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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −2 pts | −64 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 244d | lox-frogs2 fills | Government shutdown on Saturday? | SellNo83¢ → 100¢ | $3,773 | −$783 −21% | — |
| 244d | sferfgefvrfgh1234 | Government shutdown on Saturday? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,335 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 244d | tdev00-account6 | Government shutdown on Saturday? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,406 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 244d | Midship | Government shutdown on Saturday? | SellNo>99¢ | $3,963 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 244d |  Doom.kai | Government shutdown on Saturday? | SellNo>99¢ | $8,150 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 244d |  AcctToBeRetired | Government shutdown on Saturday? | SellNo>99¢ | $60,124 | −$60 −0.1% | — |
| 244d |  thegreengem | Government shutdown on Saturday? | BuyNo>99¢ | $118,029 | +$118 +0.1% | 4 |
| 244d |  Ahpo2 fills | Government shutdown on Saturday? | BuyNo>99¢ | $20,072 | +$39 +0.2% | 4 |
| 244d |  TAMALIE | Government shutdown on Saturday? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,349 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 244d |  d1k21 | Government shutdown on Saturday? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,996 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 244d |  Vulture-811 | Government shutdown on Saturday? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,499 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 244d |  RememberAmalek | Government shutdown on Saturday? | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 244d |  bamesjond17 fills | Government shutdown on Saturday? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $53,298 | +$6,320 +12% | 7 |
| 244d |  LASHOLE | Government shutdown on Saturday? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,211 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 244d |  ReinforcementLearning | Government shutdown on Saturday? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,375 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 244d |  ClaudeAI4 fills | Government shutdown on Saturday? | BuyNo>99¢ | $499,323 | +$1,063 +0.2% | 4 |
| 244d |  OraculumNobius6 fills | Government shutdown on Saturday? | BuyNo>99¢ | $55,140 | +$193 +0.3% | 4 |
| 244d | Ordon | Government shutdown on Saturday? | BuyNo>99¢ | $79,840 | +$160 +0.2% | 4 |
| 244d |  Xeny2 fills | Government shutdown on Saturday? | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,980 | +$20 +0.2% | 4 |
| 244d | yougotme | Government shutdown on Saturday? | BuyNo>99¢ | $71,515 | +$143 +0.2% | 4 |
| 244d |  scout | Government shutdown on Saturday? | BuyNo>99¢ | $339,455 | +$680 +0.2% | 4 |
| 244d |  Rex4162 fills | Government shutdown on Saturday? | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $11,081 | +$1,588 +14% | 7 |
| 244d | aviato | Government shutdown on Saturday? | SellNo>99¢ | $9,793 | −$29 −0.3% | — |
| 244d |  llzl9d9ujfurhuer3 | Government shutdown on Saturday? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,068 | +$15 +0.3% | 4 |
| 244d | sensesprofound2 fills | Government shutdown on Saturday? | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,254 | +$25 +0.3% | 4 |
| 244d |  zxdfbdfgngcxv | Government shutdown on Saturday? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,988 | −$12 −0.4% | — |
| 244d |  ScottyNooo4 fills | Government shutdown on Saturday? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $20,827 | +$2,193 +11% | 7 |
| 244d | ocene | Government shutdown on Saturday? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,096 | −$4 −0.4% | — |
| 244d | voidmarket | Government shutdown on Saturday? | SellNo100¢ | $5,260 | −$26 −0.5% | — |
| 244d | Quantum.Physics | Government shutdown on Saturday? | SellNo100¢ | $4,096 | −$21 −0.5% | — |
| 244d | The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA2 fills | Government shutdown on Saturday? | BuyNo>99¢ | $28,396 | +$114 +0.4% | 4 |
| 244d | Trump20282 fills | Government shutdown on Saturday? | BuyNo>99¢ | $33,887 | +$159 +0.5% | 4 |
| 244d |  StarMaster | Government shutdown on Saturday? | SellNo100¢ | $1,231 | −$6 −0.5% | — |
| 244d | Rin2x | Government shutdown on Saturday? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,245 | +$5 +0.4% | 4 |
| 244d | lox-frogs | Government shutdown on Saturday? | BuyNo100¢ | $1,486 | +$7 +0.5% | 4 |
| 244d |  Tgcd7 | Government shutdown on Saturday? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,037 | −$12 −0.6% | — |
| 244d | Kakit | Government shutdown on Saturday? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,988 | −$12 −0.6% | — |
| 244d |  SwissMiss | Government shutdown on Saturday? | BuyNo100¢ | $23,735 | +$119 +0.5% | 4 |
| 244d | voidmarket | Government shutdown on Saturday? | BuyNo100¢ | $5,260 | +$26 +0.5% | 4 |
| 244d | Downright-Meat | Government shutdown on Saturday? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,622 | −$13 −0.8% | — |
| 244d | Iambt | Government shutdown on Saturday? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,133 | −$8 −0.7% | — |
| 244d |  TealV7 fills | Government shutdown on Saturday? | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $36,449 | +$7,208 +20% | 8 |
| 244d | Lustrous-Painter | Government shutdown on Saturday? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,333 | −$11 −0.8% | — |
| 244d | aviato3 fills | Government shutdown on Saturday? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $8,761 | +$83 +0.9% | 4 |
| 244d | Sharp-RushNew account | Government shutdown on Saturday? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,287 | −$21 −0.9% | — |
| 244d |  Oxhunt20492 fills | Government shutdown on Saturday? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,996 | +$88 +0.9% | 4 |
| 244d | Sharp-RushNew account | Government shutdown on Saturday? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,289 | +$18 +0.8% | 4 |
| 244d |  tetrase7 fills | Government shutdown on Saturday? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $20,831 | +$1,664 +8.0% | 6 |
| 244d | Midship | Government shutdown on Saturday? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,923 | +$44 +1.1% | 4 |
| 244d | alchemicalwarlock | Government shutdown on Saturday? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,218 | −$16 −1.3% | — |
| 244d | wubddh3 fills | Government shutdown on Saturday? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $27,577 | +$483 +1.8% | 4 |
| 244d |  alexander077 | Government shutdown on Saturday? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,991 | −$30 −1.5% | — |
| 244d | alexander077 | Government shutdown on Saturday? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,993 | +$28 +1.4% | 4 |
| 244d |  Arbguy | Government shutdown on Saturday? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $21,999 | −$358 −1.6% | — |
| 244d | justme0032 fills | Government shutdown on Saturday? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,471 | +$84 +1.9% | 4 |
| 244d | Aphyo4 | Government shutdown on Saturday? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,418 | −$39 −1.6% | — |
| 244d | Quantum.Physics | Government shutdown on Saturday? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,061 | +$55 +1.4% | 4 |
| 244d |  Mr-Krabs | Government shutdown on Saturday? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,291 | +$92 +1.5% | 4 |
| 244d | Moneyman147 - 18035 | Government shutdown on Saturday? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,679 | −$29 −1.7% | — |
| 245d | 0xentropy | Government shutdown on Saturday? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,532 | +$39 +1.5% | 4 |
tetrose1,000,000 shares
ImJustKen76,204 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces a new federal government shutdown due to a lapse in appropriations by February 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A continuation, without any reopening, of the partial government shutdown which began on January 31, 2026, will not qualify. Partial shutdowns count as shutdowns; announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather do not qualify as a shutdown. The resolution source for this market will be OPM’s Operating Status page (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.