summon and ride in a Tesla vehicle operating without any human—onboard or remote—actively controlling the vehicle will count. A human may be present in the vehicle or monitoring remotely for emergency intervention, but they must not be physically positioned to take control (for example, no safety driver in the driver’s seat) and must not actively steer, brake, accelerate, or otherwise drive the car under normal operation. A program that is restricted to Tesla employees, invite-only testers, closed-beta participants, factory self-delivery features, or the mere release of Full Self-Driving software for private owner-drivers will not qualify. Regulatory permits or approvals, press demonstrations, and prototype unveilings without live public ridership likewise will not count toward resolution.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.