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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 400-500k | 66% | +17 pts | −2 pts | 55¢ · 77¢ (22¢) | $135 | in 135d |
| 500-600k | 12% | 0 pts | — | 9¢ · 16¢ (8¢) | — | in 135d |
| 300-400k | 10% | — | +2 pts | 5¢ · 15¢ (10¢) | — | in 135d |
| 200-300k | 2% | — | — | 1¢ · 4¢ (3¢) | — | in 135d |
| 900k-1m | 2% | 0 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 4¢ (3¢) | — | in 135d |
| 600-700k | 2% | — | 0 pts | 1¢ · 3¢ (2¢) | — | in 135d |
| <200k | 2% | 0 pts | — | 1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | — | in 135d |
| 700-800k | 1% | — | — | 1¢ · 2¢ (2¢) | — | in 135d |
| 800-900k | 1% | — | +1 pts | <1¢ · 2¢ (2¢) | — | in 135d |
| >1m | 1% | 0 pts | — | <1¢ · 2¢ (2¢) | — | in 135d |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
During the 2024 FY ICE removed 271,484 non citizens (see: https://www.ice.gov/doclib/eoy/iceAnnualReportFY2024.pdf). This market will resolve according to the number of non citizens removed by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) in the 2026 fiscal year. The resolution source will be the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 66¢ for 400-500k means the market gives it about 66%.