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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | — | −4 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 230d | 0x4e25…d7a74 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SellYes>99¢ | $35,964 | −$36 −0.1% | — |
| 230d |  AgricultureSecretary | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,012 | +$10 +0.1% | 20 |
| 230d |  ZhangMuZhi..9 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | BuyYes>99¢ | $89,847 | +$117 +0.1% | 20 |
| 230d |  BenzoateOstylezeneBicarbonate | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | BuyYes>99¢ | $30,449 | +$97 +0.3% | 20 |
| 230d |  0xdc3E831cad | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,268 | +$18 +0.8% | 20 |
| 230d |  DonationsReceiver4 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | BuyYes>99¢ | $41,328 | +$96 +0.2% | 20 |
| 230d |  Ahpo | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,008 | +$9 +0.3% | 20 |
| 230d |  llzl9d9ujfurhuer33 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | BuyYes>99¢ | $82,503 | +$281 +0.3% | 20 |
| 230d |  Malfunction.2 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $49,766 | +$355 +0.7% | 20 |
| 230d | Snoorrason | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,988 | +$12 +0.4% | 20 |
| 230d |  noreasapa | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $12,097 | +$122 +1.0% | 20 |
| 230d | 88blitzcrank | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,526 | −$17 −1.1% | — |
| 230d |  foodenjoyer6 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SellYes70¢ → 100¢ | $14,496 | −$6,305 −43% | — |
| 230d |  StupidMonkeyyy | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,177 | +$33 +1.5% | 20 |
| 230d |  PlasmaBlasted | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $6,146 | −$114 −1.9% | — |
| 230d | Amrosein3 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $15,186 | −$1,215 −8.0% | — |
| 230d | lh44228 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $6,224 | −$101 −1.6% | — |
| 230d | Megabyte911 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $4,409 | −$116 −2.6% | — |
| 230d | TheLastOfMachine | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $11,799 | +$266 +2.3% | 20 |
| 230d |  Tigerofthehood | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $8,485 | −$244 −2.9% | — |
| 230d | Brilo852 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SellYes63¢ → 100¢ | $16,381 | −$9,803 −60% | — |
| 230d |  Parz1vaI4 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $22,593 | +$7,382 +33% | 20 |
| 230d | C03B | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,143 | −$62 −1.0% | — |
| 230d | C03B | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $31,390 | +$318 +1.0% | 20 |
| 230d | Tigerofthehood | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,182 | +$80 +1.1% | 20 |
| 230d | yfaichan | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,598 | −$105 −4.0% | — |
| 230d |  ProfitMuhammedPBUH | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$33 +1.7% | 20 |
| 230d |  debased5 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | BuyYes46¢ → 100¢ | $13,112 | +$15,579 +119% | 22 |
| 230d | toytrucks | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $36,043 | +$1,557 +4.3% | 20 |
| 230d | Roger1410 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $4,940 | −$355 −7.2% | — |
| 230d | debased2 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SellYes58¢ → 100¢ | $8,869 | −$6,546 −74% | — |
| 230d | 0xe49c…481b | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,220 | −$110 −5.0% | — |
| 230d | Parz1vaI3 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $17,037 | −$1,363 −8.0% | — |
| 230d |  dante321 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $2,296 | −$140 −6.1% | — |
| 230d |  chungguskhan | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SellNo5¢ → 0¢ | $1,081 | +$1,081 +100% | — |
| 230d | Generator | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,093 | +$100 +4.8% | 20 |
| 230d | foodenjoyer5 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | BuyYes53¢ → 100¢ | $29,304 | +$25,627 +87% | 20 |
| 230d |  Chims | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,510 | +$82 +5.5% | 20 |
| 230d | mammamia69 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SellYes85¢ → 100¢ | $2,735 | −$491 −18% | — |
| 230d |  bosshog | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,450 | −$49 −3.4% | — |
| 230d | 0xZ3AL0T | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,088 | −$32 −3.0% | — |
| 230d | Renet | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,153 | −$63 −2.9% | — |
| 230d | TOPO85 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $6,304 | −$188 −3.0% | — |
| 230d |  Bepis77 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $3,079 | −$147 −4.8% | — |
| 230d | DemoKratic | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,761 | −$135 −4.9% | — |
| 230d | KevinCh2 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SellYes75¢ → 100¢ | $6,728 | −$2,224 −33% | — |
| 230d | yarrpen | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $6,288 | −$316 −5.0% | — |
| 230d | saik360 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,510 | −$74 −4.9% | — |
| 230d | Favorable-Raft | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,302 | −$62 −4.7% | — |
| 230d | Marais | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $3,826 | −$169 −4.4% | — |
| 230d | Distant-Polish | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,932 | −$69 −3.6% | — |
| 230d | dontworryabouteet | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,495 | −$101 −4.1% | — |
| 230d | Bertastan | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,220 | −$107 −4.8% | — |
| 230d |  JFK01 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,125 | −$70 −3.3% | — |
| 230d | okada | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,462 | −$48 −3.3% | — |
| 230d |  Erasmus.4 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $79,147 | +$853 +1.1% | 20 |
| 230d | Hidden-Savings | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,052 | −$33 −3.1% | — |
| 230d | QMG-CORE | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,243 | −$108 −4.8% | — |
| 230d | Chilly-Paperwork | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $5,601 | −$282 −5.0% | — |
| 230d | 0x4e25…d7a73 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | BuyYes57¢ → 100¢ | $11,596 | +$8,920 +77% | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran's Supreme Leader, Ali Khamenei, is removed from power for any length of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Khamenei will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Supreme Leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.