| Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 1,593 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $1,584 | +$7 +0.5% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 388 | 13¢ → 40¢ | $153 | +$103 +204% |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 178 | 48¢ → 73¢ | $129 | +$44 +52% |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2,479 | 29¢ → 4¢ | $92 | −$628 −87% |
| Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 1,521 | 2¢ → 4¢ | $68 | +$36 +112% |
| Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 142 | 91¢ → 19¢ | $27 | −$102 −79% |
| Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 60 | 73¢ → 43¢ | $26 | −$18 −41% |
| Tariff increase on Canada in effect by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 13 | 70¢ → 88¢ | $11 | +$2 +26% |
| Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 18 | 32¢ → 31¢ | $6 | −$0 −4.0% |
| Will Sergey Brin be 3rd richest person on December 31?Ends in 77d | Yes | 35 | 9¢ → 8¢ | $3 | −$0 −11% |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 112 | 9¢ → 1¢ | $2 | −$8 −85% |
| US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 5 | 30¢ → 14¢ | $1 | −$1 −53% |
| Will Larry Page be 3rd richest person on December 31?Ends in 77d | Yes | 9 | 8¢ → 5¢ | $0 | −$0 −40% |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 214 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$113 −100% |
| Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 10?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 6,208 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$705 −100% |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,806 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,463 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 529 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will there be 5 or fewer US strikes on Somalia in March 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,193 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$163 −100% |
| Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 27?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,073 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$105 −100% |
| Will LeBron James play for the New Orleans Pelicans in 2026-27?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Iran coup attempt by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 41,069 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5,610 −100% |
| Will CZ post 20-39 posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 104 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$26 −100% |
| Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 12,686 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$601 −100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 14,482 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,431 −100% |
| Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 196 | 74¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$145 −100% |
| Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 42 | 92¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$39 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,288 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$343 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Midterm" during Fox interview on Wednesday?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 128 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$62 −100% |
| US strike on Colombia by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,596 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$173 −100% |
| Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 40 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,000 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$400 −100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 465 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$200 −100% |
| Will Khamenei post 0-19 posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3,632 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$187 −100% |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 23,982 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$65 −100% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 306 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 190 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$24 −100% |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 238 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$138 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 75 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 17?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 910 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$240 −100% |
| Will Moonshot have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 997 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will "Fuck" or "Fucking" be said 10+ times during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience of the week? (April 6)Settled - ready to redeem | No | 76 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$37 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 167 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$92 −100% |
| Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 180 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 103 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 42 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Meta have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 183 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,490 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$240 −100% |
| Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 7,282 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,019 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,508 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$36 −100% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,783 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$574 −100% |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 8?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 102 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 14 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Boxing: Tyson Fury vs. Arslanbek MakhmudovSettled - ready to redeem | Makhmudov | 49 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 662 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$82 −100% |
| Will Meta have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 148 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 296 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 17?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,246 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$37 −100% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10,661 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4,217 −100% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 18,000 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,483 −100% |
| Will Moonshot have the second-best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 317 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will Khamenei post 20-24 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 39 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,116 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$153 −100% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,635 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 24?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 825 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$110 −100% |
| Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 29?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 55 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| US strike on Mexico by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 25,068 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,293 −100% |
| Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 326 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$31 −100% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 209 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 718 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$31 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7,104 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$322 −100% |
| Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 692 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$53 −100% |
| Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 29?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 294 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$32 −100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,818 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$200 −100% |
| Will White House post 180-199 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,116 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$420 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 90 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will CZ post 0-19 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 237 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 17?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,768 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$446 −100% |
| Trump announces new drug boat strike by March 7, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,330 | 65¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,802 −100% |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 30,404 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,434 −100% |
| Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 119 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 245 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 214 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,091 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,625 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$21 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 827 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$104 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 151 | 63¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$96 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,451 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$42 −100% |
| Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 329 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$105 −100% |
| US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 114 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Khamenei post 0-19 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 231 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11,618 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$488 −100% |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 61,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$886 −100% |
| Will Pam Bondi be held in contempt of Congress by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 333 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 483 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 601 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Khamenei tweet again on March 14, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,035 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$312 −100% |
| DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 728 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$77 −100% |
