sippingdrank

Polymarket wallet 0xece740d3b31bd6bcae4e4236fac92ebe1dbb3673 · on Polymarket since Nov 8, 2025 · also shown as Thrifty-Motion

Open on Polymarket ↗

new to the game

Positions now worth: $18.3K
All-time profit: +$7.3K
Volume traded: $706K
All-time rank: #18,989
Markets traded: 866
Recent hit rate: 78%39 of last 50 closed

Open positions

21 markets · $18.3K

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Ends in 75d	No	12,257	89¢ → 88¢	$10,725	−$134 −1.2%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d	No	2,600	83¢ → 85¢	$2,197	+$29 +1.3%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d	No	3,000	70¢ → 73¢	$2,175	+$69 +3.3%
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by March 31, 2027?Ends in 165d	No	800	77¢ → 75¢	$596	−$20 −3.2%
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 75d	Yes	719	84¢ → 71¢	$514	−$90 −15%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 75d	No	500	93¢ → 95¢	$472	+$7 +1.6%
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 17d	Yes	500	48¢ → 63¢	$312	+$75 +31%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?Ends in 74d	No	300	75¢ → 86¢	$258	+$33 +15%
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended	Yes	300	76¢ → 79¢	$236	+$6 +2.8%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 75d	No	200	80¢ → 89¢	$177	+$17 +11%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended	Yes	200	27¢ → 77¢	$153	+$99 +185%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseEnds in 17d	No	125	78¢ → 92¢	$114	+$17 +18%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?Ends in 74d	No	100	93¢ → 96¢	$96	+$3 +2.7%
Will MrBeast hit 524 million subscribers by October 31?Ends in 13d	No	117	53¢ → 49¢	$57	−$5 −8.3%
Will MrBeast hit 525 million subscribers by October 31?Ends in 13d	No	60	85¢ → 88¢	$53	+$2 +3.3%
Will MrBeast hit 143 billion views by October 31?Ends in 13d	Yes	50	99¢ → >99¢	$50	+$0 +0.6%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended	Yes	200	44¢ → 24¢	$47	−$41 −47%
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d	Yes	200	23¢ → 23¢	$45	−$1 −2.2%
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d	Yes	300	12¢ → 7¢	$20	−$17 −47%
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Ends in 75d	Yes	300	5¢ → 6¢	$17	+$1 +8.4%
Will MrBeast hit 145 billion views by October 31?Ends in 13d	No	5	94¢ → 62¢	$3	−$2 −34%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
7d	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	SellYes80¢	$82
8d	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by March 31, 2027?	BuyNo77¢	$616
9d	Will MrBeast hit 524 million subscribers by October 31?	SellNo44¢	$0
9d	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	SellYes88¢	$665
9d	Will MrBeast hit 145 billion views by October 31?	BuyNo94¢	$5
9d	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?	BuyNo75¢	$225
9d	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	BuyNo93¢	$93
9d	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	SellNo80¢	$198
9d	Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	SellNo97¢	$7
10d	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	SellYes14¢	$0
11d	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	BuyYes88¢	$176
11d	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	BuyYes88¢	$12
12d	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	SellYes88¢	$180
12d	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	SellYes88¢	$88
12d	Will MrBeast hit 524 million subscribers by October 31?	BuyNo27¢	$5
12d	Will MrBeast hit 524 million subscribers by October 31?	BuyNo49¢	$19
12d	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	SellYes87¢	$87
13d	Will MrBeast hit 143 billion views by October 31?	BuyYes99¢	$50
15d	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	BuyYes5¢	$9
15d	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	BuyNo67¢	$63
15d	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	BuyNo67¢	$147
15d	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	BuyNo67¢	$192
15d	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	BuyNo88¢	$3
15d	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	BuyNo88¢	$703
15d	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	BuyNo88¢	$1
15d	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	BuyNo89¢	$8
15d	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	BuyNo89¢	$1
15d	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	BuyNo89¢	$101
15d	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	BuyYes11¢	$22
15d	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	BuyNo88¢	$1,760
15d	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	SellNo>99¢	$1,209
15d	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	SellYes88¢	$540
15d	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	BuyNo89¢	$89
15d	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	BuyNo89¢	$267
16d	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31?	SellNo98¢	$294
16d	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	BuyNo89¢	$445
16d	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	BuyNo89¢	$1,068
16d	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	BuyNo>99¢	$63
16d	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	BuyYes23¢	$38
16d	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	BuyYes23¢	$5
16d	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	BuyYes23¢	$3
16d	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	BuyNo89¢	$38
16d	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	BuyNo>99¢	$37
16d	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	BuyNo>99¢	$20
16d	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	BuyNo90¢	$868
16d	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	BuyYes77¢	$31
16d	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	BuyYes77¢	$8
16d	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	BuyYes77¢	$2
16d	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	BuyYes77¢	$10
16d	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	BuyYes77¢	$50
16d	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	BuyNo90¢	$9
16d	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	BuyYes77¢	$1
17d	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	BuyYes77¢	$14
17d	Will MrBeast hit 525 million subscribers by October 31?	BuyNo85¢	$51
17d	Will MrBeast hit 524 million subscribers by October 31?	BuyNo65¢	$40
17d	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	BuyNo90¢	$5
17d	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	BuyYes76¢	$194
17d	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	BuyNo90¢	$18
17d	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	BuyNo90¢	$171
17d	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	BuyNo90¢	$315

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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