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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −13 pts | −21 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 382d |  33IkeeOKINMWESA | Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert? | SellNo>99¢ | $38,659 | −$39 −0.1% | — |
| 382d |  goldenvajra | Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert? | SellNo>99¢ | $29,917 | −$30 −0.1% | — |
| 382d |  Flipadelphia18 fills | Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $141,353 | +$7,434 +5.3% | 4 |
| 382d | BIackLivesMatter2 fills | Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert? | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $2,234 | +$494 +22% | 4 |
| 382d |  duderr3 fills | Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $8,885 | +$494 +5.6% | 4 |
| 382d |  Car10 fills | Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $57,442 | +$5,516 +9.6% | 4 |
| 382d |  0x2jsdkvfhjaklsdfnkjwebnksdnwerewe | Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,442 | +$4 +0.3% | 4 |
| 382d | Username336 fills | Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert? | BuyNo73¢ → 100¢ | $31,522 | +$11,767 +37% | 4 |
| 382d |  LMH8t32 fills | Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $11,101 | −$98 −0.9% | — |
| 382d |  scout | Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,487 | +$17 +0.3% | 4 |
| 382d |  b4k9xj2wh23 fills | Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert? | BuyNo>99¢ | $42,647 | +$206 +0.5% | 4 |
| 382d |  LINKEIN | Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,380 | +$20 +0.6% | 4 |
| 382d | Gethigher3 fills | Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert? | SellNo89¢ → 100¢ | $5,101 | −$617 −12% | — |
| 382d |  DonAntimatter | Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,464 | −$36 −0.8% | — |
| 382d |  MoMBonds | Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert? | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,960 | +$40 +0.4% | 4 |
| 382d | h4xor | Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,030 | −$27 −1.3% | — |
| 382d |  DickTurbin | Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,475 | +$25 +1.0% | 4 |
| 382d | Ordon | Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,940 | +$60 +1.0% | 4 |
| 382d |  LowValue | Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,980 | −$20 −1.0% | — |
| 382d | nuuki | Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $53,133 | −$537 −1.0% | — |
| 382d | Vorsh | Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,307 | −$13 −1.0% | — |
| 382d | Pluggish | Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $17,608 | −$178 −1.0% | — |
| 382d |  exit-liqudity | Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,202 | +$32 +1.0% | 4 |
| 382d |  Slowroasted | Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,127 | +$64 +2.0% | 5 |
| 382d |  aldynspeedruns2 fills | Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $21,291 | +$1,197 +5.6% | 4 |
| 382d |  Dropper6 fills | Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert? | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $30,343 | +$8,214 +27% | 4 |
| 382d |  mombil2 fills | Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $13,622 | +$672 +4.9% | 5 |
| 382d | kroko74 fills | Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert? | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $59,884 | −$5,348 −8.9% | — |
| 382d | BlindGibbon | Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $13,000 | +$542 +4.2% | 5 |
| 383d |  GoriIIa2 fills | Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $20,638 | +$1,456 +7.1% | 4 |
| 383d | RealNogger | Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert? | BuyYes9¢ → 0¢ | $2,013 | −$2,013 −100% | 17 |
| 383d |  tourists3 fills | Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert? | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $5,038 | +$945 +19% | 4 |
| 383d | abramovvvv | Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $53,884 | −$3,439 −6.4% | — |
| 383d | WagerWOLF998 fills | Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $498,973 | +$34,712 +7.0% | 6 |
| 383d |  WindWalk33 fills | Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert? | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $56,852 | −$4,878 −8.6% | — |
| 383d | Flipadelphia | Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert? | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,131 | −$119 −10% | — |
| 383d |  Vespucci | Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $6,007 | +$383 +6.4% | 6 |
| 383d | tourists5 fills | Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert? | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $20,737 | −$2,349 −11% | — |
| 383d | abramovvvv | Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $64,068 | +$4,822 +7.5% | 6 |
| 383d |  middleoftheocean4 fills | Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $17,164 | +$2,016 +12% | 4 |
| 383d | nofedcuts3 fills | Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert? | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $18,332 | −$1,610 −8.8% | — |
| 383d | jzpap | Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert? | BuyYes9¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 12 |
| 383d | Fastmoney1 | Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert? | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $5,328 | −$511 −9.6% | — |
| 383d |  Malllory | Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $3,751 | +$239 +6.4% | 6 |
| 383d | losingallday | Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert? | SellYes7¢ → 0¢ | $3,831 | +$3,831 +100% | — |
| 383d | fort123123 | Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert? | SellNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,783 | −$217 −12% | — |
| 383d | LordMilesClan | Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert? | BuyYes11¢ → 0¢ | $1,310 | −$1,310 −100% | 14 |
| 383d | Apheli0n | Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert? | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $4,110 | −$390 −9.5% | — |
| 383d | Car4 fills | Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert? | SellNo80¢ → 100¢ | $15,141 | −$3,751 −25% | — |
| 383d |  TealV | Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,057 | +$159 +7.7% | 5 |
| 383d |  fractaliz | Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert? | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,549 | −$169 −11% | — |
| 383d |  neetdog7 fills | Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert? | BuyYes23¢ → 0¢ | $7,587 | −$7,587 −100% | 14 |
| 383d |  Frosen2 fills | Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $4,898 | +$630 +13% | 6 |
| 383d | xhinra376 fills | Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert? | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $34,414 | +$11,488 +33% | 4 |
| 383d | neetdog4 fills | Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert? | SellYes20¢ → 0¢ | $6,617 | +$6,617 +100% | — |
| 383d | 0xd358…0a62 | Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert? | SellNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,071 | −$268 −25% | — |
| 383d | middleoftheocean2 fills | Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert? | SellNo76¢ → 100¢ | $6,811 | −$2,101 −31% | — |
| 383d | Vespucci | Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert? | SellNo80¢ → 100¢ | $4,003 | −$998 −25% | — |
| 384d |  predly.ai2 fills | Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert? | SellNo80¢ → 100¢ | $3,437 | −$858 −25% | — |
| 384d |  homeruns9 fills | Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert? | SellYes19¢ → 0¢ | $28,822 | +$28,822 +100% | — |
On July 4, 2025, @real_lord_miles announced he would be "water fasting for 40 DAYS AND NIGHTS in one of the hottest Deserts in the world in isolation" (see: https://x.com/real_lord_miles/status/1941056296137949678). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lord Miles completes a continuous 40-day water-only fast in a desert by September 30, 2025 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The fast must be publicly documented through livestreams, video, or credible reporting. If Miles consumes any food or calories other than water and electrolytes during the 40 days, or if he otherwise abandons the fast, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting and/or direct video evidence.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.