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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 3% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 3¢ · 3¢ (1¢) | — | in 76d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11d | Worse-Scenario | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | SellNo95¢ → 97¢ | $2,548 | −$64 −2.5% | — |
| 84d |  Milktoast4 fills | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | SellNo93¢ → 97¢ | $5,353 | −$226 −4.2% | — |
| 96d |  allenzzz6 fills | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BuyNo89¢ → 97¢ | $24,990 | +$2,369 +9.5% | 20 |
| 103d | TreepleA2 fills | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BuyYes11¢ → 3¢ | $3,000 | −$2,172 −72% | 28 |
| 105d | RealKeyserSoze | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | SellNo94¢ → 97¢ | $1,172 | −$38 −3.2% | — |
| 107d | enrico-vasaio | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BuyNo95¢ → 97¢ | $2,382 | +$51 +2.2% | 20 |
| 117d | sonnguyen95 | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | SellNo87¢ → 97¢ | $1,143 | −$139 −12% | — |
| 138d | Puksu | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | SellNo82¢ → 97¢ | $1,896 | −$361 −19% | — |
| 139d | sonnguyen95 | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BuyNo86¢ → 97¢ | $3,300 | +$424 +13% | 20 |
| 145d | Puksu | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BuyNo86¢ → 97¢ | $2,000 | +$257 +13% | 20 |
| 152d |  95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BuyNo85¢ → 97¢ | $2,920 | +$414 +14% | 20 |
| 163d |  beenraping | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | SellNo85¢ → 97¢ | $1,083 | −$149 −14% | — |
| 169d | StudentMoney2 fills | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BuyNo86¢ → 97¢ | $2,455 | +$318 +13% | 20 |
| 176d | RobClive | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BuyYes20¢ → 3¢ | $2,500 | −$2,128 −85% | 25 |
| 177d | YK321 | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | SellNo86¢ → 97¢ | $1,290 | −$166 −13% | — |
| 177d | YK321 | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BuyNo86¢ → 97¢ | $3,500 | +$458 +13% | 20 |
| 177d | beenraping6 fills | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BuyNo91¢ → 97¢ | $15,718 | +$1,096 +7.0% | 20 |
| 198d |  SaddamHusseinHidingSpot | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BuyNo94¢ → 97¢ | $18,351 | +$595 +3.2% | 20 |
| 221d |  DegenerateJanet | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | SellNo93¢ → 97¢ | $1,860 | −$81 −4.4% | — |
| 237d |  ScarletRot | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | SellNo90¢ → 97¢ | $13,692 | −$1,073 −7.8% | — |
| 242d | Minty-Vane | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BuyNo91¢ → 97¢ | $10,010 | +$666 +6.6% | 20 |
| 244d | BENFICAA | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BuyNo91¢ → 97¢ | $4,550 | +$303 +6.6% | 20 |
| 246d | Vonderwul | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | SellNo90¢ → 97¢ | $1,978 | −$155 −7.8% | — |
| 247d | Vonderwul | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BuyNo91¢ → 97¢ | $2,000 | +$133 +6.6% | 20 |
| 247d | Gdub | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BuyNo91¢ → 97¢ | $1,820 | +$121 +6.6% | 20 |
| 248d | BowlOfPunch2 fills | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | SellNo89¢ → 97¢ | $4,286 | −$400 −9.3% | — |
| 249d |  TrentaColdBrew | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BuyNo91¢ → 97¢ | $2,264 | +$151 +6.6% | 20 |
| 258d |  dumbass2 | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | SellNo91¢ → 97¢ | $3,678 | −$236 −6.4% | — |
| 329d |  Obamnna | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | SellNo84¢ → 97¢ | $2,997 | −$466 −16% | — |
| 330d | Obamnna | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BuyNo84¢ → 97¢ | $3,000 | +$463 +15% | 20 |
| 338d |  Jep-G | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BuyNo83¢ → 97¢ | $1,500 | +$256 +17% | 20 |
| 364d |  ApuStonks | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | SellNo82¢ → 97¢ | $1,478 | −$276 −19% | — |
| 373d | ApuStonks | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BuyNo83¢ → 97¢ | $1,500 | +$254 +17% | 20 |
| 374d | CompulsiveGambler | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | SellNo82¢ → 97¢ | $1,066 | −$196 −18% | — |
| 402d | garage2 fills | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | SellNo78¢ → 97¢ | $3,541 | −$839 −24% | — |
| 402d | garage2 fills | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BuyNo83¢ → 97¢ | $3,765 | +$615 +16% | 20 |
| 420d | ScarletRot2 fills | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BuyNo82¢ → 97¢ | $12,489 | +$2,275 +18% | 20 |
| 431d |  willis1111 | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | SellNo76¢ → 97¢ | $1,828 | −$506 −28% | — |
| 432d | Solid-Gnat | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BuyNo78¢ → 97¢ | $1,749 | +$427 +24% | 20 |
| 433d |  just.some.guy | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BuyNo77¢ → 97¢ | $3,160 | +$833 +26% | 20 |
| 434d |  k7X9mP2qW4 | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | SellNo74¢ → 97¢ | $1,777 | −$560 −32% | — |
| 437d | willis1111 | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BuyNo77¢ → 97¢ | $3,078 | +$804 +26% | 20 |
| 441d |  DirkDiggler67 | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BuyNo81¢ → 97¢ | $1,800 | +$357 +20% | 20 |
| 448d | QMG-CORE | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | SellNo80¢ → 97¢ | $1,326 | −$283 −21% | — |
| 448d |  Car | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BuyNo81¢ → 97¢ | $1,300 | +$258 +20% | 20 |
| 448d |  kickstandhater | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BuyNo81¢ → 97¢ | $3,146 | +$611 +19% | 20 |
| 449d | InsiderrrZ | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BuyYes16¢ → 3¢ | $1,584 | −$1,285 −81% | 23 |
| 449d | BowlOfPunch | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BuyNo87¢ → 97¢ | $3,934 | +$454 +12% | 20 |
| 450d | anonymus8 | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BuyNo86¢ → 97¢ | $1,853 | +$238 +13% | 20 |
| 451d |  Frosen | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BuyNo91¢ → 97¢ | $1,201 | +$80 +6.6% | 20 |
| 451d | QMG-CORE | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BuyNo91¢ → 97¢ | $1,070 | +$71 +6.6% | 20 |
aenews23,334 shares
Nancy-Pelosi3,320 sharesallenzzz36,492 shares
elmcap29,000 shares95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b047,358 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 3¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 3%.