laureman

Polymarket wallet 0x1359911d098bf507069e7e22370e6f6cae3f092e · on Polymarket since Sep 8, 2026 · also shown as Smooth-Evolution

Open on Polymarket ↗

betmoar-16252

Positions now worth: $71.6K
All-time profit: +$9.31K
Volume traded: $3.27M
All-time rank: #15,851
Markets traded: 173
Recent hit rate: 56%28 of last 50 closed

Open positions

24 markets · $71.6K

Market	Holding		Paid → now
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?Ends in 1d	Yes	15,796	95¢ → 96¢	$15,235	+$239 +1.6%
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Ends in 531d	Yes	14,150	80¢ → 82¢	$11,532	+$166 +1.5%
Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?Ends in 17d	No	8,568	96¢ → 97¢	$8,341	+$82 +1.0%
Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 75d	No	6,238	88¢ → 89¢	$5,521	+$44 +0.8%
Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Ends in 17d	Yes	4,972	96¢ → 96¢	$4,793	$0 0.0%
Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Ends in 17d	Yes	5,009	94¢ → 91¢	$4,543	−$170 −3.6%
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?Ends in 14d	No	4,934	82¢ → 90¢	$4,460	+$418 +10%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Ends in 29d	Yes	5,077	72¢ → 71¢	$3,579	−$96 −2.6%
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d	Yes	4,889	67¢ → 69¢	$3,349	+$54 +1.6%
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d	No	4,213	66¢ → 69¢	$2,886	+$86 +3.1%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?Ends in 1d	Yes	2,286	94¢ → 98¢	$2,234	+$87 +4.1%
Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?Ends in 17d	No	2,220	97¢ → 98¢	$2,175	+$18 +0.8%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d	Yes	3,243	46¢ → 34¢	$1,104	−$392 −26%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?Ends in 14d	No	1,809	56¢ → 53¢	$959	−$61 −6.0%
Will Mojtaba Khamenei attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d	No	313	97¢ → 98¢	$309	+$5 +1.7%
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Ends in 5d	Yes	282	86¢ → 76¢	$214	−$28 −12%
Carles Puigdemont back in Spain by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d	No	133	84¢ → 89¢	$119	+$7 +6.5%
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)Ends in 13d	Yes	1,463	61¢ → 5¢	$66	−$822 −93%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?Ends in 4d	Yes	51	93¢ → 96¢	$49	+$1 +2.7%
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Ends in 2d	Yes	49	82¢ → 73¢	$36	−$5 −11%
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d	No	32	85¢ → 92¢	$29	+$2 +8.2%
Will OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of October 2026?Ends in 14d	Yes	28	93¢ → 87¢	$24	−$2 −7.0%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 74d	Yes	3	74¢ → 48¢	$1	−$1 −36%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?Ends in 14d	No	5	52¢ → 13¢	$1	−$2 −76%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
1h	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	BuyYes97¢	$161
1h	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	SellYes99¢	$13,186
2h	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	BuyNo53¢	$123
3h	Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	BuyYes96¢	$2,480
3h	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	SellYes98¢	$1,956
3h	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	BuyYes68¢	$34
3h	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	BuyNo55¢	$56
4h	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	SellYes97¢	$531
4h	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	SellYes97¢	$95
4h	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	BuyYes93¢	$47
5h	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	BuyNo57¢	$444
5h	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	BuyNo57¢	$399
5h	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	SellYes99¢	$5,569
5h	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	SellYes97¢	$99
5h	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	SellYes97¢	$669
5h	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	SellYes93¢	$2,790
5h	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	BuyNo69¢	$200
6h	Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?	SellNo98¢	$5
6h	Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?	SellNo97¢	$5
6h	Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?	SellNo97¢	$263
6h	Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?	SellNo97¢	$263
6h	Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?	SellNo98¢	$336
6h	Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?	SellNo97¢	$263
6h	Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?	SellNo98¢	$265
6h	Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?	SellNo98¢	$265
6h	Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?	SellNo97¢	$263
6h	Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?	SellNo98¢	$265
6h	Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?	SellNo98¢	$265
6h	Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?	SellNo98¢	$10
6h	Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?	SellNo97¢	$180
6h	Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?	SellNo98¢	$39
6h	Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?	SellNo98¢	$79
6h	Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?	SellNo98¢	$28
6h	Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?	SellNo98¢	$29
6h	Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?	SellNo98¢	$5
7h	Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	BuyYes94¢	$4,705
7h	Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?	SellNo98¢	$1,066
7h	Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?	SellNo98¢	$2
7h	Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?	SellNo98¢	$816
7h	Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?	SellNo98¢	$275
7h	Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?	SellNo98¢	$368
7h	Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?	SellNo98¢	$258
8h	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	SellYes97¢	$3,506
9h	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	SellYes97¢	$390
12h	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	BuyYes95¢	$2,026
12h	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	BuyYes95¢	$1,778
15h	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	BuyYes67¢	$90
15h	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	BuyYes67¢	$92
15h	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	BuyNo67¢	$892
15h	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	BuyNo67¢	$10
15h	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	BuyNo67¢	$12
15h	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	BuyNo67¢	$9
16h	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	BuyNo67¢	$5
16h	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	BuyYes67¢	$381
16h	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	BuyNo67¢	$335
17h	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	SellYes82¢	$203
17h	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	SellYes97¢	$282
17h	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	SellYes97¢	$277
17h	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	BuyNo67¢	$10
17h	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	BuyNo67¢	$30

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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