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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 180-199 | 100% | +72 pts | +90 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <20 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 20-39 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 40-59 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 60-79 | 0% | 0 pts | −25 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 80-99 | 0% | −2 pts | −24 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 100-119 | 0% | −8 pts | −31 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 120-139 | 0% | −23 pts | −26 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 140-159 | 0% | −4 pts | −16 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 160-179 | 0% | −59 pts | −10 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 200+ | 0% | −8 pts | −28 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 154d |  ZhangMuZhi..6 fills | 160-179 | BuyNo>99¢ | $59,107 | +$59 +0.1% | 20 |
| 154d | ZhangMuZhi.. | 180-199 | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,792 | +$10 +0.1% | 20 |
| 154d | qwe258 | 180-199 | BuyYes>99¢ | $15,000 | +$15 +0.1% | 20 |
| 154d | looppau2 fills | 180-199 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,171 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 154d |  x.o | 180-199 | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,990 | +$10 +0.1% | 20 |
| 154d | NeoOracle | 180-199 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,412 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 154d | tphhh | 180-199 | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,990 | +$10 +0.1% | 20 |
| 154d | tianjiyuyunzhilu | 180-199 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 155d | Repulsive-Hit | 200+ | SellNo>99¢ | $1,977 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 155d | 0xc4ca…3df3 | 180-199 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,102 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 155d | tianjiyuyunzhilu2 fills | 200+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,534 | +$29 +0.3% | 20 |
| 155d | tianjiyuyunzhilu7 fills | 160-179 | BuyNo>99¢ | $25,084 | +$104 +0.4% | 20 |
| 155d | 0xbea8…36ef2 fills | 160-179 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $6,038 | −$124 −2.1% | — |
| 155d | These-Yoyo3 fills | 160-179 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,632 | +$140 +3.0% | 20 |
| 156d |  49023809234904 | 160-179 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,250 | +$127 +10% | 22 |
| 157d | These-Yoyo2 fills | 160-179 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,261 | −$80 −2.5% | — |
| 157d | geraldhew89 | 160-179 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$24 +1.2% | 20 |
| 157d | These-Yoyo2 fills | 140-159 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,701 | +$22 +0.4% | 20 |
| 157d | Simmelariii | 140-159 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 157d | NeoOracle | 140-159 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,216 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 158d |  shadow542 fills | 120-139 | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,273 | +$8 +0.1% | 20 |
| 158d |  dz1ft | 140-159 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,910 | +$90 +4.7% | 20 |
| 158d |  meagainsttheworld2 fills | 100-119 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,670 | +$191 +5.2% | 20 |
| 158d | meagainsttheworld2 fills | 80-99 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $8,799 | +$81 +0.9% | 20 |
| 158d | chocolate123 | 80-99 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,988 | +$12 +0.3% | 20 |
| 158d |  ProfitMuhammedPBUH2 fills | 80-99 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $7,500 | +$121 +1.6% | 20 |
| 158d | ProfitMuhammedPBUH | 100-119 | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $2,225 | +$408 +18% | 21 |
| 158d |  Cloverince | 60-79 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,667 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 158d | Simmelariii | 60-79 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 158d | NeoOracle | 60-79 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,215 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 158d | jidong9808 | 60-79 | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,761 | +$39 +0.4% | 20 |
| 159d | niuniuhgir | 60-79 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,147 | +$3 +0.3% | 20 |
| 159d | jidong9808 | 40-59 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,441 | +$9 +0.1% | 20 |
| 159d | venezuelain | 40-59 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 159d | TomCryptoDefi | 40-59 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,483 | +$5 +0.2% | 20 |
| 161d | Rewarding-Hiking | <20 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,810 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 161d | yanzhengma | <20 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,246 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 8, 12:00 PM ET and May 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 180-199 means the market gives it about 100%.