| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 650 | 34¢ → 42¢ | $270 | +$47 +21% |
| Will NiP win the second most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?Ends ended | No | 271 | 94¢ → 98¢ | $266 | +$11 +4.2% |
| Will there be fewer than 20 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?Ends in 164d | No | 260 | 92¢ → 99¢ | $258 | +$20 +8.4% |
| Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Morelos Congress election?Ends in 232d | Yes | 344 | 40¢ → 74¢ | $254 | +$117 +86% |
| Will Tibor Batthyány be the next Mayor of Liberec?Ends ended | No | 260 | 99¢ → 97¢ | $253 | −$4 −1.6% |
| Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 5?Ends in 75d | No | 278 | 87¢ → 91¢ | $252 | +$12 +4.9% |
| Will SDA win the most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?Ends ended | Yes | 258 | 98¢ → 97¢ | $250 | −$1 −0.4% |
| Will Anders Öberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Norrbotten?Ends ended | Yes | 248 | 74¢ → 96¢ | $238 | +$54 +29% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 240 | 86¢ → 98¢ | $234 | +$28 +13% |
| Will United Serbia win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by 10% or more?Ends in 7d | No | 286 | 70¢ → 80¢ | $227 | +$27 +14% |
| Will Afghanistan recognize Israel by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 215 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $209 | +$8 +4.2% |
| Will Canada become a European Union Association Member by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 215 | 82¢ → 97¢ | $208 | +$33 +19% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Illinois Senate election?Ends in 17d | No | 211 | 91¢ → 97¢ | $205 | +$13 +6.6% |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 230 | 90¢ → 88¢ | $201 | −$6 −2.8% |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso do Sul?Ends in 8d | Yes | 204 | 96¢ → 99¢ | $201 | +$5 +2.8% |
| Will Grüne be in the next Berlin state government?Ends ended | Yes | 300 | 51¢ → 66¢ | $199 | +$45 +29% |
| Will DF win the second most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?Ends ended | No | 200 | 99¢ → 96¢ | $192 | −$7 −3.4% |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Ends in 7d | Yes | 300 | 51¢ → 61¢ | $181 | +$28 +19% |
| Will Republicans win Latino men in the midterms?Ends in 20d | No | 215 | 71¢ → 84¢ | $180 | +$27 +18% |
| Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 98?Ends in 74d | No | 242 | 64¢ → 74¢ | $178 | +$23 +15% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 175 | 86¢ → 97¢ | $170 | +$20 +13% |
| Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?Ends in 42d | Yes | 295 | 70¢ → 57¢ | $168 | −$39 −19% |
| Will the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 7.9 or below?Ends in 81d | Yes | 247 | 72¢ → 68¢ | $168 | −$10 −5.7% |
| Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?Ends in 7d | No | 165 | 98¢ → >99¢ | $165 | +$2 +1.5% |
| Will PT win the most seats in the 2027 Michoacán Congress election?Ends in 232d | No | 185 | 79¢ → 89¢ | $164 | +$17 +12% |
| Will Florida be the closest Governor's race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 180 | 83¢ → 90¢ | $162 | +$13 +8.9% |
| Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Ends in 2d | Yes | 220 | 71¢ → 73¢ | $161 | +$4 +2.3% |
| Will Jay Z release an album in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 212 | 68¢ → 75¢ | $158 | +$13 +9.2% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?Ends in 440d | No | 200 | 77¢ → 78¢ | $155 | +$1 +0.6% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New Jersey Senate election by 3% or more?Ends in 17d | No | 158 | 89¢ → 98¢ | $155 | +$14 +9.7% |
| Will Elin Norén be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Dalarna?Ends ended | Yes | 166 | 55¢ → 93¢ | $155 | +$63 +69% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New Mexico Senate election by 3% or more?Ends in 17d | No | 160 | 89¢ → 97¢ | $155 | +$12 +8.5% |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Bahia?Ends in 8d | Yes | 157 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $154 | +$3 +1.9% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Oregon Senate election?Ends in 17d | No | 158 | 89¢ → 97¢ | $153 | +$12 +8.4% |
| US Treasury announces Bitcoin purchase by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 231 | 68¢ → 66¢ | $153 | −$5 −3.3% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Wyoming Senate election?Ends in 17d | No | 150 | 93¢ → >99¢ | $150 | +$10 +7.0% |
| Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?Ends in 440d | No | 190 | 80¢ → 79¢ | $150 | −$2 −1.5% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 190 | 79¢ → 79¢ | $149 | −$1 −0.6% |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Santa Catarina?Ends in 8d | Yes | 150 | 97¢ → 99¢ | $148 | +$3 +1.9% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Delaware Senate election?Ends in 17d | No | 151 | 93¢ → 98¢ | $147 | +$6 +4.5% |
| North Korea x South Korea diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 220 | 66¢ → 67¢ | $146 | +$1 +0.6% |
| Will SDS win the most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?Ends ended | No | 149 | 99¢ → 98¢ | $146 | −$2 −1.1% |
| Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 250 | 42¢ → 58¢ | $146 | +$42 +40% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Virginia Senate election by 3% or more?Ends in 17d | No | 145 | 90¢ → >99¢ | $145 | +$14 +10% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Colorado Senate election?Ends in 17d | No | 142 | 91¢ → 97¢ | $138 | +$9 +6.9% |
| Will Monika Lešková win the 2026 Prešov Region gubernatorial election?Ends in 7d | No | 140 | 78¢ → 98¢ | $137 | +$27 +25% |
| Modi out by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 150 | 80¢ → 90¢ | $134 | +$14 +12% |
| Will Elin Hoffner be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jämtland Härjedalen?Ends ended | No | 134 | 91¢ → >99¢ | $134 | +$11 +9.2% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Oregon Senate election by 0%-5%?Ends in 17d | No | 138 | 91¢ → 97¢ | $133 | +$8 +6.2% |
| Will Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026?Ends in 195d | No | 135 | 94¢ → 98¢ | $132 | +$6 +4.5% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Virginia Senate election by 0%-3%?Ends in 17d | No | 136 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $132 | +$7 +5.3% |
| Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 135 | 79¢ → 95¢ | $129 | +$22 +20% |
| Spain General Election: PP + Vox get 50%+ of Vote?Ends in 43d | Yes | 280 | 53¢ → 45¢ | $125 | −$23 −15% |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?Ends in 8d | Yes | 194 | 57¢ → 64¢ | $123 | +$12 +11% |
| Will Hesai be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | Yes | 570 | 19¢ → 22¢ | $123 | +$17 +16% |
| Will Republicans win white voters in the Texas Senate election?Ends in 20d | Yes | 136 | 83¢ → 90¢ | $121 | +$9 +7.8% |
| Will Israel recognize Palestine before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 122 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $117 | +$2 +1.5% |
| Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 121 | 89¢ → 96¢ | $116 | +$8 +7.9% |
| Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Ends in 7d | Yes | 300 | 39¢ → 39¢ | $115 | −$1 −1.3% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-07 House election by 60%-65%?Ends in 17d | No | 155 | 65¢ → 71¢ | $111 | +$11 +11% |
| Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 116 | 79¢ → 95¢ | $110 | +$18 +20% |
| Will Manchester City be deducted 0 Premier League points?Ends in 256d | No | 180 | 87¢ → 61¢ | $109 | −$48 −30% |
| Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 115 | 29¢ → 94¢ | $108 | +$74 +220% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election by 40%-45%?Ends in 17d | No | 131 | 77¢ → 81¢ | $106 | +$5 +4.8% |
| Will Lars Markus Hildingsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Blekinge?Ends ended | Yes | 113 | 43¢ → 94¢ | $106 | +$57 +118% |
| Will Canada become a European Union Association Member by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 128 | 68¢ → 82¢ | $105 | +$18 +20% |
| Will PT win the most seats in the 2027 Quintana Roo Congress election?Ends in 232d | No | 111 | 78¢ → 93¢ | $103 | +$16 +19% |
| Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 105 | 69¢ → 97¢ | $102 | +$30 +42% |
| Will Rachel De Basso be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jönköping County?Ends ended | Yes | 131 | 51¢ → 78¢ | $102 | +$35 +52% |
| Will Germany recognize Palestine before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 107 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $102 | +$0 +0.2% |
| Will Austria recognize Palestine before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 106 | 83¢ → 96¢ | $101 | +$14 +16% |
| Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 130 | 75¢ → 77¢ | $100 | +$3 +2.6% |
| Will Ľubomír Geci win the 2026 Bratislava mayoral election?Ends in 7d | No | 100 | 90¢ → 99¢ | $99 | +$9 +10% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election?Ends in 17d | No | 100 | 92¢ → 99¢ | $99 | +$7 +7.8% |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 101 | 88¢ → 97¢ | $98 | +$9 +10% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Illinois Senate election by 0%-5%?Ends in 17d | No | 100 | 0¢ → 98¢ | $98 | +$98 +0.0% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 West Virginia Senate election?Ends in 17d | No | 100 | 85¢ → 98¢ | $98 | +$12 +14% |
| Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 100 | 77¢ → 96¢ | $95 | +$18 +24% |
| Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 52d | Yes | 174 | 55¢ → 55¢ | $95 | −$1 −1.5% |
| Will Åsa Johansson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Värmland?Ends ended | Yes | 110 | 54¢ → 85¢ | $94 | +$34 +57% |
| Will Vermont be the closest Governor's race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 96 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $93 | +$1 +1.1% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 120 | 46¢ → 77¢ | $92 | +$37 +66% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Ends in 8d | Yes | 440 | 8¢ → 21¢ | $90 | +$57 +169% |
| Quantum breaks Bitcoin by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 100 | 73¢ → 90¢ | $90 | +$17 +23% |
| Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Guerrero Congress election?Ends in 232d | Yes | 106 | 82¢ → 85¢ | $90 | +$2 +2.7% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 91 | 83¢ → 97¢ | $89 | +$13 +17% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Rhode Island Senate election?Ends in 17d | No | 89 | 91¢ → 99¢ | $88 | +$7 +8.3% |
| Will Glenn Berggård be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Norrbotten?Ends ended | No | 87 | 96¢ → 100¢ | $87 | +$3 +3.7% |
| Will Afroditi Latinopoulou be the next Prime Minister of Greece?Ends in 281d | No | 87 | 90¢ → 98¢ | $85 | +$8 +9.6% |
| Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Ends ended | No | 86 | 79¢ → 99¢ | $85 | +$17 +25% |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on October 19, 2026?Ends in 2d | Yes | 93 | 55¢ → 91¢ | $85 | +$34 +65% |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Bulgaria election?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,729 | 8¢ → 5¢ | $85 | −$56 −40% |
| Another NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 120 | 67¢ → 71¢ | $85 | +$4 +5.2% |
| Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 86 | 87¢ → 98¢ | $84 | +$9 +12% |
| Will Reform Party win the most seats in the 2027 Estonian parliamentary election?Ends in 140d | No | 100 | 73¢ → 84¢ | $84 | +$11 +14% |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?Ends in 6d | Yes | 100 | 55¢ → 83¢ | $83 | +$28 +51% |
| Will Bengt Bergqvist be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jämtland Härjedalen?Ends ended | Yes | 118 | 69¢ → 70¢ | $83 | +$1 +1.1% |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Paraíba?Ends in 8d | Yes | 86 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $82 | −$0 −0.5% |
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 256d | Yes | 100 | 81¢ → 82¢ | $82 | +$1 +1.2% |
| Will Zoran Janković win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?Ends in 29d | Yes | 128 | 55¢ → 64¢ | $82 | +$12 +17% |
