Raketa09

Polymarket wallet 0x1790dd3028787a8a135361d5cf93855486936fd2 · on Polymarket since Apr 19, 2026 · also shown as Musty-Almanac

Open on Polymarket ↗

Positions now worth: $3.17K
All-time profit: −$627
Volume traded: $84K
All-time rank: #2,985,646
Markets traded: 1,370
Recent hit rate: 68%34 of last 50 closed

Open positions

100 markets · $2.66K

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Ends in 74d	No	161	9¢ → 84¢	$136	+$121 +814%
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $18B?Ends in 75d	No	132	83¢ → 96¢	$127	+$18 +16%
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 75d	No	94	49¢ → 83¢	$78	+$32 +70%
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Ends in 75d	No	75	63¢ → 95¢	$71	+$24 +50%
Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2026?Ends in 74d	No	75	58¢ → 91¢	$68	+$24 +56%
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d	Yes	70	41¢ → 90¢	$63	+$34 +118%
Will Ant-Man die in Avengers: Doomsday?Ends in 106d	Yes	120	34¢ → 52¢	$62	+$21 +52%
Hyperbeat FDV above $300M one day after launch?Ends in 75d	No	60	95¢ → 98¢	$59	+$2 +3.2%
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?Ends in 75d	No	70	66¢ → 84¢	$59	+$13 +28%
Will Solana reach $260 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d	No	60	95¢ → 96¢	$58	+$1 +1.8%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d	No	65	28¢ → 90¢	$58	+$40 +217%
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?Ends in 75d	No	60	83¢ → 89¢	$53	+$3 +6.6%
Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026?Ends in 75d	No	55	79¢ → 96¢	$53	+$9 +22%
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?Ends in 74d	Yes	66	24¢ → 80¢	$52	+$36 +226%
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat?Ends in 17d	Yes	60	57¢ → 83¢	$50	+$15 +44%
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?Ends in 75d	No	76	51¢ → 62¢	$47	+$8 +21%
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?Ends in 75d	No	47	78¢ → 99¢	$46	+$10 +27%
Will Doctor Strange die in Avengers: Doomsday?Ends in 106d	Yes	110	34¢ → 39¢	$43	+$5 +14%
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Ends in 49d	Yes	40	67¢ → 98¢	$39	+$12 +45%
Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31?Ends in 75d	No	60	52¢ → 63¢	$38	+$7 +21%
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?Ends in 440d	Yes	60	25¢ → 59¢	$35	+$20 +134%
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Ends in 165d	No	35	86¢ → 99¢	$35	+$5 +16%
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Ends in 82d	No	35	85¢ → 96¢	$34	+$4 +13%
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026?Ends in 74d	No	35	85¢ → 94¢	$33	+$3 +11%
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?Ends in 75d	Yes	40	89¢ → 78¢	$31	−$4 −13%
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026?Ends in 76d	Yes	39	63¢ → 79¢	$30	+$6 +24%
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d	No	30	77¢ → >99¢	$30	+$7 +30%
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d	No	35	82¢ → 84¢	$30	+$1 +2.9%
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d	No	40	68¢ → 72¢	$29	+$1 +5.1%
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?Ends in 75d	No	30	89¢ → 95¢	$28	+$2 +6.4%
Will Trump deport 300-400k people?Ends in 134d	No	30	76¢ → 90¢	$27	+$4 +18%
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d	No	40	71¢ → 68¢	$27	−$1 −4.9%
Will Trump pardon Keonne Rodriguez before 2027?Ends in 75d	No	30	88¢ → 90¢	$27	+$0 +1.7%
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d	No	45	61¢ → 60¢	$27	−$1 −2.5%
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?Ends in 75d	No	39	44¢ → 67¢	$26	+$9 +52%
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?Ends in 76d	No	30	48¢ → 86¢	$26	+$11 +79%
Will Russell Vought leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 75d	No	29	88¢ → 86¢	$25	−$1 −2.8%
Will Chainlink reach $22 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d	No	30	82¢ → 84¢	$25	+$0 +1.8%
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-07 House seat?Ends in 17d	Yes	40	73¢ → 63¢	$25	−$4 −14%
Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?Ends in 16d	No	30	29¢ → 81¢	$24	+$15 +175%
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d	No	25	79¢ → 96¢	$24	+$4 +22%
Will Apyx launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d	No	40	48¢ → 60¢	$24	+$5 +25%
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch?Ends ended	Yes	100	24¢ → 22¢	$21	−$3 −12%
Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?Ends ended	No	24	94¢ → 85¢	$20	−$2 −9.4%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?Ends in 75d	No	20	83¢ → 99¢	$20	+$3 +20%
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?Ends in 75d	No	20	86¢ → 93¢	$19	+$1 +7.6%
Will Dogecoin dip to $0.06 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d	No	30	49¢ → 60¢	$18	+$3 +22%
Will Chainlink reach $16 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d	Yes	30	28¢ → 59¢	$18	+$9 +106%
Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch?Ends in 75d	Yes	50	73¢ → 35¢	$17	−$19 −53%
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d	Yes	40	46¢ → 43¢	$17	−$1 −6.6%
Anthropic IPO before 2027?Ends in 75d	No	60	27¢ → 28¢	$17	+$1 +3.7%
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%?Ends in 103d	No	32	56¢ → 52¢	$17	−$1 −6.7%
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d	No	20	68¢ → 82¢	$16	+$3 +21%
Will Theo launch a token by December 31 2026?Ends in 75d	No	25	42¢ → 65¢	$16	+$6 +56%
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?Ends in 75d	No	24	76¢ → 68¢	$16	−$2 −11%
Will the Democratic Party win the NM-02 House seat?Ends in 17d	No	195	11¢ → 8¢	$16	−$6 −26%
Will Donald Trump visit Italy in 2026?Ends in 74d	No	17	70¢ → 93¢	$16	+$4 +32%
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d	Yes	16	78¢ → 93¢	$15	+$3 +20%
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $16B?Ends in 75d	No	16	78¢ → 97¢	$15	+$3 +24%
Makina FDV above $80M one day after launch?Ends in 75d	No	17	85¢ → 90¢	$15	+$1 +5.9%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 75d	No	15	84¢ → >99¢	$15	+$2 +18%
Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026?Ends in 106d	No	54	65¢ → 28¢	$15	−$20 −58%
StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch?Ends in 75d	No	15	69¢ → 99¢	$15	+$5 +44%
Will XRP reach $2.80 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d	No	15	90¢ → 94¢	$14	+$1 +4.6%
Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 75d	No	15	85¢ → 95¢	$14	+$2 +12%
Will Bad Bunny be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?Ends in 75d	No	15	73¢ → 97¢	$14	+$3 +32%
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 75d	Yes	57	24¢ → 25¢	$14	+$1 +6.2%
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?Ends in 76d	No	20	73¢ → 71¢	$14	−$1 −3.4%
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-10 House seat?Ends in 17d	Yes	17	74¢ → 81¢	$14	+$1 +8.2%
Will the Republican Party win the TX-24 House seat?Ends in 17d	Yes	15	75¢ → 92¢	$14	+$2 +21%
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?Ends in 75d	No	15	78¢ → 90¢	$14	+$2 +15%
Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 5 Gwei before 2027?Ends in 75d	No	20	87¢ → 68¢	$14	−$4 −22%
Will XRP reach $3.00 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d	No	14	91¢ → 96¢	$13	+$1 +6.4%
Will the Republicans win the South Dakota governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d	Yes	14	92¢ → 98¢	$13	+$1 +6.0%
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?Ends in 75d	Yes	15	57¢ → 89¢	$13	+$5 +55%
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d	No	14	62¢ → 94¢	$13	+$5 +52%
Will Tom Aspinall be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d	No	13	67¢ → >99¢	$13	+$4 +49%
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?Ends in 75d	No	15	62¢ → 86¢	$13	+$4 +39%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?Ends in 75d	No	12	88¢ → 99¢	$11	+$1 +13%
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?Ends in 75d	Yes	20	38¢ → 57¢	$11	+$4 +49%
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d	Yes	40	7¢ → 28¢	$11	+$8 +294%
Will QFEX launch a token by September 30, 2027?Ends in 348d	No	20	51¢ → 55¢	$11	+$1 +6.9%
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026?Ends in 76d	No	12	67¢ → 94¢	$11	+$3 +40%
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-03 House seat?Ends in 17d	No	15	74¢ → 72¢	$11	−$0 −3.8%
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-10 House seat?Ends in 17d	No	30	48¢ → 36¢	$11	−$4 −26%
Will GBP/USD hit 1.20 (Low) in 2026?Ends in 74d	No	14	61¢ → 78¢	$11	+$2 +28%
Will the US federal government take a stake in Anduril Industries, Inc.?Ends in 75d	No	13	49¢ → 83¢	$10	+$4 +69%
Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 20 Gwei before 2027?Ends in 75d	No	11	90¢ → 91¢	$10	+$0 +0.6%
Will the Republican Party win the MI-04 House seat?Ends in 17d	No	20	40¢ → 50¢	$10	+$2 +25%
Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?Ends ended	Yes	64	5¢ → 16¢	$10	+$7 +244%
Will Trump deport 400-500k people?Ends in 134d	No	30	58¢ → 33¢	$10	−$8 −43%
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d	No	10	63¢ → 95¢	$10	+$3 +50%
Will edgeX reach $1.60 before 2027?Ends in 75d	No	10	73¢ → 93¢	$9	+$2 +27%
Betmoar FDV above $400M one day after launch?Ends in 440d	No	10	85¢ → 93¢	$9	+$1 +8.8%
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?Ends in 75d	No	10	87¢ → 92¢	$9	+$1 +5.7%
Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI?Ends in 75d	No	10	69¢ → 89¢	$9	+$2 +29%
Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d	No	10	71¢ → 88¢	$9	+$2 +24%
Will Ilia Topuria be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d	No	9	21¢ → 99¢	$9	+$7 +385%
Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?Ends in 75d	Yes	106	7¢ → 8¢	$9	+$1 +15%
Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027?Ends in 75d	Yes	62	41¢ → 14¢	$9	−$17 −66%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
79d	Counter-Strike: EAC Rising vs Eternal Fire Academy (BO3) - United21 Group B AND Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Just Players (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage AND Nigma Galaxy to win 2-0?	Buy11¢	$10
79d	LoL: DN SOOPers vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group AND Valorant: VARREL vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omega	Buy10¢	$10
79d	LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group AND LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana AND Honor of Kings: AG Super Play vs JD Gaming (BO5) - King Pro League Stage 3 Group S	Buy10¢	$12
79d	LoL: paiN Gaming Academy vs 7REX (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season AND Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffs AND LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group AND Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-07-30?	Buy8¢	$10
79d	Will Washington Spirit win on 2026-07-29? AND Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-07-29? AND Will CS Cienciano win on 2026-07-29? AND Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-07-29?	Buy6¢	$10
79d	Will NJ/NY Gotham FC win on 2026-07-29? AND Will Utah Royals FC win on 2026-07-29? AND Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-07-29? AND Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-07-29?	Buy7¢	$10
79d	MLS All-Stars vs. Liga MX All-Stars: Team to Win AND Will Forward Madison FC win on 2026-07-29? AND Will Fluminense FC vs. EC Bahia end in a draw?	Buy8¢	$10
79d	Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-07-29? AND Will Pittsburgh Riverhounds win on 2026-07-29? AND Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-07-29?	Buy7¢	$10
79d	Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5) AND Will Pittsburgh Riverhounds win on 2026-07-29? AND Will Greenville Triumph SC win on 2026-07-29?	Buy8¢	$10
95d	Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?	BuyYes37¢	$2
95d	0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?	BuyYes13¢	$4
95d	Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 19?	BuyYes43¢	$3
95d	Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 19?	BuyYes43¢	$1
95d	Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in July?	BuyYes28¢	$6
95d	Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?	BuyNo8¢	$2
95d	Will the next Claude Opus model be released by August 31, 2026?	BuyNo4¢	$2
95d	Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by by June 30?	BuyYes7¢	$0
95d	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?	BuyNo47¢	$0
95d	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?	BuyNo47¢	$28
95d	Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by by June 30?	BuyYes19¢	$10
95d	Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by by June 30?	BuyNo69¢	$5
95d	Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by by June 30?	BuyYes26¢	$8
95d	Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?	BuyYes13¢	$3
95d	Over $40M committed to the Credible public sale?	BuyYes36¢	$16
95d	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision?	BuyYes57¢	$34
95d	Will Russia capture Pokrovka by July 31?	BuyNo4¢	$2
95d	0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?	BuyYes14¢	$2
95d	Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision?	BuyNo67¢	$7
95d	Will Russia capture Pokrovka by July 31?	BuyYes91¢	$7
95d	Will Russia capture Pokrovka by July 31?	BuyYes91¢	$20
95d	Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?	BuyNo19¢	$6
95d	Will "Disruptive" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	BuyYes35¢	$2
95d	Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 19?	BuyYes47¢	$9
95d	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	BuyYes30¢	$3
95d	Will Trump say "Melania" this week?	BuyYes34¢	$3
95d	Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?	BuyNo2¢	$1
95d	Will Bill Cassidy vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?	BuyNo71¢	$4
95d	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	BuyNo38¢	$20
95d	Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?	BuyNo14¢	$3
95d	Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?	BuyYes18¢	$2
95d	Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?	BuyYes16¢	$3
95d	Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?	BuyNo15¢	$1
95d	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 17?	BuyNo2¢	$1
95d	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 16?	BuyNo5¢	$3
95d	Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?	BuyYes24¢	$10
95d	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 14?	BuyYes4¢	$0
95d	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 14?	BuyYes4¢	$1
95d	Will Russia capture Pokrovka by July 31?	BuyNo4¢	$2
95d	Will Trump accuse Iran of election interference by July 16?	BuyYes23¢	$1
95d	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 14?	BuyYes5¢	$1
95d	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 14?	BuyYes5¢	$1
95d	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 15?	BuyYes61¢	$34
95d	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 14?	BuyYes5¢	$1
95d	US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?	BuyYes8¢	$5
95d	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 14?	BuyNo17¢	$1
95d	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 14?	BuyNo20¢	$1
95d	Iran successfully targets shipping on July 14?	BuyNo6¢	$2
95d	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	BuyYes22¢	$6
95d	0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?	BuyYes18¢	$3
95d	Will July 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?	BuyYes31¢	$6

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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