| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 35,000 | 77¢ → 94¢ | $32,725 | +$5,875 +22% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 90,000 | 20¢ → 12¢ | $10,350 | −$7,300 −41% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 106d | Yes | 214 | 4¢ → 56¢ | $121 | +$113 +1426% |
| Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 182 | 0¢ → 51¢ | $93 | +$93 +0.0% |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 21 | 0¢ → 74¢ | $15 | +$15 +0.0% |
| Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?Ends ended | No | 13 | 92¢ → >99¢ | $13 | +$1 +8.2% |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Ends in 135d | Yes | 16 | 17¢ → 80¢ | $13 | +$10 +377% |
| Will Charles Milliard be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?Ends ended | No | 10 | 63¢ → >99¢ | $10 | +$4 +59% |
| Will the US strike 14 countries in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 10 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $10 | +$0 +0.8% |
| Will the US strike 13 countries in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 10 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $10 | −$0 −0.1% |
| Will the US strike 12 countries in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 10 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $10 | −$0 −0.3% |
| Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 106d | No | 9 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $9 | +$0 +0.3% |
| Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 106d | No | 9 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $9 | +$0 +0.7% |
| Will the US strike 10 countries in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 10 | 94¢ → 91¢ | $9 | −$0 −3.5% |
| Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?Ends in 256d | No | 9 | 97¢ → 99¢ | $9 | +$0 +2.0% |
| Will Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?Ends in 256d | No | 9 | 93¢ → 95¢ | $9 | +$0 +2.2% |
| Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Ends in 165d | No | 8 | 75¢ → 99¢ | $8 | +$2 +32% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | Yes | 286 | 4¢ → 3¢ | $8 | −$2 −22% |
| Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Ends in 372d | Yes | 51 | 2¢ → 15¢ | $7 | +$7 +838% |
| Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?Ends in 256d | No | 9 | 38¢ → 81¢ | $7 | +$4 +113% |
| Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 7 | 98¢ → >99¢ | $7 | +$0 +1.9% |
| Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 10 | 87¢ → 68¢ | $7 | −$2 −22% |
| Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 7 | 98¢ → >99¢ | $7 | +$0 +2.1% |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,396 | 4¢ → <1¢ | $6 | −$44 −87% |
| Will Patricia Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Ends in 372d | Yes | 269 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $5 | +$1 +28% |
| Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | Yes | 1,868 | 4¢ → <1¢ | $5 | −$62 −93% |
| Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?Ends in 256d | No | 9 | 71¢ → 51¢ | $4 | −$2 −29% |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Ends in 135d | No | 5 | 43¢ → 81¢ | $4 | +$2 +88% |
| Will Marco Mendicino win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Ends in 9d | No | 4 | 98¢ → >99¢ | $4 | +$0 +2.0% |
| Will Anthony Furey win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Ends in 9d | No | 4 | 98¢ → >99¢ | $4 | +$0 +2.1% |
| Will John Tory win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Ends in 9d | No | 4 | 97¢ → >99¢ | $4 | +$0 +3.5% |
| Will Ana Bailão win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Ends in 9d | No | 4 | 95¢ → >99¢ | $4 | +$0 +5.3% |
| Will Michael Ford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Ends in 9d | No | 4 | 94¢ → >99¢ | $4 | +$0 +6.8% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 4 | 74¢ → 98¢ | $4 | +$1 +32% |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 635 | 8¢ → 1¢ | $3 | −$46 −94% |
| Will Cristina Fernández de Kirchner win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Ends in 372d | Yes | 269 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $3 | −$1 −26% |
| Will Benoît Saint Denis be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 3 | 98¢ → >99¢ | $3 | +$0 +2.3% |
| Will Paddy Pimblett be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 3 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $3 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Will Charles Oliveira be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 3 | 98¢ → >99¢ | $3 | +$0 +2.5% |
| Will Max Holloway be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 3 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $3 | +$0 +0.4% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseEnds in 17d | No | 3 | 64¢ → 99¢ | $3 | +$1 +54% |
| Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Ends in 9d | No | 4 | 91¢ → 76¢ | $3 | −$1 −17% |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 3 | 89¢ → 97¢ | $3 | +$0 +9.2% |
| Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 3 | 78¢ → 93¢ | $3 | +$0 +19% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than 0.6T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 236 | 14¢ → 1¢ | $3 | −$31 −92% |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,066 | 8¢ → <1¢ | $3 | −$79 −97% |
| Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 3 | 5¢ → 90¢ | $2 | +$2 +1603% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 3 | 75¢ → 82¢ | $2 | +$0 +8.6% |
| Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?Ends in 82d | No | 2 | 87¢ → >99¢ | $2 | +$0 +15% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | No | 3 | 62¢ → 73¢ | $2 | +$0 +17% |
| Will Victoria Villarruel win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Ends in 372d | No | 2 | 99¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$0 +0.7% |
| Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,396 | 4¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$48 −96% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 2 | 94¢ → 99¢ | $2 | +$0 +5.2% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 9 | 0¢ → 24¢ | $2 | +$2 +0.0% |
| Will Israel strike 12 countries in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 2 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $2 | +$0 +0.2% |
| Will Kevin Clarke win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Ends in 9d | No | 2 | 98¢ → >99¢ | $2 | +$0 +2.2% |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet?Ends in 75d | Yes | 11 | 7¢ → 18¢ | $2 | +$1 +170% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.6T and 0.9T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 2 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $2 | +$0 +1.1% |
| Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Ends in 372d | No | 3 | 60¢ → 71¢ | $2 | +$0 +17% |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?Ends in 75d | No | 2 | 89¢ → 99¢ | $2 | +$0 +11% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 2 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $2 | +$0 +1.6% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseEnds in 17d | No | 2 | 0¢ → 92¢ | $2 | +$2 +0.0% |
| Will Trump deport 800-900k people?Ends in 134d | No | 2 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $2 | −$0 −0.3% |
| Will Trump deport 700-800k people?Ends in 134d | No | 2 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $2 | −$0 −0.5% |
| Will Trump deport 600-700k people?Ends in 134d | No | 2 | 99¢ → 98¢ | $2 | −$0 −0.4% |
| Will Trump deport 900k-1m people?Ends in 134d | No | 2 | 100¢ → 98¢ | $2 | −$0 −1.5% |
| Will Trump deport 200-300k people?Ends in 134d | No | 2 | 85¢ → 98¢ | $2 | +$0 +15% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 2 | 45¢ → 98¢ | $2 | +$1 +117% |
| Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | Yes | 1,868 | 4¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$65 −97% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 2 | 86¢ → 93¢ | $2 | +$0 +8.0% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 2 | 97¢ → 87¢ | $2 | −$0 −10% |
| Will Trump deport 300-400k people?Ends in 134d | No | 2 | 54¢ → 90¢ | $2 | +$1 +67% |
| Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026?Ends in 82d | No | 2 | 93¢ → >99¢ | $2 | +$0 +7.3% |
| Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?Ends in 82d | No | 2 | 94¢ → >99¢ | $2 | +$0 +6.0% |
| Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movie of 2026?Ends in 82d | No | 2 | 94¢ → >99¢ | $2 | +$0 +6.1% |
| Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026?Ends in 82d | No | 2 | 88¢ → >99¢ | $2 | +$0 +13% |
| Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?Ends in 82d | No | 2 | 93¢ → >99¢ | $2 | +$0 +7.1% |
| Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026?Ends in 82d | No | 2 | 93¢ → >99¢ | $2 | +$0 +7.0% |
| Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?Ends in 82d | No | 2 | 95¢ → >99¢ | $2 | +$0 +5.5% |
| Will Trump deport 500-600k people?Ends in 134d | No | 2 | 96¢ → 88¢ | $2 | −$0 −8.7% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Ends in 82d | No | 2 | <1¢ → 96¢ | $2 | +$2 +83060% |
| Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?Ends in 82d | No | 2 | 90¢ → >99¢ | $2 | +$0 +11% |
| Will Daniel Hadad win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Ends in 371d | Yes | 269 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $2 | −$3 −62% |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 637 | 8¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$47 −97% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | No | 2 | 62¢ → 87¢ | $1 | +$0 +40% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1 | 95¢ → 99¢ | $1 | +$0 +4.4% |
| Will Guillermo Moreno win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Ends in 371d | Yes | 269 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $1 | −$3 −68% |
| Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1 | 73¢ → 84¢ | $1 | +$0 +15% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 2 | 42¢ → 55¢ | $1 | +$0 +30% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | No | 2 | 84¢ → 49¢ | $1 | −$1 −42% |
| Will Nassourdine Imavov be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1 | 78¢ → 97¢ | $1 | +$0 +25% |
| Will Myriam Bregman win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Ends in 372d | No | 1 | 95¢ → 99¢ | $1 | +$0 +3.5% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1 | 92¢ → >99¢ | $1 | +$0 +8.7% |
| Will Revolut have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 1 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $1 | +$0 +0.2% |
| Will Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 1 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $1 | +$0 +0.4% |
| Will Discord have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Ends in 76d | No | 1 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $1 | +$0 +0.4% |
| Will SHEIN have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Ends in 76d | No | 1 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $1 | +$0 +0.2% |
| Will ByteDance have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 1 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $1 | +$0 +0.2% |
| Will Waymo have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 1 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $1 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will Perplexity AI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 1 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $1 | +$0 +0.1% |
