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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 21,981 | 15¢ → 13¢ | $2,748 | −$463 −14% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2,812 | 18¢ → 16¢ | $436 | −$77 −15% |
| US military draft authorized in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 10,014 | 6¢ → 4¢ | $396 | −$159 −29% |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 6,009 | 4¢ → 2¢ | $132 | −$115 −46% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 13 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.