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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D66 | 100% | 0 pts | +92 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| PVV | 0% | −1 pts | −76 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| GL/PvdA | 0% | — | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| VVD | 0% | — | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| NSC | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| BBB | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| CDA | 0% | — | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| SP | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Denk | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| PvdD | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| FvD | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| SGP | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| CU | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Volt | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| JA21 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Party A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 348d |  Big.Chungus6 fills | D66 | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $38,254 | −$3,252 −8.5% | — |
| 348d |  UnfortunateSon | D66 | SellYes>99¢ | $14,985 | −$15 −0.1% | — |
| 349d |  debased5 fills | D66 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $11,082 | +$287 +2.6% | 10 |
| 349d |  Ahpo | D66 | BuyYes>99¢ | $15,984 | +$16 +0.1% | 10 |
| 349d |  pup1 | PVV | SellNo>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 349d |  CoffeeLover4 fills | D66 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $11,903 | +$272 +2.3% | 10 |
| 349d | iamgone7 fills | D66 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $49,907 | +$1,316 +2.6% | 10 |
| 349d | 0x97cc…bbbf | D66 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,990 | +$10 +0.2% | 10 |
| 349d |  HolyMoses75 fills | D66 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $88,449 | +$1,661 +1.9% | 10 |
| 349d |  BlackSky123 | D66 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,355 | +$3 +0.2% | 10 |
| 349d | BlackSky123 | PVV | SellNo>99¢ | $1,355 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 349d | 0x89cd…4d7d | D66 | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,336 | +$25 +0.3% | 10 |
| 349d | VvVv2 fills | D66 | BuyYes>99¢ | $53,292 | +$236 +0.4% | 10 |
| 349d | LinusB | D66 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,589 | +$6 +0.4% | 10 |
| 349d | ngggrah | D66 | BuyYes100¢ | $13,141 | +$66 +0.5% | 10 |
| 349d | ngggrah | PVV | SellNo>99¢ | $13,141 | −$13 −0.1% | — |
| 349d |  AgricultureSecretary | PVV | BuyNo>99¢ | $230,343 | +$338 +0.1% | 10 |
| 349d | 0x97cc…bbbf | PVV | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,493 | +$8 +0.3% | 10 |
| 349d | Ahpo | PVV | BuyNo>99¢ | $16,065 | +$65 +0.4% | 10 |
| 349d | AB2 | PVV | BuyNo100¢ | $12,935 | +$65 +0.5% | 10 |
| 349d |  arabsearch | PVV | BuyNo100¢ | $1,631 | +$8 +0.5% | 10 |
| 349d |  ChoosePoverty | PVV | BuyNo100¢ | $1,463 | +$7 +0.5% | 10 |
| 349d |  SnitchingRat | PVV | BuyNo100¢ | $1,075 | +$5 +0.5% | 10 |
| 349d |  elon2000 | PVV | BuyNo100¢ | $1,228 | +$6 +0.5% | 10 |
| 349d |  0xRacist | PVV | BuyNo100¢ | $1,278 | +$6 +0.5% | 10 |
| 349d | PainStealer | PVV | BuyNo100¢ | $1,981 | +$10 +0.5% | 10 |
| 349d |  Rommel💀 | PVV | BuyNo100¢ | $2,038 | +$10 +0.5% | 10 |
| 349d |  Infringe | PVV | BuyNo100¢ | $1,999 | +$10 +0.5% | 10 |
| 349d | degentrader123 | D66 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,380 | +$10 +0.7% | 10 |
| 349d |  Allinnothing2 fills | PVV | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $20,650 | +$104 +0.5% | 10 |
| 349d |  1gghjjjjjjjjnnn | PVV | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,304 | +$7 +0.5% | 10 |
| 349d | BlackSky123 | PVV | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,349 | +$7 +0.5% | 10 |
| 349d | ngggrah2 fills | PVV | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $11,887 | +$60 +0.5% | 10 |
| 349d | UnfortunateSon | PVV | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,061 | −$22 −0.7% | — |
| 349d | Sleepy-Mansard | D66 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,042 | −$10 −1.0% | — |
| 349d | infinite805w | D66 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $24,812 | −$223 −0.9% | — |
| 349d | AZwater2 fills | D66 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $11,090 | +$115 +1.0% | 10 |
| 349d | daspechgeldwegdooroplichter2 fills | D66 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,788 | −$20 −0.4% | — |
| 350d | MaxHippo | PVV | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,275 | +$8 +0.6% | 10 |
| 350d | wubddh9 fills | D66 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $24,524 | +$1,258 +5.1% | 10 |
| 350d | Fickle-KeyNew account | GL/PvdA | SellNo>99¢ | $1,104 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 350d | asdokasjk | D66 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,300 | +$22 +0.5% | 10 |
| 350d | xterry | D66 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,048 | −$9 −0.8% | — |
| 350d | Angrysjokko2 fills | D66 | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $5,246 | −$547 −10% | — |
| 350d |  Socialista | D66 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,007 | −$7 −0.7% | — |
| 350d | liferno | PVV | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,450 | −$10 −0.7% | — |
| 350d | liferno | PVV | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,159 | +$31 +0.6% | 10 |
| 350d | willem.eth | VVD | SellNo>99¢ | $1,015 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 350d |  ezyoracle | CDA | SellNo>99¢ | $1,159 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 350d | M.C.Escher | D66 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,404 | −$24 −1.0% | — |
| 350d | Sang3321 | CDA | SellNo>99¢ | $1,399 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 350d | Sang3321 | SP | SellNo>99¢ | $1,299 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 350d | superhigh2 fills | D66 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $10,517 | +$60 +0.6% | 10 |
| 350d | FlyingPlaty | FvD | SellNo>99¢ | $30,001 | −$30 −0.1% | — |
| 350d | Big.Chungus8 fills | D66 | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $31,788 | +$3,151 +9.9% | 10 |
| 350d |  Judkins4 fills | D66 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $8,086 | −$130 −1.6% | — |
| 350d | Dead-Skylightt | VVD | SellNo>99¢ | $14,279 | −$14 −0.1% | — |
| 351d | bonkers3 fills | D66 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,332 | −$67 −1.3% | — |
| 351d |  lmtfalone2 fills | D66 | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $7,441 | −$663 −8.9% | — |
| 351d | KoekieVreter | D66 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,120 | −$10 −0.9% | — |
The ruling coalition of the Netherlands collapsed on June 3, 2025. New parliamentary elections are expected to be scheduled soon. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Netherlands House of Representatives (Tweede Kamer der Staten-Generaal) as a result of this election. If voting in the Netherlands election for the House does not occur by July 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Electoral Council (Kiesraad) (https://www.kiesraad.nl/).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for D66 means the market gives it about 100%.