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Polymarket wallet 0x667f0830ee260653b4121ae1d2c1e50137ac87b6 · on Polymarket since Nov 6, 2024 · also shown as Favorable-Helium
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Government shutdown on Saturday?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 30¢ → 100¢ | $100 | +$70 +233% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 19 | 26¢ → 100¢ | $19 | +$14 +285% |
| US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 87 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| U.S. strike on Somalia by February 14?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 50 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$24 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 248d | Government shutdown on Saturday? | BuyNo30¢ | $30 |
| 249d | U.S. strike on Somalia by February 14? | BuyNo48¢ | $24 |
| 275d | US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026? | BuyYes23¢ | $20 |
| 287d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | BuyYes26¢ | $5 |
| 654d | Another state declare a state of emergency over bird flu before February? | BuyYes41¢ | $5 |
| 654d | 100+ Bird Flu cases in U.S. before February? | BuyYes23¢ | $15 |
| 657d | Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election? | BuyYes13¢ | $10 |
| 657d | Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election? | BuyYes43¢ | $10 |
| 691d | Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024? | BuyNo39¢ | $20 |
| 695d | Ukraine hits Moscow before 2025? | BuyNo73¢ | $10 |
| 695d | SpaceX Flight 7 launch before February 2025? | BuyNo50¢ | $10 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 7 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.