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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 66,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 62,000 | 100% | +31 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 64,000 | 100% | +89 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 60,000 | 100% | +2 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 58,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 54,000 | 100% | — | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 68,000 | 0% | — | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 56,000 | 100% | — | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 70,000 | 0% | — | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 72,000 | 0% | — | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 74,000 | 0% | — | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 94d | ADIAK | 64,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,362 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 94d | anon.1980.123 | 60,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $11,427 | −$11 −0.1% | — |
| 94d | hungrykittens | 64,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,948 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 94d |  ZeinST | 64,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,844 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 |
| 94d |  FXC | 64,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,173 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 95d | ascetic0x | 60,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,434 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 95d | BunCaCham | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,456 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 95d | Nonurbusines | 64,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,117 | −$9 −0.8% | — |
| 95d | dlkjshjbokf | 64,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,902 | +$19 +1.0% | 2 |
| 95d | Rin2x | 64,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,970 | +$30 +1.0% | 2 |
| 95d |  Office Lover | 64,000 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,330 | +$70 +5.3% | 2 |
| 95d | hungrykittens | 64,000 | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $1,700 | +$250 +15% | 3 |
| 95d | hungrykittens | 62,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,775 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 95d |  Mahakaal468 | 64,000 | SellYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,191 | −$150 −13% | — |
| 95d | kingofcoinflips2 fills | 64,000 | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $3,103 | +$465 +15% | 3 |
| 95d | FXC | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,099 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 95d |  smokyCappuccino | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,263 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 95d | 1881aa | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,962 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 |
| 95d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | 64,000 | BuyYes63¢ → 100¢ | $2,602 | +$1,528 +59% | 5 |
| 95d |  Tttyh | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 95d | SkyLove7 | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 95d | averagerandomman3 fills | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,332 | +$10 +0.3% | 2 |
| 95d | Mizukaze2 fills | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $13,991 | +$14 +0.1% | 2 |
| 95d | lauren71 | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,706 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 |
| 95d | dicksonsean | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,803 | +$11 +0.1% | 2 |
| 95d | ashleyhampton | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,801 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 95d |  Facaie | 60,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,698 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 95d | Tttyh2 fills | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,709 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 95d | hz8 | 60,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,070 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 95d |  gugu-gaga | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,100 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 95d | WanTonMee2 fills | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,280 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 95d |  VasiliSko6 fills | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $27,561 | +$135 +0.5% | 2 |
| 95d | PmDerek | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,556 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 95d | Timely-Expansionism | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,000 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 |
| 95d |  ProfitNProfitTradeMaxxing | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,512 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 95d | VasiliSko3 fills | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,222 | +$12 +0.2% | 2 |
| 95d | Kovan | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,581 | +$18 +0.4% | 2 |
| 95d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | 64,000 | BuyNo56¢ → 0¢ | $1,207 | −$1,207 −100% | 5 |
| 95d | Incognitoo3 fills | 62,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,025 | +$72 +1.8% | 2 |
| 95d | hungrykittens | 62,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,767 | +$9 +0.5% | 2 |
| 95d | Tttyh | 60,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $8,395 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 95d | Tttyh | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $14,945 | +$15 +0.1% | 2 |
| 95d | 1881aa | 62,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,475 | +$26 +1.7% | 2 |
| 95d | averagerandomman24 fills | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $26,658 | +$56 +0.2% | 2 |
| 95d | kingofcoinflips3 fills | 64,000 | BuyNo87¢ → 0¢ | $5,680 | −$5,680 −100% | 3 |
| 95d |  coinman22 fills | 62,000 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $4,448 | +$201 +4.5% | 2 |
| 95d | gamepol | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,500 | +$21 +0.2% | 2 |
| 95d | Noelleee | 62,000 | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,260 | +$140 +11% | 3 |
| 95d | Rin2x | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,222 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 95d | YautjaPM2 | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,581 | +$19 +0.4% | 2 |
| 95d | smokyCappuccino | 60,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,003 | +$7 +0.7% | 2 |
| 95d | anon.1980.1233 fills | 64,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 0¢ | $8,369 | −$8,369 −100% | 2 |
| 95d | mulpodsa853 fills | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,689 | +$12 +0.3% | 2 |
| 95d | 0x417932ca3da34bf3df20009512a85b2eee9429c3 | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,524 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 95d | MaximusGluteusDumpTruckus2 fills | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,170 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 95d | ProfitNProfitTradeMaxxing | 60,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,233 | +$42 +0.8% | 2 |
| 95d | detoxification | 60,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,405 | +$16 +1.2% | 2 |
| 95d |  Obamnna | 62,000 | BuyNo23¢ → 0¢ | $1,389 | −$1,389 −100% | 6 |
| 95d |  LiMoon | 60,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,467 | +$13 +0.9% | 2 |
| 95d |  walnascar | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,435 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
Obamnna19,001 shares
tiasahmed5,000 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for 66,000 means the market gives it about 0%.