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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austria | 4% | — | 0 pts | 3¢ · 5¢ (3¢) | — | in 76d |
| Germany | 4% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 3¢ · 6¢ (3¢) | — | in 76d |
| New Zealand | 9% | −1 pts | −2 pts | 6¢ · 11¢ (5¢) | — | in 76d |
| The Netherlands | 8% | — | −3 pts | 4¢ · 11¢ (7¢) | — | in 76d |
| Japan | 4% | −1 pts | −4 pts | 2¢ · 6¢ (4¢) | — | in 76d |
| Greece | 5% | 0 pts | −1 pts | 3¢ · 7¢ (4¢) | — | in 76d |
| Finland | 9% | −1 pts | +2 pts | 7¢ · 11¢ (4¢) | — | in 76d |
| Israel | 4% | — | — | 3¢ · 6¢ (3¢) | — | in 76d |
| United States | 6% | −1 pts | −1 pts | 4¢ · 8¢ (3¢) | $85.3 | in 76d |
| Italy | 8% | −1 pts | −2 pts | 5¢ · 11¢ (6¢) | $5.28 | in 76d |
| Belgium | 12% | +1 pts | +5 pts | 10¢ · 14¢ (4¢) | $5 | in 76d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 199d |  Billionzz | United States | SellNo90¢ → 94¢ | $1,196 | −$63 −5.2% | — |
| 265d | greenfia3 fills | New Zealand | BuyNo69¢ → 92¢ | $3,511 | +$1,119 +32% | 4 |
| 266d | rickyspa | New Zealand | BuyNo72¢ → 92¢ | $1,115 | +$302 +27% | 4 |
| 289d | Billionzz | United States | BuyNo96¢ → 94¢ | $2,000 | −$35 −1.8% | 7 |
| 290d |  SPIT | Austria | BuyYes93¢ → 4¢ | $5,498 | −$5,259 −96% | 4 |
| 290d | SPIT | Austria | SellNo7¢ → 96¢ | $5,498 | −$69,868 −1271% | — |
| 290d | SPIT | Austria | BuyNo93¢ → 96¢ | $73,049 | +$2,317 +3.2% | 4 |
amazingfrog28 sharesThis market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 4¢ for Austria means the market gives it about 4%.