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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 13% | +1 pts | +3 pts | 12¢ · 13¢ (1¢) | $34.8K | in 76d |
| March 31, 2027 | 28% | +9 pts | +10 pts | 27¢ · 30¢ (3¢) | $1.44K | in 166d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | JabJabich2 fills | December 31 | BuyNo86¢ → 88¢ | $14,274 | +$172 +1.2% | 13 |
| 15h | newbie774 fills | December 31 | BuyNo87¢ → 88¢ | $4,804 | +$30 +0.6% | 9 |
| 21h |  XAE12Archangel11 fills | December 31 | SellNo83¢ → 88¢ | $53,450 | −$2,562 −4.8% | — |
| 1d | Untimely-Kiwi13 fills | December 31 | BuyNo88¢ | $38,547 | −$35 −0.1% | 12 |
| 1d | maciek15 fills | December 31 | BuyNo90¢ → 88¢ | $7,826 | −$221 −2.8% | 10 |
| 2d | momo513 | December 31 | SellNo89¢ → 88¢ | $2,403 | +$41 +1.7% | — |
| 2d | asdf8888 | December 31 | SellYes10¢ → 13¢ | $1,190 | −$297 −25% | — |
| 2d | konsomida2 fills | December 31 | SellYes10¢ → 13¢ | $4,881 | −$1,107 −23% | — |
| 3d | maciek12 fills | December 31 | SellNo89¢ → 88¢ | $5,023 | +$85 +1.7% | — |
| 3d | Noahrichards983 fills | December 31 | BuyNo89¢ → 88¢ | $17,712 | −$320 −1.8% | 11 |
| 5d | Avamax3 fills | December 31 | BuyNo88¢ | $8,077 | −$85 −1.0% | 11 |
| 6d | franklin10 | December 31 | BuyYes11¢ → 13¢ | $1,929 | +$263 +14% | 13 |
| 8d |  Alex80082 fills | December 31 | BuyNo91¢ → 88¢ | $46,780 | −$1,565 −3.3% | 10 |
| 9d |  LA173 fills | December 31 | SellNo87¢ → 88¢ | $9,929 | −$20 −0.2% | — |
| 9d | konsomida | December 31 | BuyYes10¢ → 13¢ | $1,700 | +$425 +25% | 12 |
| 9d | C03B | December 31 | SellNo90¢ → 88¢ | $5,202 | +$145 +2.8% | — |
| 9d |  UnstoppableLoxodont | December 31 | BuyNo91¢ → 88¢ | $2,730 | −$105 −3.8% | 6 |
| 11d | 6576575714 fills | December 31 | SellNo88¢ | $61,395 | +$598 +1.0% | — |
| 12d | 657657575 fills | December 31 | BuyNo88¢ | $58,664 | −$480 −0.8% | 12 |
| 12d | momo513 | December 31 | BuyNo90¢ → 88¢ | $1,080 | −$30 −2.8% | 5 |
| 14d | LulaVaiPerder7 fills | December 31 | SellNo88¢ | $19,215 | +$94 +0.5% | — |
| 14d | m3t64 - 815 | December 31 | BuyNo90¢ → 88¢ | $1,475 | −$41 −2.8% | 5 |
| 15d | C03B | December 31 | BuyNo90¢ → 88¢ | $4,554 | −$127 −2.8% | 7 |
| 15d | Renan20306 fills | December 31 | SellNo88¢ | $33,450 | +$329 +1.0% | — |
| 15d | ourdemocracy6 fills | December 31 | BuyNo89¢ → 88¢ | $12,294 | −$154 −1.2% | 12 |
| 15d |  sippingdrank2 fills | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,552 | −$8 −0.3% | — |
| 16d |  tetrose3 fills | December 31 | BuyYes12¢ → 13¢ | $4,864 | +$345 +7.1% | 27 |
| 16d |  BondSeeker2 fills | December 31 | SellNo89¢ → 88¢ | $5,160 | +$85 +1.6% | — |
| 17d | liamweber3 fills | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,305 | +$17 +0.2% | 4 |
| 17d | TheRealWarMonger | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,304 | +$8 +0.1% | 4 |
| 17d |  ThanksGivingTurkey10014 fills | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | SellNo>99¢ | $21,635 | −$57 −0.3% | — |
| 17d |  OraculumNobius2 fills | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | SellNo>99¢ | $8,295 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 17d |  elmcap2 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,609 | +$14 +0.1% | 4 |
| 17d | XAE12Archangel12 fills | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $48,523 | −$2,027 −4.2% | — |
| 18d | C03B2 fills | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $60,006 | +$1,880 +3.1% | 4 |
| 19d | XAE12Archangel14 fills | December 31 | BuyNo88¢ | $32,528 | −$134 −0.4% | 12 |
| 19d | Peaceful-Fire-Bell | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,482 | +$9 +0.2% | 4 |
| 20d | 0x3a53…a1622 fills | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | SellNo>99¢ | $5,991 | −$21 −0.4% | — |
| 20d | 0x3a53…a1622 fills | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,000 | +$12 +0.2% | 4 |
| 23d | thoodr3 fills | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $7,034 | +$166 +2.4% | 4 |
| 24d | UnstoppableLoxodont4 fills | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $10,532 | +$252 +2.4% | 4 |
| 24d | Elias.Thornwell | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,132 | +$5 +0.4% | 4 |
| 25d | OrbitSugarFree | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,226 | −$12 −0.5% | — |
| 25d | LulaVaiPerder4 fills | December 31 | BuyNo84¢ → 88¢ | $10,313 | +$407 +3.9% | 15 |
| 25d | gndzk | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | SellNo100¢ | $1,267 | −$6 −0.5% | — |
| 26d | Renan20306 fills | December 31 | BuyNo86¢ → 88¢ | $28,859 | +$475 +1.6% | 13 |
| 26d | Trained-Notion | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,479 | −$51 −1.5% | — |
| 27d | tetrose | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | BuyYes1¢ → 0¢ | $1,280 | −$1,280 −100% | 6 |
| 28d | laureman | December 31 | SellNo88¢ | $1,055 | +$6 +0.6% | — |
| 29d |  luansha178 | December 31 | SellYes12¢ → 13¢ | $1,110 | −$80 −7.2% | — |
| 29d |  Gleaming-Pear | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,830 | −$18 −1.0% | — |
| 29d | laureman4 fills | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $10,347 | −$159 −1.5% | — |
| 30d | 0x1fd0…c6a7 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,183 | +$11 +1.0% | 4 |
| 30d | BondSeeker3 fills | December 31 | BuyNo86¢ → 88¢ | $9,787 | +$182 +1.9% | 13 |
| 30d | XAE12Archangel7 fills | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $15,650 | +$766 +4.9% | 4 |
| 30d | OrbitSugarFree | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,867 | +$27 +1.4% | 4 |
| 32d | Jfownsk2 fills | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $10,138 | +$161 +1.6% | 4 |
| 32d | laureman4 fills | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $16,415 | +$198 +1.2% | 4 |
| 36d | ourdemocracy22 fills | December 31 | BuyNo87¢ → 88¢ | $9,966 | +$57 +0.6% | 13 |
| 36d | ourdemocracy22 fills | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $7,263 | +$432 +5.9% | 4 |
tetrose70,239 sharesAlex800851,723 sharesThanksGivingTurkey100141,405 shares
bitterfish33,410 sharesXAE12Archangel28,042 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day after market creation, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day on or before the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration. This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures. If finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period has not been published on the CME Group website within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the data published through all CME Group channels up to that point.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 13¢ for December 31 means the market gives it about 13%.