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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January 9 | 100% | +38 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| January 31 | 100% | +31 pts | +92 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| December 31, 2025 | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 283d | alliswell | January 9 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,208 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 283d | MistahFox | January 9 | SellYes>99¢ | $8,042 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 283d |  arjennnnn | January 9 | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,210 | +$10 +0.1% | 4 |
| 283d |  CosmicCedar | January 9 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,499 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 283d |  Jiber | January 9 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,393 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 283d | alliswell | January 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $34,455 | +$34 +0.1% | 4 |
| 283d |  HowToBasic2 fills | January 9 | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,290 | +$31 +0.3% | 4 |
| 283d |  Nexuus | January 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,990 | +$10 +0.1% | 4 |
| 283d | Nexuus | January 9 | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,990 | +$10 +0.1% | 4 |
| 283d | ballboy95 | January 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 283d | ballboy95 | January 9 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 283d | Trusty-Towel | January 9 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,306 | +$5 +0.4% | 4 |
| 283d |  TealV3 fills | January 9 | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $9,051 | +$565 +6.2% | 4 |
| 283d |  The-Joker | January 9 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,858 | +$17 +0.6% | 4 |
| 283d |  ScottyNooo6 fills | January 31 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $41,344 | +$1,453 +3.5% | 4 |
| 283d | ScottyNooo4 fills | January 9 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $20,392 | +$1,170 +5.7% | 4 |
| 283d | pelik2 fills | January 9 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,028 | +$31 +1.0% | 4 |
| 283d | yougotme | January 9 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $8,986 | +$82 +0.9% | 4 |
| 283d |  Car | January 9 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,085 | +$21 +1.0% | 4 |
| 283d |  tourists | January 9 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,720 | +$75 +1.1% | 4 |
| 283d |  bamesjond | January 9 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,966 | +$34 +1.1% | 4 |
| 283d | dube2 fills | January 9 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $17,260 | +$181 +1.0% | 4 |
| 283d | MistahFox3 fills | January 9 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $6,448 | +$103 +1.6% | 4 |
| 284d | Djibooty | January 9 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,066 | −$38 −1.8% | — |
| 284d |  BeneGesseritVoice | January 9 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,476 | +$24 +1.6% | 4 |
| 284d |  betwick6 fills | January 9 | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $14,786 | +$4,068 +28% | 4 |
| 284d |  Dropper | January 9 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,018 | +$49 +1.6% | 4 |
| 284d | jkey | January 31 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,199 | −$12 −0.6% | — |
| 284d | garkein | January 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,500 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 284d | garkein | January 9 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$23 +1.5% | 4 |
| 284d |  iamkrisas | January 31 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,780 | +$13 +0.7% | 4 |
| 284d |  MagicEightBall2 fills | January 31 | SellYes83¢ → 100¢ | $5,195 | −$1,066 −21% | — |
| 284d |  Trading4Fridge | January 31 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,221 | −$20 −0.9% | — |
| 284d | Trading4Fridge | January 9 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $6,559 | −$151 −2.3% | — |
| 284d | MagicEightBall | January 9 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,714 | −$41 −1.5% | — |
| 284d |  Doom.kai | January 31 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,194 | −$8 −0.7% | — |
| 284d | 20BPS | January 9 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,620 | −$23 −1.4% | — |
| 284d | 20BPS2 fills | January 9 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,581 | +$23 +0.6% | 4 |
| 284d | TealV3 fills | January 31 | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $8,981 | +$977 +11% | 4 |
| 284d | betwick7 fills | January 31 | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $16,863 | +$5,716 +34% | 4 |
| 284d | Threadbare-Astronomy2 fills | January 31 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $15,263 | +$168 +1.1% | 4 |
| 284d |  MisTKy32 fills | January 31 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $9,854 | +$227 +2.3% | 4 |
| 284d |  CertifiedCRY | January 9 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,079 | +$63 +2.0% | 4 |
| 284d | CertifiedCRY | January 31 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,045 | +$50 +1.6% | 4 |
| 284d | betwick | January 9 | SellYes65¢ → 100¢ | $1,089 | −$598 −55% | — |
| 284d | Trading4Fridge | January 9 | BuyYes68¢ → 100¢ | $1,321 | +$609 +46% | 4 |
| 284d | 0B06 | January 9 | BuyNo28¢ → 0¢ | $1,184 | −$1,184 −100% | 5 |
| 284d | 0B062 fills | January 9 | SellYes71¢ → 100¢ | $2,525 | −$1,008 −40% | — |
| 284d | 0B06 | January 9 | BuyYes77¢ → 100¢ | $1,266 | +$378 +30% | 4 |
| 284d | chiplis-994 | January 9 | BuyNo26¢ → 0¢ | $2,002 | −$2,002 −100% | 7 |
| 284d |  mr.ozi | January 9 | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $1,968 | +$532 +27% | 4 |
| 284d | Aaaaaguess | January 31 | SellYes73¢ → 100¢ | $1,084 | −$397 −37% | — |
| 284d | TheCheatCode2 fills | January 31 | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $5,556 | +$644 +12% | 4 |
| 284d |  copefan | January 9 | SellYes55¢ → 100¢ | $1,215 | −$1,006 −83% | — |
| 285d | IlIIllIIIllIIl2 fills | January 31 | BuyYes71¢ → 100¢ | $6,072 | +$2,517 +41% | 4 |
| 285d | MagicEightBall | January 31 | BuyYes71¢ → 100¢ | $2,038 | +$847 +42% | 4 |
| 285d | pkz | January 9 | BuyYes62¢ → 100¢ | $2,993 | +$1,844 +62% | 4 |
| 285d | copefan2 fills | January 31 | BuyNo35¢ → 0¢ | $3,965 | −$3,965 −100% | 8 |
| 285d | Ad4m | January 31 | SellYes62¢ → 100¢ | $1,461 | −$894 −61% | — |
| 285d | Ad4m | January 31 | BuyYes67¢ → 100¢ | $1,576 | +$780 +49% | 4 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Trump Administration submits a 48-hour report consistent with the War Powers Resolution regarding the introduction of U.S. armed forces into hostilities or imminent hostilities against Venezuela by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The market will resolve based on the listed date of the report. This market may stay open until January 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET to allow for a qualifying report to be published. The primary resolution sources for this market will be the White House, the Congressional Record, and the NYU Law War Powers Resolution Reporting Project; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for January 9 means the market gives it about 100%.