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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2026 | 35% | +4 pts | −12 pts | 33¢ · 36¢ (3¢) | $86.8 | in 76d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16d |  Cloverince | Will Theo launch a token by September 30 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,218 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 117d | replicatooor | Will Theo launch a token by June 30 2026? | SellNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,050 | −$144 −14% | — |
| 201d | tphhh | Will Theo launch a token by March 31 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,050 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 202d | ElizaPerry | Will Theo launch a token by March 31 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,012 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 202d | LawsonZuniga | Will Theo launch a token by March 31 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,002 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 202d | VeraGraham | Will Theo launch a token by March 31 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,008 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 202d | ChristianHayes | Will Theo launch a token by March 31 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,006 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 202d | LibertySandoval | Will Theo launch a token by March 31 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,005 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 202d | BirdieGutierrez | Will Theo launch a token by March 31 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,007 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 202d | EstherLee | Will Theo launch a token by March 31 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,003 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 202d | BethanyWhite | Will Theo launch a token by March 31 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,011 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 202d | JuliusBall | Will Theo launch a token by March 31 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,054 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 202d | EthelJames | Will Theo launch a token by March 31 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,008 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 202d | JaseMurphy | Will Theo launch a token by March 31 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,020 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 202d | ShilohLane | Will Theo launch a token by March 31 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,070 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 202d | GraysonRodriguez | Will Theo launch a token by March 31 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,012 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 202d | CassandraBradley | Will Theo launch a token by March 31 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,036 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 216d |  Esports20263 fills | Will Theo launch a token by March 31 2026? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,138 | −$35 −0.8% | — |
| 216d | Ryan1365 | Will Theo launch a token by March 31 2026? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,391 | +$9 +0.6% | 2 |
| 269d | sayyessayyes | Will Theo launch a token by March 31 2026? | BuyYes67¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 2 |
| 269d |  0xnapalm | Will Theo launch a token by March 31 2026? | BuyYes65¢ → 0¢ | $1,128 | −$1,128 −100% | 2 |
| 292d | hellobaguette3 fills | Will Theo launch a token by December 31 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,795 | +$18 +0.1% | 2 |
| 300d |  Arkgetsu | Will Theo launch a token by December 31 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,154 | +$13 +1.1% | 2 |
| 322d | Esports20263 fills | Will Theo launch a token by December 31 2025? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,206 | +$168 +5.2% | 2 |
Esports20264,108 shares
balthazar186 shares
ligeiwoguolai51 shares
Decayer1,141 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Theo (https://x.com/Theo_Network officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Theo, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 35¢ for December 31, 2026 means the market gives it about 35%.